Getafe vs Real Sociedad

La Liga Gameweek 28 Sun, Mar 14 · 16:00 Estadio Coliseum, Getafe

Getafe 14th · 9 pts · 9 played DLWLD

VS— Compare

Real Sociedad 5th · 16 pts · 9 played WLWWW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel365 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Getafe—%

Draw—%

Real Sociedad—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Getafe)

Forecast from 27 Feb

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Real Sociedad 5 Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Getafe

Real Sociedad

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

48 Current StrengthIn forecast 58

27 AttackIn forecast 62

59 DefenceIn forecast 48

42 Form indexContext 81

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Getafe

Attack—

Defense risk—

Real Sociedad

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Getafe

Real Sociedad

0.56 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.89

1.22 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.89

0.62 xGVia Att/Def 1.36

1.49 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.63

-0.06 Goals minus xGContext +0.53

56% Scored inContext 67%

22% Clean sheetsContext 11%

10.78 ShotsContext 14.11

2.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.44

25% On target shareContext 39%

5.44 Shots in the boxContext 8.22

48% Box shareContext 56%

5% ConversionContext 13%

2.17 OffsidesContext 2.14

15.22 Shots allowedContext 16.56

4.89 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.22

4.78 BlocksContext 4.00

3.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.56

73% Save rateContext 73%

37% PossessionIn forecast 49%

292 PassesContext 467

217 Accurate passesContext 399

74% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.68 Team ratingContext 6.89

14.00 FoulsContext 12.11

12.78 Fouls sufferedContext 9.78

3.44 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.11 Red cardsContext 0.22

This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games

0.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90

1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.90

0.58 xGVia Att/Def 1.28

1.39 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.72

+0.02 Goals minus xGContext +0.62

60% Scored inContext 80%

30% Clean sheetsContext 10%

10.30 ShotsContext 13.80

2.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.20

26% On target shareContext 38%

5.20 Shots in the boxContext 7.80

48% Box shareContext 55%

6% ConversionContext 14%

2.00 OffsidesContext 1.75

14.80 Shots allowedContext 15.80

4.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.70

4.50 BlocksContext 3.90

3.70 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.00

76% Save rateContext 70%

38% PossessionIn forecast 50%

289 PassesContext 481

214 Accurate passesContext 410

74% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.73 Team ratingContext 6.82

14.30 FoulsContext 12.40

13.50 Fouls sufferedContext 10.70

3.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Getafe DLWLD

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,030 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 42 · 5 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · -0.3 vs expected

D19 OctH · Rayo Vallecano1–11.3 xPts
L10 OctA · Barcelona0–30.2 xPts
W20 SepH · Malaga1–01.5 xPts
L17 SepA · Real Betis0–10.8 xPts
D13 SepH · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.4 xPts

Real Sociedad LWWDW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel365 km1,482 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 81 · 10 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · +4.0 vs expected

W18 OctA · Malaga5–21.3 xPts
D15 OctA · Union St. Gilloise1–10.9 xPts
W11 OctH · Deportivo La Coruna3–21.7 xPts
W20 SepA · Valencia3–21.2 xPts
L17 SepH · Bournemouth1–21.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Getafe	Real Sociedad
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7La Liga 2026-2027, 7 Mar	7La Liga 2026-2027, 7 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	365 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,030 km	1,482 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Getafe Last XI · not confirmed

4-4-2 · vs Rayo Vallecano (H) 1–1, 19 Oct

13David Soria(G)

22J. Mojica 26J. Valou 2D. Dakonam

10M. Satriano 6Mario Martín 8N. Gudelj 17Kiko Femenía

19E. Ünal 11Ramon Terrats

Real Sociedad Last XI · not confirmed

4-4-2 · vs Malaga (A) 5–2, 18 Oct

1Álex Remiro(G)

3Aihen Muñoz 19M. Sarr 6Jon Martín 22Héctor Fort

7Barrenetxea 18Carlos Soler 4Jon Gorrotxategi 14T. Kubo

9O. Óskarsson 10Mikel Oyarzabal

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Getafe Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Real Sociedad Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Getafe · Home 1.80points per game · 5 home games

W-D-L: 2-3-0
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 0.60

Real Sociedad · Away 1.80points per game · 5 away games

W-D-L: 3-0-2
Scored: 2.40
Conceded: 2.20

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

Opponent	Getafe	Real Sociedad
Malaga	W 1–0 H	W 5–2 A
Real Betis	L 0–1 A	L 0–1 A
Deportivo La Coruna	D 1–1 H	W 3–2 H
Celta Vigo	D 1–1 H	D 0–0 H
Points	5 of 12 · 1.25 per game	7 of 12 · 1.75 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 12 meetings

3 Getafe wins4 draws3 Real Sociedad wins

Goals per game1.20 – 1.10 Over 2.540% Both scored50% Clean sheets40% · 30%

22 Apr 2026Real Sociedad0–1Getafe
9 Jan 2026Getafe1–2Real Sociedad
26 Jan 2025Real Sociedad0–3Getafe
1 Sep 2024Getafe0–0Real Sociedad
21 Apr 2024Getafe1–1Real Sociedad
24 Sep 2023Real Sociedad4–3Getafe

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Getafe	Real Sociedad
Scored per game	0.56	1.89
Conceded per game	1.22	1.89
Match goals	1.78	3.78
Over 1.5	56%	78%
Over 2.5	22%	78%
Over 3.5	0%	56%
Both teams scored	33%	67%
Clean sheets	22%	11%
Failed to score	44%	33%
Games	9	9

	Getafe	Real Sociedad
Scored per game	0.60	1.90
Conceded per game	1.10	1.90
Match goals	1.70	3.80
Over 1.5	50%	90%
Over 2.5	20%	80%
Over 3.5	0%	50%
Both teams scored	30%	80%
Clean sheets	30%	10%
Failed to score	40%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Getafe	Real Sociedad	League
Corners
Corners won	4.33	7.00
Corners conceded	6.00	4.89
Match total	10.33	11.89	9.91
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	100% 9/9
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	78% 7/9
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	67% 6/9
Cards
Cards	3.89	2.33
Opponent cards	2.56	2.56
Match total	6.45	4.89	4.73
Over 3.5	100% 9/9	78% 7/9
Over 4.5	78% 7/9	78% 7/9

	Getafe	Real Sociedad	League
Corners
Corners won	4.10	7.00
Corners conceded	5.80	4.70
Match total	9.90	11.70	9.91
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	90% 9/10
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	80% 8/10
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	70% 7/10
Cards
Cards	3.60	2.20
Opponent cards	2.50	2.40
Match total	6.10	4.60	4.73
Over 3.5	90% 9/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	70% 7/10	70% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.