Süper Lig Gameweek 12 Sun, Nov 22 · 16:00 Papara Park, Trabzon
Trabzonspor 4th · 16 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Eyüpspor 18th · 3 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel904 kmRest days14 · 15.2Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Trabzonspor—%
Draw—%
Eyüpspor—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Trabzon)

Forecast from 7 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Trabzonspor and Eyüpspor. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

TrabzonsporEyüpspor
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
46 Current StrengthIn forecast 13
54 AttackIn forecast 9
48 DefenceIn forecast 10
78 Form indexContext 5
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Trabzonspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Eyüpspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

TrabzonsporEyüpspor
2.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.25
0.63 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.75
1.58 xGVia Att/Def 0.71
1.46 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.00
+0.67 Goals minus xGContext -0.46
88% Scored inContext 13%
50% Clean sheetsContext 0%
13.25 ShotsContext 11.00
6.63 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.25
50% On target shareContext 30%
10.00 Shots in the boxContext 6.71
70% Box shareContext 58%
17% ConversionContext 2%
2.57 OffsidesContext 1.33
13.50 Shots allowedContext 13.38
5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.63
2.86 BlocksContext 3.75
4.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00
88% Save rateContext 53%
53% PossessionIn forecast 50%
430 PassesContext 397
365 Accurate passesContext 338
85% Pass accuracyContext 85%
7.12 Team ratingContext 6.52
10.38 FoulsContext 10.00
16.13 Fouls sufferedContext 16.00
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.38
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.90
1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.50
1.58 xGVia Att/Def 0.74
1.46 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.78
+0.22 Goals minus xGContext +0.16
70% Scored inContext 30%
40% Clean sheetsContext 10%
13.25 ShotsContext 10.40
6.63 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.40
50% On target shareContext 33%
10.00 Shots in the boxContext 5.78
70% Box shareContext 51%
17% ConversionContext 9%
2.57 OffsidesContext 1.50
13.50 Shots allowedContext 13.80
5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.60
3.22 BlocksContext 3.90
4.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.20
88% Save rateContext 57%
52% PossessionIn forecast 46%
430 PassesContext 368
365 Accurate passesContext 308
85% Pass accuracyContext 84%
7.12 Team ratingContext 6.61
10.00 FoulsContext 10.10
16.30 Fouls sufferedContext 14.70
1.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.40
0.30 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Trabzonspor
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 78 · 12 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · +4.9 vs expected
  • W19 OctH · Besiktas2–01.3 xPts
  • W10 OctA · Samsunspor3–01.6 xPts
  • W19 SepH · Galatasaray4–00.9 xPts
  • L12 SepA · Konyaspor0–11.5 xPts
  • W6 SepH · Genclerbirligi5–01.9 xPts
Eyüpspor
Rest15.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel904 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Form 5 · 0 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · -4.6 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Erzurumspor FK0–20.6 xPts
  • L12 OctH · Goztepe0–41.2 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Fenerbahce0–80.4 xPts
  • L12 SepH · Rizespor0–21.3 xPts
  • L6 SepA · Çorum FK0–31.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Trabzonspor Eyüpspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match14Süper Lig 2026-2027, 8 Nov15.2Süper Lig 2026-2027, 7 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km904 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 30 / 0 / 2
Next matchdays after this one86.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Trabzonspor Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Besiktas (H) 2–0, 19 Oct
24A. Onana(G)
55Sidny Lopes Cabral 15S. Savić 27Chibuike Nwaiwu 20Wagner Pina
6Fabinho 11O. Tufan
58D. Şimşir 7E. Muçi 10Mohamed Salah
9F. Gluda Djú
Eyüpspor Last XI · not confirmed
5-3-2 · vs Erzurumspor FK (A) 0–2, 17 Oct
1E. Bilgin(G)
21S. Giordano 33Z. Jules 4S. Yaşar 5J. El Yamiq 77K. Michalak
15Charles-Andre Raux Yao 28T. İlter 88C. Massanga
9Y. Barası 98B. Boutobba

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Trabzonspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Eyüpspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Trabzonspor · Home 3.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
4-0-0
Scored
3.25
Conceded
0.25
Eyüpspor · Away 0.00points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
0-0-4
Scored
0.00
Conceded
3.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

OpponentTrabzonsporEyüpspor
Besiktas W 2–0 H L 0–1 A
Points3 of 3 · 3.00 per game0 of 3 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

3 Trabzonspor wins1 draws0 Eyüpspor wins
Goals per game1.00 – 0.00 Over 2.50% Both scored0% Clean sheets100% · 25%
  • 18 Mar 2026Eyüpspor0–1Trabzonspor
  • 25 Oct 2025Trabzonspor2–0Eyüpspor
  • 10 Feb 2025Trabzonspor1–0Eyüpspor
  • 1 Sep 2024Eyüpspor0–0Trabzonspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

TrabzonsporEyüpsporForecast
Scored per game 2.250.25
Conceded per game 0.632.75
Match goals 2.883.00
Over 1.5 88%75%
Over 2.5 63%50%
Over 3.5 25%25%
Both teams scored 38%13%
Clean sheets 50%0%
Failed to score 13%88%
Games88
TrabzonsporEyüpsporForecast
Scored per game 1.800.90
Conceded per game 1.002.50
Match goals 2.803.40
Over 1.5 80%80%
Over 2.5 60%60%
Over 3.5 30%40%
Both teams scored 30%20%
Clean sheets 40%10%
Failed to score 30%70%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

TrabzonsporEyüpsporLeague
Corners
Corners won5.133.25
Corners conceded3.255.00
Match total8.388.259.12
Over 8.550% 4/863% 5/8
Over 9.513% 1/838% 3/8
Over 10.513% 1/825% 2/8
Cards
Cards2.131.63
Opponent cards2.881.63
Match total5.013.264.04
Over 3.575% 6/850% 4/8
Over 4.563% 5/825% 2/8
TrabzonsporEyüpsporLeague
Corners
Corners won5.203.22
Corners conceded4.005.11
Match total9.208.339.12
Over 8.560% 6/1067% 6/9
Over 9.530% 3/1033% 3/9
Over 10.530% 3/1022% 2/9
Cards
Cards2.301.60
Opponent cards2.901.80
Match total5.203.404.04
Over 3.580% 8/1050% 5/10
Over 4.570% 7/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Trabzonspor8 games · scored 18 · conceded 5
5 1 0-15
3 1 16-30
5 1 31-45
2 1 46-60
1 61-75
2 1 76-90
Eyüpspor8 games · scored 2 · conceded 22
5 0-15
5 16-30
1 2 31-45
6 46-60
61-75
1 4 76-90
Trabzonspor10 games · scored 18 · conceded 10
5 1 0-15
3 3 16-30
5 1 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 61-75
2 2 76-90
Eyüpspor10 games · scored 9 · conceded 25
5 0-15
3 5 16-30
3 2 31-45
6 46-60
1 61-75
3 6 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Süper Lig

View all fixtures →
Genclerbirligi Gazişehir Gaziantep Nov 2110:30 Galatasaray Samsunspor Nov 2113:00 Amed Rizespor Nov 2113:00 Kocaelispor Fenerbahce Nov 2116:00 Erzurumspor FK Goztepe Nov 2210:30 Konyaspor Besiktas Nov 2213:00 Kasimpasa Alanyaspor Nov 2213:00 Trabzonspor Eyüpspor Nov 2216:00 Istanbul Basaksehir Çorum FK Nov 2317:00