+4.3 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed -5.3 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 47.7+4.3
An average side on a poor run.
Alaves are a mid-table side at both ends, without a clear strength to lean on. Across the 9 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. Ángel Pérez is out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Barcelona.
La Liga · 9 games. Their scorelines look better than their chance balance. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding fewer goals than expected; good goalkeeping or poor finishing by opponents may explain the gap.
They are comfortable without the ball, with only 42% possession, and look to hurt teams on the break. Home is where they earn their points: 1.8 per game there against 0.5 away.
- Relegation 9%Likely 12th · 46 projected points
-
Next 3: about 3 of 9 points Toughest at
Barcelona · , 3% to win
- 1 key player outÁngel Pérez · 12% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
- 11 pts vs 12.7 expected-1.7 vs pre-match expectations · 9 matches with forecasts
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Alaves. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Headlines
Attack
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Season
League position and season results.
Overview
2026-2027Expected metrics · 9 of 9 matches covered
Expected metrics · 9 of 9 matches covered
Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.
League standings
La Liga · 2026-2027
Swipe to explore the league table →
| # | Club | Rating | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1– | Barcelona |
93 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +30 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2– |  Atletico Madrid |
81 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 22 | WWWWW |
| 3▲ |  Real Madrid |
89 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 4▼ |  Real Betis |
72 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 19 | WWDWL |
| 5▲ |  Real Sociedad |
58 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 16 | WLWWW |
| 6▼ |  Sevilla |
50 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 14 | WWLDL |
| 7– | Alaves |
48 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 | LLDLL |
| 8▲ |  Celta Vigo |
54 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 11 | DDWDW |
| 9▼ |  Deportivo La Coruna |
45 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DLDLD |
| 10▲ |  Osasuna |
46 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 11▼ |  Athletic Club |
55 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 | WWDDD |
| 12▼ |  Villarreal |
67 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +0 | 9 | LWWLD |
| 13– |  Rayo Vallecano |
58 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 9 | WLWDD |
| 14– |  Getafe |
48 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 | DLWLD |
| 15▼ |  Espanyol |
44 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 8 | WLLDL |
| 16▼ |  Racing Santander |
41 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 | WLLDL |
| 17– |  Levante |
48 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 | DLLDD |
| 18– |  Elche |
44 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 | DLWDD |
| 19– |  Valencia |
51 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 | LWLDD |
| 20– |  Malaga |
41 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -12 | 4 | DLLDL |
20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.
League position over time
Position by matchweek
Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.
View position history
| MW | Results through (UTC) | Position | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Partial | 19 Aug 2026 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 27 Aug 2026 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 | 31 Aug 2026 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 6 · Partial | 17 Sep 2026 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 7 | 20 Sep 2026 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| 8 · Partial | 12 Oct 2026 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
| 9 | 19 Oct 2026 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
Competition standings
There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.
Squad 34 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out
Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026
L. Boyé5 goals (1 pen)
M. Díaz4 assists
Antonio Sivera7.13 avg ratingAntonio Sivera810 minAntonio SiveraStarter · weight 2.00| Player | Age | Apps | Min | G | A | Rating | Model role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeepers | |||||||
| Antonio Sivera |
30 | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | 7.13 | starter |
 R. Montero |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Jesús Owono |
25 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 A. Rodríguez |
25 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Grégoire Swiderski |
21 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Defenders | |||||||
 F. Tenaglia |
30 | 9 (9) | 766 | 1 | 0 | 6.86 | starter |
 V. Koski |
24 | 9 (8) | 729 | 1 | 0 | 6.74 | rotation |
 Jonny |
32 | 8 (8) | 662 | 0 | 0 | 6.93 | starter |
 N. Valentini |
25 | 6 (4) | 395 | 0 | 0 | 6.75 | rotation |
 Youssef Lekhedim |
21 | 6 (0) | 148 | 0 | 0 | 6.82 | rotation |
 Xanet Olaiz |
— | 1 (0) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 6.08 | depth |
 Carlos Ballestero |
22 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 M. Diarra |
25 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 F. Garcés injured |
27 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Álvaro García |
21 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 P. Sanz |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Midfielders | |||||||
 Pablo Ibáñez |
28 | 9 (9) | 761 | 1 | 0 | 6.79 | starter |
 Antonio Blanco |
26 | 9 (8) | 679 | 0 | 0 | 6.60 | starter |
 Ángel Pérez suspended |
24 | 8 (7) | 582 | 0 | 3 | 6.91 | starter |
 Denis Suárez |
32 | 8 (4) | 387 | 0 | 0 | 6.73 | rotation |
 Carles Aleñá |
28 | 7 (2) | 176 | 0 | 1 | 6.48 | rotation |
 C. Benavídez |
28 | 4 (1) | 164 | 0 | 0 | 6.54 | rotation |
 Mikel Rodríguez injured |
24 | 3 (2) | 149 | 1 | 0 | 6.90 | — |
 Ander Guevara |
29 | 5 (1) | 123 | 0 | 0 | 6.59 | rotation |
 Selu Diallo |
23 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Mikel Rodriguez |
31 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Forwards | |||||||
 A. Rebbach |
28 | 9 (9) | 740 | 0 | 0 | 6.67 | rotation |
| L. Boyé |
30 | 8 (8) | 638 | 5 | 0 | 6.91 | starter |
 Toni Martínez |
29 | 8 (6) | 475 | 0 | 0 | 6.56 | starter |
| M. Díaz |
33 | 9 (3) | 377 | 3 | 4 | 7.12 | rotation |
 Aitor Mañas |
23 | 6 (1) | 101 | 0 | 0 | 6.54 | depth |
 Hugo Novoa |
23 | 1 (0) | 28 | 1 | 0 | 7.41 | depth |
 Miguel Rodríguez |
23 | 2 (0) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 6.68 | depth |
 A. Manas |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Malaga: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.
Performance
Strength, recent form and playing style.
Strength La Liga · 20 clubs
In forecast League average
L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.
Form last 5 for the index · last 9 listed
- Points, last 5
- 1
- Median top-5 club
- 6.0
- Own forecasts
- 7.0 -6.0
Higher in the table than their strength suggests.
Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.
- L18 OctA · Celta Vigo1–21.3 xPts
- L10 OctH · Atletico Madrid1–21.2 xPts
- D19 SepA · Athletic Club0–01.1 xPts
- L15 SepH · Valencia0–11.9 xPts
- L12 SepA · Racing Santander1–21.5 xPts
- W6 SepH · Osasuna5–21.6 xPts
- W28 AugH · Villarreal1–01.4 xPts
- D20 AugA · Rayo Vallecano1–11.2 xPts
- W15 AugH · Getafe3–01.6 xPts
Trends last 9, all competitions
Playing style vs La Liga average
Home and away this league season
Goal timing this league season · 9 games
scored conceded, per 15 minutes
Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.
Team rankings La Liga · 9 games · rank of 20
Attack
Defence
Overall
Scorelines
- 1–2×3
- 3–0×1
- 1–1×1
- 1–0×1
- 5–2×1
- 0–1×1
Goals per game both teams
Totals club · league
- Over 1.5
- 67%76%
- Over 2.5
- 56%56%
- Over 3.5
- 11%39%
- Both scored
- 56%59%
- Clean sheet
- 33%25%
- Failed to score
- 22%25%
This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.