Arouca

5th · Primeira Liga · 14 points · Matches played: 8

10 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-1.9 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +0.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 33.9-1.9
World Rank 176th Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 6th L90 Strength
Last EstrelaH xG 0.8–1.5 1–0 Next AlvercaA 26%

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Our take

A solid mid-table side.

Arouca are a mid-table side at both ends, without a clear strength to lean on. Across the 8 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 3 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. The squad is fully fit, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Alverca.

Home is where they earn their points: 2.2 per game there against 1.2 away.

  • Top 4 9% · Relegation <1%Likely 7th · 49 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest at Alverca · , 26% to win
  • Full squadNobody reported missing
  • 14 pts vs 10.7 expected+3.3 vs pre-match expectations · 8 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Arouca. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
Primeira LigaView table →
Position
5th/ 18
Points
141.75 PPG
Played
8
League gap
10pts behind leader
50.0%Win %
Wins4
Draws2
Losses2

Expected metrics · 5 of 8 matches covered

Goals For
111.38 / game
xG 5.64 2.36 more goals than expected. vs 8 goals
Goals Against
70.88 / game
xGA 7.85 4.85 fewer conceded than expected. vs 3 conceded
Goal Difference
+4+0.50 / game
xGD -2.21 Goal difference is 7.21 higher than expected. vs +5 GD
Clean Sheets
450% of games

League standings

Primeira Liga · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full Primeira Liga table, Arouca highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– FC Porto 80 8800 +16 24
2– Benfica 82 8611 +17 19
3– Sporting CP 84 8530 +11 18
4– Santa Clara 34 8530 +8 18
5– Arouca 34 8422 +4 14
6▲ GIL Vicente 34 8422 +2 14
7– Academico Viseu 32 8422 +1 14
8▲ Alverca 30 8323 +1 11
9▼ SC Braga 56 8323 -1 11
10▼ Estrela 20 8242 -1 10
11– Maritimo 16 8224 -5 8
12– Moreirense 25 8224 -7 8
13– Famalicao 38 8143 -1 7
14▲ Rio Ave 21 8215 -9 7
15▼ Guimaraes 27 8125 -5 5
16▼ Nacional 17 8116 -9 4
17– Casa Pia 18 8116 -14 4
18– Estoril 22 8026 -8 2

18 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Arouca league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
110 Aug 2026231
2 · Partial17 Aug 2026162
3 · Partial24 Aug 2026563
431 Aug 2026394
510 Sep 20265105
614 Sep 20265106
720 Sep 20265117
819 Oct 20265148

Squad 26 players · this season, all competitions

Top scorer
Barbero5 goals
Most assists
N. Djouahra5 assists
Best rated
I. de Arruabarrena7.33 avg rating
Most minutes
I. de Arruabarrena720 min
Key to the model
I. de ArruabarrenaStarter · weight 1.92
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
I. de Arruabarrena 29 8 (8) 720 0 0 7.33 starter
M. Duarte 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Vinarčík 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
Defenders
José Fontán 26 8 (8) 720 2 0 7.27 starter
Tiago Esgaio 31 8 (8) 718 0 0 6.75 starter
O. Lebedenko 28 8 (7) 646 0 0 6.61 starter
Javi Sánchez 29 7 (7) 609 0 0 7.01 starter
B. Popović 26 1 (1) 90 0 0 7.31 rotation
Diogo Monteiro 21 1 (0) 17 0 0 5.60 rotation
Mario Climent 24 1 (0) 3 0 0 6.60 depth
Midfielders
T. Fukui 22 8 (8) 698 0 0 6.92 starter
E. van Ee 23 8 (8) 563 1 0 6.82 starter
Pablo Gozálbez 25 7 (4) 300 0 1 6.75 rotation
Mateo Flores 22 7 (2) 215 0 0 6.38 rotation
Lee Hyun-Ju 23 4 (3) 215 0 1 6.48 starter
Pedro Santos 26 8 (0) 191 0 0 6.82 rotation
Forwards
N. Djouahra 26 8 (8) 670 0 5 6.95 starter
A. Trezza 27 8 (8) 619 0 1 6.47 starter
Barbero 28 8 (8) 572 5 0 6.85 starter
D. Nandin 24 7 (0) 148 2 0 6.73 rotation
Brian Mansilla 24 7 (0) 101 0 0 6.43 depth
G. Rukavina 22 3 (0) 92 0 0 6.64 rotation
F. Mayulu 24 2 (0) 13 0 0 6.36 depth
S. Park 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Kiko Bondoso 30 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Miguel Puche 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Alverca: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Primeira Liga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength6th of 18
34 Elo 1546 · World #176
Current Strength
34 With absences before 24 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack9th of 18
28 Scores 1.23 per match against an average top-five side
Defence9th of 18
37 Concedes 1.74 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → FC Porto: attack 74, defence 79, L90 Strength 80 Benfica: attack 81, defence 81, L90 Strength 82 Sporting CP: attack 75, defence 81, L90 Strength 84 Santa Clara: attack 29, defence 53, L90 Strength 34 Arouca: attack 28, defence 37, L90 Strength 34 GIL Vicente: attack 32, defence 50, L90 Strength 34 Academico Viseu: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 32 Alverca: attack 38, defence 42, L90 Strength 30 SC Braga: attack 41, defence 59, L90 Strength 56 Estrela: attack 24, defence 27, L90 Strength 20 Maritimo: attack 15, defence 20, L90 Strength 16 Moreirense: attack 17, defence 27, L90 Strength 25 Famalicao: attack 24, defence 36, L90 Strength 38 Rio Ave: attack 18, defence 21, L90 Strength 21 Guimaraes: attack 28, defence 39, L90 Strength 27 Nacional: attack 15, defence 13, L90 Strength 17 Casa Pia: attack 13, defence 25, L90 Strength 18 Estoril: attack 21, defence 29, L90 Strength 22
Every Primeira Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 8 listed

