Alaves

7th · La Liga · 11 points · Matches played: 9

16 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+4.3 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -5.3 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 47.7+4.3
World Rank 91st Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 14th L90 Strength
Last Celta VigoA xG 1.1–0.9 1–2 Next MalagaH 57%

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Upcoming fixtures

Alaves · All competitions

Forecast
MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 57% win 1.96 xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away 3% win 0.17 xPts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away 29% win 1.14 xPts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Alaves · All competitions

Full time
Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 1.1–0.9 xG -1.3 Δpts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 1.1–2.1 xG -1.1 Δpts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 0–0 0.1–1.6 xG -0.1 Δpts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 1.1–0.7 xG -1.9 Δpts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 2.0–2.0 xG -1.5 Δpts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 5–2 1.2–1.6 xG +1.4 Δpts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 0.8–1.4 xG +1.7 Δpts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 2.0–0.4 xG -0.2 Δpts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 3–0 1.9–0.2 xG +1.4 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Alaves first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile5.2 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 1,001 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability3 out, 1 key: Ángel Pérez · Last match: 18 Oct
12%

Load before the next match, vs Malaga, 23 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 15 Aug vs Getafe: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100
W
 Aug 20 Aug at Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100
D
 28 Aug vs Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 66/100
W
 6 Sep vs Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 49/100
W
 Sep 12 Sep at Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100
L
 15 Sep vs Valencia: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 53/100
L
 19 Sep at Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 56/100
D
 10 Oct vs Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 79/100
L
 Oct 18 Oct at Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 55/100
L
 23 Oct vs Malaga: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 31 Oct at Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 49/100; match difficulty 91/100 6 Nov at Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 52/100 Nov 22 Nov vs Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 29 Nov at Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 87/100 6 Dec vs Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 Dec 13 Dec at Levante: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 50/100 20 Dec vs Elche: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 3 Jan at Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 71/100 Jan 10 Jan vs Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100 17 Jan at Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 66/100 24 Jan vs Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 91/100 31 Jan at Malaga: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 44/100 7 Feb vs Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 Feb 14 Feb at Valencia: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 53/100 21 Feb vs Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 28 Feb at Getafe: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 7 Mar vs Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100 Mar 14 Mar vs Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100 21 Mar at Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100 4 Apr at Elche: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 46/100 Apr 11 Apr vs Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 71/100 18 Apr vs Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100 21 Apr at Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 49/100 2 May at Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 79/100 May 9 May vs Levante: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 16 May at Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 47/100 23 May vs Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 87/100 30 May at Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 46/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest5.2 daysbefore MAL
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d1,001 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs MalagaFri 23 Oct, 20:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 41 57%win23%draw19%loss Low load · 5.2 d rest at BarcelonaSat 31 Oct, 20:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 93 3%win7%draw90%loss Low load · 8 d rest at SevillaFri 6 Nov, 20:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 50 29%win27%draw44%loss Low load · 6 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Malaga, 23 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+2%

Baseline 3.69 → Forecast 3.74 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+35%

Baseline 4.63 → Forecast 6.25 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Malaga23 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 +32% −24% 1.42 → 1.87
at Barcelona31 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 −37% +128% 1.13 → 0.72
at Sevilla6 Nov · La Liga 2026-2027 +2% −11% 1.13 → 1.16

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Alaves

Baseline: average La Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +32% Expected goals Baseline1.42Forecast1.87
Conceding Risk −24% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.31Forecast0.99
Clean Sheet +10.1 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline27.0%Forecast37.1%