La Liga Gameweek 30 Sun, Apr 4 · 16:00 Estadio Benito Villamarín, Sevilla
Real Betis 4th · 19 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
Celta Vigo 8th · 11 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel588 kmRest days14 · 14Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Real Betis—%
Draw—%
Celta Vigo—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Sevilla)

Forecast from 20 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Real Betis and Celta Vigo. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Real BetisCelta Vigo
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
72 Current StrengthIn forecast 54
79 AttackIn forecast 36
59 DefenceIn forecast 61
80 Form indexContext 47
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Real Betis

Attack—
Defense risk—

Celta Vigo

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Real BetisCelta Vigo
1.78 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.11
1.56 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.78
1.65 xGVia Att/Def 0.92
1.96 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.18
+0.13 Goals minus xGContext +0.19
100% Scored inContext 56%
44% Clean sheetsContext 44%
16.44 ShotsContext 9.44
6.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.63
39% On target shareContext 34%
9.67 Shots in the boxContext 4.67
56% Box shareContext 47%
11% ConversionContext 12%
1.33 OffsidesContext 3.00
15.33 Shots allowedContext 13.33
6.22 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.33
3.78 BlocksContext 3.44
4.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.44
70% Save rateContext 80%
51% PossessionIn forecast 50%
495 PassesContext 506
429 Accurate passesContext 438
87% Pass accuracyContext 87%
7.03 Team ratingContext 6.87
9.89 FoulsContext 12.22
11.67 Fouls sufferedContext 14.44
1.56 Yellow cardsContext 1.67
0.11 Red cardsContext 0.11
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
2.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10
1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
1.71 xGVia Att/Def 0.99
1.79 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.16
+0.39 Goals minus xGContext +0.11
100% Scored inContext 60%
30% Clean sheetsContext 30%
16.70 ShotsContext 10.40
6.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.67
37% On target shareContext 32%
10.00 Shots in the boxContext 5.50
58% Box shareContext 50%
13% ConversionContext 11%
1.40 OffsidesContext 3.00
14.60 Shots allowedContext 14.50
6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.80
3.50 BlocksContext 3.80
4.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.70
67% Save rateContext 77%
52% PossessionIn forecast 49%
504 PassesContext 497
438 Accurate passesContext 431
87% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.98 Team ratingContext 6.82
10.70 FoulsContext 11.90
11.90 Fouls sufferedContext 13.60
1.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.50
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Real Betis
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km1,402 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 80 · 10 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +2.3 vs expected
  • L17 OctH · Barcelona2–50.8 xPts
  • W14 OctH · FC Porto3–21.4 xPts
  • W11 OctH · Osasuna5–22.0 xPts
  • D20 SepA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.6 xPts
  • W17 SepH · Getafe1–02.0 xPts
Celta Vigo
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel588 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 47 · 7 pts vs 7.3 for an average club · +0.3 vs expected
  • W18 OctH · Alaves2–11.5 xPts
  • L15 OctH · Juventus1–21.2 xPts
  • D11 OctA · Elche0–01.2 xPts
  • W19 SepH · Racing Santander5–01.5 xPts
  • L16 SepA · Omonia Nicosia0–11.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Real Betis Celta Vigo
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match14La Liga 2026-2027, 21 Mar14La Liga 2026-2027, 21 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km588 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,402 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 30 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Real Betis Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Barcelona (H) 2–5, 17 Oct
1Álvaro Vallés(G)
11Fran García 16Valentín Gómez 3Diego Llorente 2Héctor Bellerín
25Dani Ceballos 6F. Bernal
10A. Ezzalzouli 8Pablo Fornals 20G. Lo Celso
9C. Hernández
Celta Vigo Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-3 · vs Alaves (H) 2–1, 18 Oct
13I. Radu(G)
21S. Cáceres 18Yoel Lago 20Javi Rodríguez
23Hugo Álvarez 6I. Moriba 30H. Burcio 5Sergio Carreira
19W. Swedberg 9Ferran Jutglà 24C. Driouech