45
Form index · 8th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
8
Median top-5 club
8.5
Own forecasts
7.1 +0.9
Table5th L90 Strength6th Form8th

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W11 OctH · Estrela1–01.9 xPts
  • D19 SepA · Sporting CP2–20.4 xPts
  • L13 SepH · Santa Clara1–21.5 xPts
  • D7 SepA · Estoril0–01.4 xPts
  • W29 AugH · Maritimo2–11.9 xPts
  • L23 AugA · FC Porto0–20.6 xPts
  • W16 AugH · Moreirense4–01.8 xPts
  • W8 AugA · Guimaraes1–01.2 xPts

Trends last 8, all competitions

Scored 6/8
Clean sheet 4/8
Conceded 2+ 3/8
Over 2.5 4/8
Both teams scored 3/8

Playing style vs Primeira Liga average

AROLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.38 1.37 7th
Goals conceded 0.88 1.37 4th
xG 1.13 1.26 10th
xG allowed 1.57 1.23 15th
Scored in 75% 73% 8th
Clean sheets 50% 28% 3rd
AROLeagueRank
Shots 10.50 12.17 12th
Shots on target 3.75 4.15 9th
On target share 36% 33% 5th
Box share 60% 61% 9th
Conversion 13% 11% 7th
AROLeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.25 12.12 13th
On target allowed 4.50 4.11 11th
Blocks 3.75 3.19 5th
Save rate 81% 67% 2nd
AROLeagueRank
Possession 49% 50% 10th
Passes 440 426 7th
Pass accuracy 85% 83% 7th
AROLeagueRank
Fouls 10.38 12.61 2nd
Fouls suffered 10.38 12.59 17th
Yellow cards 2.88 2.13 17th
Red cards 0.00 0.05 1st
This league season, per match · 8 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
AROLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.70 1.31 4th
Goals conceded 0.90 1.35 3rd
xG 1.22 1.15 6th
xG allowed 1.29 1.30 9th
Scored in 80% 71% 6th
Clean sheets 40% 28% 3rd
AROLeagueRank
Shots 11.30 11.88 10th
Shots on target 4.00 3.99 6th
On target share 35% 33% 5th
Box share 60% 60% 8th
Conversion 15% 11% 3rd
AROLeagueRank
Shots allowed 13.80 12.49 13th
On target allowed 4.30 4.13 10th
Blocks 4.00 3.33 4th
Save rate 79% 69% 3rd
AROLeagueRank
Possession 50% 50% 8th
Passes 439 417 7th
Pass accuracy 84% 83% 7th
AROLeagueRank
Fouls 11.00 12.49 3rd
Fouls suffered 10.70 12.54 18th
Yellow cards 2.70 2.18 17th
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home2.25pts per game3-0-1 · 2.0–0.8 goals · 4 games
Away1.25pts per game1-2-1 · 0.8–1.0 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 8 games

1 1 0-15
2 3 16-30
2 1 31-45
3 46-60
1 61-75
3 1 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Primeira Liga · 8 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 11 7th / 18
GF/G 1.38 7th / 18
xG/G 1.13 10th / 18
G − xG +0.25 7th / 18

Defence

GA 7 4th / 18
GA/G 0.88 4th / 18
xGA/G 1.57 15th / 18
xGA − GA +0.70 1st / 18

Overall

Pts 14 5th / 18
xPts 10.7 8th / 18
PPG 1.75 5th / 18
TR 6.86 5th / 18
GD +4 5th / 18
xGD -3.5 11th / 18
W 4 5th / 18
L 2 5th / 18

Scorelines

  • 1–0×2
  • 4–0×1
  • 0–2×1
  • 2–1×1
  • 0–0×1
  • 1–2×1

Goals per game both teams

13% 0
25% 1
13% 2
25% 3
25% 4
0% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
63%75%
Over 2.5
50%56%
Over 3.5
25%36%
Both scored
38%51%
Clean sheet
50%27%
Failed to score
25%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.