Hull City
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel249 kmRest days7 · 1.8Matches / 14d2 · 4
Real contextStrength only
Hull City—%
Draw—%
Crystal Palace—%
Weather (Hull)
Forecast from 15 Jan
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Hull City and Crystal Palace. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Insight
Hull City
3
Clean sheets
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Alert
Crystal Palace
2.4
Goals conceded away per match
Last 5 recorded away matches
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Crystal Palace
1.7
Goals scored per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Crystal Palace
−0.34
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.52xG against1.86
-
Insight
Hull City
1.0
Goals conceded per match
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Defence
-
Insight
Hull City
3
Clean sheets
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Insight
Hull City
1.0
Goals conceded per match
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
Crystal Palace
2.4
Goals conceded away per match
Last 5 recorded away matches
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
Crystal Palace
2.2
Goals conceded per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Crystal Palace
−0.34
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.52xG against1.86
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
Hull CityCrystal Palace
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
37
Current StrengthIn forecast
64
37
AttackIn forecast
64
50
DefenceIn forecast
54
36
Form indexContext
64
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisCrystal Palace
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Hull CityCrystal Palace
1.14
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.29
1.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.43
0.98
xGVia Att/Def
1.35
1.56
xG allowedVia Att/Def
2.06
+0.16
Goals minus xGContext
-0.06
71%
Scored inContext
57%
43%
Clean sheetsContext
14%
10.71
ShotsContext
10.14
4.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.71
32%
On target shareContext
37%
5.50
Shots in the boxContext
7.00
45%
Box shareContext
70%
11%
ConversionContext
13%
1.40
OffsidesContext
3.00
14.57
Shots allowedContext
17.86
4.86
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.14
4.29
BlocksContext
5.29
3.71
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.71
77%
Save rateContext
61%
32%
PossessionIn forecast
43%
275
PassesContext
404
197
Accurate passesContext
326
72%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.75
Team ratingContext
6.70
10.86
FoulsContext
10.00
7.57
Fouls sufferedContext
10.14
3.00
Yellow cardsContext
1.29
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.14
1.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.60
0.80
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.00
1.14
xGVia Att/Def
1.52
1.32
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.86
+0.06
Goals minus xGContext
+0.08
70%
Scored inContext
70%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
10.30
ShotsContext
11.00
4.22
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.90
37%
On target shareContext
36%
5.88
Shots in the boxContext
7.80
50%
Box shareContext
71%
12%
ConversionContext
15%
1.57
OffsidesContext
2.50
13.80
Shots allowedContext
16.30
4.30
On target allowedVia Att/Def
5.40
4.10
BlocksContext
4.70
3.30
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.40
77%
Save rateContext
63%
33%
PossessionIn forecast
45%
267
PassesContext
416
182
Accurate passesContext
341
68%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.82
Team ratingContext
6.77
10.10
FoulsContext
10.50
8.90
Fouls sufferedContext
9.70
2.70
Yellow cardsContext
1.50
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Hull City
DDLDL
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km425 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 36 · 3 pts vs 4.6 for an average club · -1.0 vs expected
Crystal Palace
WDWLL
Rest1.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d4High congestion
Travel249 km2,628 km in 14d
Schedule load55%High
Form 64 · 7 pts vs 5.3 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Hull City |
Crystal Palace |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | High · 55 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | Yes |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7Premier League 2026-2027, 23 Jan | 1.8UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 28 Jan |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 249 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 425 km | 2,628 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 4 | 2 / 4 / 6 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Hull City
Last XI · not confirmed
19K. Tzolakis(G)
18B. Norton-Cuffy
22L. Herrington
15J. Egan
6S. Ajayi
2L. Coyle
7B. Thomas
27R. Slater
25M. Crooks
10M. Belloumi
9O. McBurnie
Crystal Palace
Last XI · not confirmed
44W. Benítez(G)
21H. Ahanor
26Chris Richards
6J. Canvot
3T. Mitchell
23Q. Timber
20A. Wharton
25A. Khalaili
10Yeremy Pino
18Daichi Kamada
22J. Strand Larsen
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Hull City
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Crystal Palace
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Hull City · Home
1.67points per game · 3 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-2-0
- Scored
- 1.33
- Conceded
- 0.67
Crystal Palace · Away
1.00points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-2
- Scored
- 0.75
- Conceded
- 2.25
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 2 this season
| Opponent | Hull City | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Fulham | L 0–1 A | W 3–2 A |
| Everton | D 2–2 H | L 0–2 A |
| Points | 1 of 6 · 0.50 per game | 3 of 6 · 1.50 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Hull City | Crystal Palace | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.14 | 1.29 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 2.43 | |
| Match goals | 2.14 | 3.71 | |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 86% | |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 71% | |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 71% | |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 57% | |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 14% | |
| Failed to score | 29% | 43% | |
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Hull City | Crystal Palace | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.14 | 1.60 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 2.20 | |
| Match goals | 2.14 | 3.80 | |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 80% | |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 70% | |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 60% | |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 29% | 30% | |
| Games | 7 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Hull City | Crystal Palace | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.71 | 3.67 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.71 | 6.00 | |
| Match total | 10.42 | 9.67 | 9.49 |
| Over 8.5 | 57% 4/7 | 50% 3/6 | |
| Over 9.5 | 57% 4/7 | 33% 2/6 | |
| Over 10.5 | 57% 4/7 | 33% 2/6 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.00 | 1.43 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.00 | 1.57 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 3.00 | 4.17 |
| Over 3.5 | 57% 4/7 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Over 4.5 | 57% 4/7 | 29% 2/7 | |
| Hull City | Crystal Palace | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.89 | 3.89 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.44 | 5.22 | |
| Match total | 10.33 | 9.11 | 9.49 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 44% 4/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 56% 5/9 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 56% 5/9 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.70 | 1.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.10 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 3.80 | 3.60 | 4.17 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 5/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Hull City7 games · scored 8 · conceded 7
3
0-15
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
76-90
Crystal Palace7 games · scored 9 · conceded 17
1
5
0-15
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
1
61-75
1
3
76-90
Hull City10 games · scored 12 · conceded 8
3
0-15
3
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
76-90
Crystal Palace10 games · scored 16 · conceded 20
2
6
0-15
1
2
16-30
4
4
31-45
5
4
46-60
1
61-75
3
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
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