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Real Betis Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Celta Vigo Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Real Betis · Home 2.40points per game · 5 home games
W-D-L
4-0-1
Scored
2.00
Conceded
1.40
Celta Vigo · Away 1.00points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
0-4-0
Scored
0.25
Conceded
0.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

OpponentReal BetisCelta Vigo
Osasuna W 5–2 H L 1–2 H
Getafe W 1–0 H D 1–1 A
Valencia W 1–0 A D 0–0 A
Real Sociedad W 1–0 H D 0–0 A
Points12 of 12 · 3.00 per game3 of 12 · 0.75 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 12 meetings

1 Real Betis wins4 draws5 Celta Vigo wins
Goals per game1.20 – 1.70 Over 2.550% Both scored70% Clean sheets10% · 30%
  • 15 Mar 2026Real Betis1–1Celta Vigo
  • 27 Aug 2025Celta Vigo1–1Real Betis
  • 8 Feb 2025Celta Vigo3–2Real Betis
  • 10 Nov 2024Real Betis2–2Celta Vigo
  • 12 Apr 2024Real Betis2–1Celta Vigo
  • 3 Jan 2024Celta Vigo2–1Real Betis

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Real BetisCelta VigoForecast
Scored per game 1.781.11
Conceded per game 1.560.78
Match goals 3.331.89
Over 1.5 56%67%
Over 2.5 44%33%
Over 3.5 33%11%
Both teams scored 56%44%
Clean sheets 44%44%
Failed to score 0%44%
Games99
Real BetisCelta VigoForecast
Scored per game 2.101.10
Conceded per game 1.801.00
Match goals 3.902.10
Over 1.5 70%70%
Over 2.5 60%40%
Over 3.5 50%10%
Both teams scored 70%50%
Clean sheets 30%30%
Failed to score 0%40%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Real BetisCelta VigoLeague
Corners
Corners won4.783.13
Corners conceded6.444.75
Match total11.227.889.91
Over 8.578% 7/925% 2/8
Over 9.567% 6/925% 2/8
Over 10.556% 5/925% 2/8
Cards
Cards1.671.78
Opponent cards2.672.11
Match total4.343.894.73
Over 3.556% 5/944% 4/9
Over 4.556% 5/944% 4/9
Real BetisCelta VigoLeague
Corners
Corners won4.903.67
Corners conceded5.905.22
Match total10.808.899.91
Over 8.570% 7/1033% 3/9
Over 9.570% 7/1033% 3/9
Over 10.550% 5/1033% 3/9
Cards
Cards1.901.60
Opponent cards2.601.90
Match total4.503.504.73
Over 3.560% 6/1040% 4/10
Over 4.560% 6/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Real Betis9 games · scored 16 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 2 16-30
7 2 31-45
2 4 46-60
2 2 61-75
3 3 76-90
Celta Vigo9 games · scored 10 · conceded 7
1 0-15
3 16-30
3 31-45
2 1 46-60
2 1 61-75
2 2 76-90
Real Betis10 games · scored 21 · conceded 18
1 2 0-15
1 2 16-30
8 3 31-45
5 5 46-60
2 3 61-75
4 3 76-90
Celta Vigo10 games · scored 11 · conceded 10
1 0-15
1 3 16-30
3 31-45
2 2 46-60
2 1 61-75
2 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures La Liga

View all fixtures →
Barcelona Sevilla Apr 416:00 Athletic Club Racing Santander Apr 416:00 Malaga Osasuna Apr 416:00 Levante Rayo Vallecano Apr 416:00 Real Madrid Atletico Madrid Apr 416:00 Real Betis Celta Vigo Apr 416:00 Deportivo La Coruna Villarreal Apr 416:00 Getafe Espanyol Apr 416:00 Real Sociedad Valencia Apr 416:00 Elche Alaves Apr 416:00