Bologna

15th · Serie A · 5 points · Matches played: 7

14 points behind Inter · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-5.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -2.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 47.1-5.8
World Rank 95th Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank 9th L90 Strength
Last InterH xG 1.0–3.4 1–3 Next CagliariA 37%

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Upcoming fixtures

Bologna · All competitions

Forecast
CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 37% win 1.37 xPts AC MilanSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 18% win 0.77 xPts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 57% win 1.95 xPts ParmaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 40% win 1.50 xPts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AS RomaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ComoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FiorentinaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AtalantaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AC MilanSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ComoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LecceSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AS RomaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FiorentinaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ParmaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Bologna · All competitions

Full time
InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Home L 1–3 1.0–3.4 xG -0.9 Δpts LecceSerie A 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 1.6–1.0 xG +1.3 Δpts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 0.6–0.8 xG -0.9 Δpts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 0.3–1.8 xG -1.0 Δpts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 — xG -0.8 Δpts AtalantaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 1.3–0.2 xG -1.1 Δpts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 1.8–0.6 xG -1.6 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Bologna first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 6

Rest profile6.9 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load613 km to venue, 1,450 km in 14 days
20%
Squad availability5 out, 1 key: A. Theate · Last match: 17 Oct
15%

Load before the next match, at Cagliari, 24 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 24 Aug vs Lazio: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100
L
 Aug 31 Aug at Atalanta: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100
L
 6 Sep vs Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100
D
 Sep 13 Sep at Napoli: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 63/100
L
 19 Sep vs Torino: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100
D
 11 Oct at Lecce: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 33/100
W
 Oct 17 Oct vs Inter: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 82/100
L
 24 Oct at Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 38/100 28 Oct at AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 66/100 31 Oct vs Monza: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 23/100 7 Nov at Parma: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100 Nov 22 Nov vs Udinese: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 29 Nov at Venezia: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 20/100 6 Dec vs AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 Dec 13 Dec at Como: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 20 Dec at Fiorentina: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 3 Jan vs Juventus: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 Jan 6 Jan at Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 35/100 10 Jan vs Genoa: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100 17 Jan at Lazio: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 63/100 24 Jan vs Atalanta: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100 31 Jan at Udinese: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 7 Feb vs AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 66/100 Feb 14 Feb vs Como: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 21 Feb at Juventus: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 28 Feb vs Lecce: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100 7 Mar at Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 Mar 14 Mar vs Napoli: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100 21 Mar at Monza: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 4 Apr at AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 73/100 Apr 11 Apr vs Venezia: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 20/100 18 Apr vs Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 25 Apr at Inter: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 82/100 2 May vs Fiorentina: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 May 9 May at Torino: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 16 May vs Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 23 May at Genoa: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100 30 May vs Parma: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest6.9 daysbefore CAG
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d1,450 kmaway trips
Schedule load6%Low
at CagliariSat 24 Oct, 14:00 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 33 37%win27%draw36%loss Low load · 6.9 d rest at AC MilanWed 28 Oct, 17:30 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 66 18%win23%draw59%loss Low load · 4.2 d rest vs MonzaSat 31 Oct, 14:00 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 16 57%win24%draw19%loss Moderate load · 2.9 d rest · 3 in 14 d at ParmaSat 7 Nov, 17:00 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 31 40%win29%draw31%loss Low load · 7.1 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Cagliari, 24 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+10%

Baseline 3.79 → Forecast 4.17 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing−3%

Baseline 4.38 → Forecast 4.27 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Cagliari24 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 +15% −16% 1.16 → 1.33
at AC Milan28 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 −15% +25% 1.16 → 0.99
vs Monza31 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 +27% −20% 1.46 → 1.85

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Bologna

Baseline: average Serie A opponent

Attack Uplift +15% Expected goals Baseline1.16Forecast1.33
Conceding Risk −16% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.57Forecast1.32
Clean Sheet +5.9 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline20.8%Forecast26.8%