Cagliari

7th · Serie A · 13 points · Matches played: 7

6 points behind Inter · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-2.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +2.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
33.3-2.8
World Rank 184th Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank 12th L90 Strength

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Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Our take

Mid-table strength, top-table form.

Cagliari are short of quality at both ends, with one of the weaker attack in the league and one of the weaker defence in the league. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 5 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. The toughest of the next 4 matches is the trip to AS Roma.

They are comfortable without the ball, with only 41% possession, and look to hurt teams on the break. They give up a lot of shots (20 a game). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation 2%Likely 11th · 49 projected points
  • Next 4: about 4 of 12 points Toughest at AS Roma · , 12% to win
  • 1 out, none key1% of squad weight missing
  • 13 pts vs 8.3 expected+4.7 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Cagliari. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions7 Played
57.1%Win %
Wins4
Draws1
Losses2

Expected metrics · 6 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
60.86 / game
xG 6.00 1.00 fewer goals than expected. vs 5 goals
Goals Against
71.00 / game
xGA 11.67 4.67 fewer conceded than expected. vs 7 conceded
Goal Difference
-1-0.14 / game
xGD -5.67 Goal difference is 3.67 higher than expected. vs -2 GD
Clean Sheets
343% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Squad 39 players · this season, all competitions · 1 out

Top scorer
D. Maldini4 goals (1 pen)
Most assists
M. Adopo2 assists
Best rated
E. Caprile7.77 avg rating
Most minutes
E. Caprile540 min
Key to the model
D. MaldiniCore · weight 2.09

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Bologna: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Serie A · 20 clubs

L90 Strength12th of 20
33 Elo 1542 · World #184
Current Strength
33 With absences before 24 Oct: -2 Elo
Attack16th of 20
31 Scores 1.28 per match against an average top-five side
Defence15th of 20
31 Concedes 1.86 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Inter: attack 91, defence 73, L90 Strength 84 Lazio: attack 53, defence 63, L90 Strength 62 AS Roma: attack 72, defence 75, L90 Strength 74 AC Milan: attack 72, defence 69, L90 Strength 66 Como: attack 72, defence 67, L90 Strength 67 Frosinone: attack 41, defence 25, L90 Strength 30 Cagliari: attack 31, defence 31, L90 Strength 33 Juventus: attack 57, defence 76, L90 Strength 67 Napoli: attack 61, defence 70, L90 Strength 63 Torino: attack 39, defence 47, L90 Strength 39 Atalanta: attack 48, defence 45, L90 Strength 59 Lecce: attack 36, defence 30, L90 Strength 28 Sassuolo: attack 41, defence 32, L90 Strength 33 Monza: attack 34, defence 26, L90 Strength 18 Bologna: attack 35, defence 48, L90 Strength 47 Udinese: attack 22, defence 18, L90 Strength 32 Genoa: attack 23, defence 44, L90 Strength 29 Fiorentina: attack 42, defence 34, L90 Strength 39 Parma: attack 20, defence 33, L90 Strength 28 Venezia: attack 21, defence 14, L90 Strength 15
Every Serie A club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed

72
Form index · 6th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
10
Median top-5 club
7.4
Own forecasts
6.2 +3.8
Table7th L90 Strength12th Form6th

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L19 OctA · Monza0–41.4 xPts
  • D11 OctH · Juventus1–11.1 xPts
  • W19 SepA · Udinese1–01.2 xPts
  • W12 SepA · Atalanta2–10.8 xPts
  • W7 SepH · Lecce1–01.7 xPts
  • L30 AugH · Inter0–10.9 xPts
  • W22 AugA · Parma1–01.2 xPts

Trends last 7, all competitions

Scored 5/7
Clean sheet 3/7
Conceded 2+ 1/7
Over 2.5 2/7
Both teams scored 2/7

Playing style vs Serie A average

CAGLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.86 1.47 16th
Goals conceded 1.00 1.48 3rd
xG 1.00 1.47 18th
xG allowed 1.95 1.48 16th
Scored in 71% 78% 11th
Clean sheets 43% 21% 3rd
CAGLeagueRank
Shots 10.57 14.36 18th
Shots on target 4.67 4.90 12th
On target share 38% 34% 5th
Box share 60% 64% 15th
Conversion 8% 10% 14th
CAGLeagueRank
Shots allowed 19.57 14.48 20th
On target allowed 5.29 4.92 12th
Blocks 4.86 3.76 4th
Save rate 81% 70% 3rd
CAGLeagueRank
Possession 41% 50% 19th
Passes 408 459 14th
Pass accuracy 85% 85% 13th
CAGLeagueRank
Fouls 10.43 10.66 11th
Fouls suffered 8.57 10.73 17th
Yellow cards 1.29 1.64 4th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
CAGLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.00 1.45 17th
Goals conceded 1.10 1.50 3rd
xG 1.31 1.45 12th
xG allowed 1.82 1.46 16th
Scored in 70% 75% 12th
Clean sheets 30% 21% 5th
CAGLeagueRank
Shots 13.40 13.78 9th
Shots on target 5.22 4.77 7th
On target share 35% 34% 6th
Box share 61% 64% 15th
Conversion 8% 10% 18th
CAGLeagueRank
Shots allowed 17.10 14.16 18th
On target allowed 4.90 4.83 11th
Blocks 4.10 3.64 8th
Save rate 78% 70% 3rd
CAGLeagueRank
Possession 45% 50% 17th
Passes 429 453 14th
Pass accuracy 85% 85% 11th
CAGLeagueRank
Fouls 10.00 10.85 7th
Fouls suffered 9.30 10.97 17th
Yellow cards 1.30 1.63 4th
Red cards 0.00 0.04 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.33pts per game1-1-1 · 0.7–0.7 goals · 3 games
Away2.25pts per game3-0-1 · 1.0–1.2 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

1 0-15
3 16-30
2 31-45
1 1 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 2 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Serie A · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 6 16th / 20
GF/G 0.86 16th / 20
xG/G 1.00 18th / 20
G − xG -0.14 12th / 20

Defence

GA 7 3rd / 20
GA/G 1.00 3rd / 20
xGA/G 1.95 16th / 20
xGA − GA +0.95 1st / 20

Overall

Pts 13 6th / 20
xPts 8.3 13th / 20
PPG 1.86 6th / 20
TR 6.98 5th / 20
GD -1 10th / 20
xGD -6.6 17th / 20
W 4 4th / 20
L 2 6th / 20

Scorelines

  • 1–0×3
  • 0–1×1
  • 2–1×1
  • 1–1×1
  • 0–4×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
57% 1
14% 2
14% 3
14% 4
0% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
43%84%
Over 2.5
29%60%
Over 3.5
14%30%
Both scored
29%57%
Clean sheet
43%22%
Failed to score
29%22%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.