Lommel United
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel80 kmRest days20 · 20.1Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Lommel United—%
Draw—%
Anderlecht—%
Weather (Lommel)
Forecast from 1 Jan
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Lommel United and Anderlecht. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Insight
Anderlecht
6
Clean sheets
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Insight
Anderlecht
0.7
Goals conceded per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Lommel United
3
Clean sheets
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet
Attack
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Defence
-
Insight
Anderlecht
6
Clean sheets
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Insight
Anderlecht
0.7
Goals conceded per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Lommel United
3
Clean sheets
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
Lommel UnitedAnderlecht
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
36
Current StrengthIn forecast
43
32
AttackIn forecast
37
41
DefenceIn forecast
52
47
Form indexContext
59
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisAnderlecht
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Lommel UnitedAnderlecht
1.13
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.13
1.13
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.75
1.13
xGVia Att/Def
1.39
1.15
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.87
+0.00
Goals minus xGContext
-0.26
50%
Scored inContext
63%
38%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
10.75
ShotsContext
15.00
4.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.75
28%
On target shareContext
32%
7.00
Shots in the boxContext
9.50
66%
Box shareContext
61%
11%
ConversionContext
8%
2.33
OffsidesContext
1.43
19.25
Shots allowedContext
9.88
4.63
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.63
6.50
BlocksContext
2.00
3.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.75
76%
Save rateContext
76%
44%
PossessionIn forecast
62%
407
PassesContext
560
339
Accurate passesContext
482
83%
Pass accuracyContext
86%
6.86
Team ratingContext
6.99
7.00
FoulsContext
12.38
10.75
Fouls sufferedContext
11.50
1.00
Yellow cardsContext
2.13
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.40
1.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.70
1.13
xGVia Att/Def
0.95
1.15
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.10
+0.07
Goals minus xGContext
+0.45
50%
Scored inContext
70%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
60%
10.50
ShotsContext
11.88
3.75
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.50
29%
On target shareContext
38%
7.00
Shots in the boxContext
7.63
66%
Box shareContext
61%
11%
ConversionContext
8%
2.33
OffsidesContext
1.50
18.80
Shots allowedContext
11.25
4.40
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.63
5.80
BlocksContext
1.90
3.30
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.75
75%
Save rateContext
81%
45%
PossessionIn forecast
60%
403
PassesContext
533
331
Accurate passesContext
459
82%
Pass accuracyContext
86%
6.88
Team ratingContext
6.93
7.20
FoulsContext
12.90
11.40
Fouls sufferedContext
12.60
1.20
Yellow cardsContext
2.20
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Lommel United
WLLDW
Rest20 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 47 · 7 pts vs 7.3 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected
Anderlecht
WLWWL
Rest20.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel80 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · +1.4 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Lommel United |
Anderlecht |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 20Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 27 Dec | 20.1Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 27 Dec |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 80 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 2 | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 5.2 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Lommel United
Last XI · not confirmed
23M. Pieklak(G)
4S. Adewoye
8Nicolas Rommens
3T. Eyoma
2J. van Duiven
44I. Dada-Mascoll
15Lucas Schoofs
11S. Appuah
10Tom Reyners
7J. Talvitie
9D. Konadu
Anderlecht
Last XI · not confirmed
26C. Coosemans(G)
5O. Reabciuk
27L. Pétrot
12A. Omobamidele
50K. Barry
19Thelo Aasgaard
29M. Stroeykens
83T. Degreef
18L. Ambros
10M. Winkler
9M. CvetkoviÄ
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Lommel United
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Anderlecht
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Lommel United · Home
1.00points per game · 4 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-2
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 0.50
Anderlecht · Away
1.50points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 2-0-2
- Scored
- 0.75
- Conceded
- 1.25
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 4 this season
| Opponent | Lommel United | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| SK Beveren | W 3–1 A | L 0–1 A |
| KV Mechelen | D 0–0 H | W 1–0 A |
| Union St. Gilloise | L 0–5 A | L 0–3 A |
| Cercle Brugge | W 1–0 A | W 2–1 A |
| Points | 7 of 12 · 1.75 per game | 6 of 12 · 1.50 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Lommel United | Anderlecht | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.13 | 1.13 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.13 | 0.75 | |
| Match goals | 2.25 | 1.88 | |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% | |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 25% | |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 38% | |
| Games | 8 | 8 |
| Lommel United | Anderlecht | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.13 | 1.40 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.13 | 0.70 | |
| Match goals | 2.25 | 2.10 | |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 60% | |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 60% | |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 20% | |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 60% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 30% | |
| Games | 8 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Lommel United | Anderlecht | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.50 | 6.63 | |
| Corners conceded | 7.88 | 3.13 | |
| Match total | 11.38 | 9.76 | 10.01 |
| Over 8.5 | 88% 7/8 | 63% 5/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 75% 6/8 | 38% 3/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 63% 5/8 | 38% 3/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.00 | 2.13 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.63 | 1.38 | |
| Match total | 2.63 | 3.51 | 3.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% 2/8 | 50% 4/8 | |
| Over 4.5 | 25% 2/8 | 25% 2/8 | |
| Lommel United | Anderlecht | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.60 | 5.40 | |
| Corners conceded | 7.60 | 3.80 | |
| Match total | 11.20 | 9.20 | 10.01 |
| Over 8.5 | 90% 9/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 80% 8/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 60% 6/10 | 10% 1/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.20 | 2.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.80 | 1.80 | |
| Match total | 3.00 | 4.00 | 3.36 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Lommel United7 games · scored 9 · conceded 4
0-15
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
76-90
Anderlecht8 games · scored 9 · conceded 6
2
0-15
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
61-75
3
1
76-90
Lommel United9 games · scored 12 · conceded 6
0-15
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
4
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
1
76-90
Anderlecht10 games · scored 14 · conceded 7
1
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
5
2
31-45
3
46-60
2
61-75
2
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
Next fixtures Belgian Pro League
View all fixtures →
SK Beveren
Club Brugge KV
Jan 1519:45
Lommel United
Anderlecht
Jan 1615:00
Union St. Gilloise
RAAL La Louvière
Jan 1617:15
KVC Westerlo
Kortrijk
Jan 1619:45
Antwerp
KV Mechelen
Jan 1619:45
St. Truiden
Standard Liege
Jan 1712:30
Cercle Brugge
Genk
Jan 1715:00
Charleroi
Gent
Jan 1717:30
Zulte Waregem
OH Leuven
Jan 1718:15