La Liga Gameweek 32 Sun, Apr 18 · 16:00 Estadio Coliseum, Getafe
Getafe 14th · 9 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
Real Madrid 3rd · 21 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel13 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Getafe—%
Draw—%
Real Madrid—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Getafe)

Forecast from 3 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Getafe and Real Madrid. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

GetafeReal Madrid
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
48 Current StrengthIn forecast 89
27 AttackIn forecast 89
59 DefenceIn forecast 85
42 Form indexContext 91
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Getafe

Attack—
Defense risk—

Real Madrid

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

GetafeReal Madrid
0.56 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.56
1.22 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
0.62 xGVia Att/Def 2.41
1.49 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.01
-0.06 Goals minus xGContext +0.15
56% Scored inContext 89%
22% Clean sheetsContext 22%
10.78 ShotsContext 17.56
2.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.22
25% On target shareContext 41%
5.44 Shots in the boxContext 12.33
48% Box shareContext 69%
5% ConversionContext 15%
2.17 OffsidesContext 2.13
15.22 Shots allowedContext 12.78
4.89 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.44
4.78 BlocksContext 3.44
3.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.22
73% Save rateContext 73%
37% PossessionIn forecast 53%
292 PassesContext 528
217 Accurate passesContext 476
74% Pass accuracyContext 90%
6.68 Team ratingContext 7.17
14.00 FoulsContext 8.44
12.78 Fouls sufferedContext 14.11
3.44 Yellow cardsContext 2.11
0.11 Red cardsContext 0.22
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
0.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.70
1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20
0.58 xGVia Att/Def 2.32
1.39 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.06
+0.02 Goals minus xGContext +0.38
60% Scored inContext 90%
30% Clean sheetsContext 20%
10.30 ShotsContext 16.90
2.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.30
26% On target shareContext 43%
5.20 Shots in the boxContext 12.20
48% Box shareContext 71%
6% ConversionContext 16%
2.00 OffsidesContext 2.00
14.80 Shots allowedContext 14.20
4.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.10
4.50 BlocksContext 3.80
3.70 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.80
76% Save rateContext 75%
38% PossessionIn forecast 50%
289 PassesContext 501
214 Accurate passesContext 446
74% Pass accuracyContext 89%
6.73 Team ratingContext 7.13
14.30 FoulsContext 8.90
13.50 Fouls sufferedContext 13.30
3.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.00
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.20
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Getafe
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km601 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 42 · 5 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · -0.3 vs expected
  • D19 OctH · Rayo Vallecano1–11.3 xPts
  • L10 OctA · Barcelona0–30.2 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Malaga1–01.5 xPts
  • L17 SepA · Real Betis0–10.8 xPts
  • D13 SepH · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.4 xPts
Real Madrid
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel13 km634 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 91 · 12 pts vs 5.6 for an average club · +1.9 vs expected
  • W18 OctH · Sevilla4–12.4 xPts
  • W14 OctA · AS Roma4–31.5 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Villarreal1–02.1 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Atletico Madrid1–21.7 xPts
  • W15 SepA · Elche3–22.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Getafe Real Madrid
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7La Liga 2026-2027, 11 Apr7La Liga 2026-2027, 11 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km13 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways601 km634 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 31 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one33

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Getafe Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs Rayo Vallecano (H) 1–1, 19 Oct
13David Soria(G)
22J. Mojica 26J. Valou 2D. Dakonam
10M. Satriano 6Mario Martín 8N. Gudelj 17Kiko Femenía
19E. Ünal 11Ramon Terrats
Real Madrid Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Sevilla (H) 4–1, 18 Oct
1T. Courtois(G)
17Marc Cucurella 4D. Huijsen 16I. Konaté 8F. Valverde
14A. Tchouaméni 15A. Güler
25Y. Diomande 5J. Bellingham 9Endrick
10K. Mbappé

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Getafe Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Real Madrid Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Getafe · Home 1.80points per game · 5 home games
W-D-L
2-3-0
Scored
1.00
Conceded
0.60
Real Madrid · Away 1.50points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
2-0-2
Scored
1.50
Conceded
1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentGetafeReal Madrid
Rayo Vallecano D 1–1 H W 4–1 H
Malaga W 1–0 H W 4–0 H
Real Betis L 0–1 A L 0–1 A
Points4 of 9 · 1.33 per game6 of 9 · 2.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 12 meetings

2 Getafe wins0 draws8 Real Madrid wins
Goals per game0.30 – 1.20 Over 2.510% Both scored10% Clean sheets20% · 70%
  • 2 Mar 2026Real Madrid0–1Getafe
  • 19 Oct 2025Getafe0–1Real Madrid
  • 23 Apr 2025Getafe0–1Real Madrid
  • 1 Dec 2024Real Madrid2–0Getafe
  • 1 Feb 2024Getafe0–2Real Madrid
  • 2 Sep 2023Real Madrid2–1Getafe

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

GetafeReal MadridForecast
Scored per game 0.562.56
Conceded per game 1.221.00
Match goals 1.783.56
Over 1.5 56%78%
Over 2.5 22%78%
Over 3.5 0%56%
Both teams scored 33%67%
Clean sheets 22%22%
Failed to score 44%11%
Games99
GetafeReal MadridForecast
Scored per game 0.602.70
Conceded per game 1.101.20
Match goals 1.703.90
Over 1.5 50%80%
Over 2.5 20%80%
Over 3.5 0%60%
Both teams scored 30%70%
Clean sheets 30%20%
Failed to score 40%10%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

GetafeReal MadridLeague
Corners
Corners won4.336.25
Corners conceded6.004.25
Match total10.3310.509.91
Over 8.556% 5/963% 5/8
Over 9.556% 5/963% 5/8
Over 10.544% 4/963% 5/8
Cards
Cards3.892.33
Opponent cards2.562.67
Match total6.455.004.73
Over 3.5100% 9/978% 7/9
Over 4.578% 7/967% 6/9
GetafeReal MadridLeague
Corners
Corners won4.106.30
Corners conceded5.805.00
Match total9.9011.309.91
Over 8.550% 5/1070% 7/10
Over 9.550% 5/1070% 7/10
Over 10.540% 4/1070% 7/10
Cards
Cards3.602.20
Opponent cards2.502.50
Match total6.104.704.73
Over 3.590% 9/1080% 8/10
Over 4.570% 7/1050% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Getafe9 games · scored 5 · conceded 11
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
1 1 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 3 76-90
Real Madrid9 games · scored 23 · conceded 9
2 0-15
6 1 16-30
4 1 31-45
1 3 46-60
3 1 61-75
7 3 76-90
Getafe10 games · scored 6 · conceded 11
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
2 1 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 3 76-90
Real Madrid10 games · scored 27 · conceded 12
2 0-15
8 1 16-30
4 1 31-45
1 5 46-60
3 1 61-75
9 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures La Liga

View all fixtures →
Barcelona Espanyol Apr 1816:00 Atletico Madrid Sevilla Apr 1816:00 Malaga Valencia Apr 1816:00 Levante Villarreal Apr 1816:00 Alaves Rayo Vallecano Apr 1816:00 Real Betis Athletic Club Apr 1816:00 Deportivo La Coruna Celta Vigo Apr 1816:00 Getafe Real Madrid Apr 1816:00 Real Sociedad Racing Santander Apr 1816:00 Elche Osasuna Apr 1816:00