Celta Vigo

8th · La Liga · 11 points · Matches played: 9

16 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-4.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -0.1 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 53.5-4.8
World Rank 69th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 9th L90 Strength
Last AlavesH xG 0.9–1.1 2–1 Next CelticA 22%

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Our take

A solid mid-table side.

Celta Vigo rely on a top-third defence, but their attack is among the league's weakest and costs them. Across the 9 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Celtic.

La Liga · 9 games. Their scorelines look better than their chance balance. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding fewer goals than expected; good goalkeeping or poor finishing by opponents may explain the gap.

Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation 8%Likely 12th · 46 projected points
  • Next 5: about 6 of 15 points Toughest at Celtic · , 22% to win
  • 5 out, none key14% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
  • 11 pts vs 12.2 expected-1.2 vs pre-match expectations · 9 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Celta Vigo. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions11 Played
La Liga11 pts1.22 PPG9 games 8th UEFA Europa League0 pts0.00 PPG2 gamesLeague phase 29th
18.2%Win %
Wins2
Draws5
Losses4

Expected metrics · 11 of 11 matches covered

Goals For
111.00 / game
xG 10.52 0.48 more goals than expected. vs 11 goals
Goals Against
100.91 / game
xGA 12.15 2.15 fewer conceded than expected. vs 10 conceded
Goal Difference
+1+0.09 / game
xGD -1.63 Goal difference is 2.63 higher than expected. vs +1 GD
Clean Sheets
436% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

La Liga → UEFA Europa League →

Squad 33 players · this season, all competitions · 5 out

Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026

Top scorer
Ferran Jutglà2 goals
Most assists
Miguel Román2 assists
Injured
Best rated
I. Radu7.26 avg rating
Most minutes
I. Radu990 min
Key to the model
I. RaduStarter · weight 1.92
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
I. Radu 29 11 (11) 990 0 0 7.26 starter
A. Bayındır 28 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Coke Carrillo 24 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Iván Villar 29 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
Defenders
Sergio Carreira 26 11 (7) 744 0 0 6.82 starter
Marcos Alonso 35 9 (8) 733 0 0 6.93 starter
Javi Rueda 24 10 (6) 597 0 0 6.45 rotation
Javi Rodríguez 23 7 (6) 501 1 1 6.86 starter
C. Starfelt injured 31 4 (3) 308 1 0 6.99 rotation
Javi Galán 31 7 (4) 302 0 0 6.68 rotation
S. Cáceres 27 3 (3) 257 0 0 6.93 rotation
A. Faye 22 1 (1) 45 0 0 6.28 depth
J. Lopez — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Kike Ribes — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
Yoel Lago 22 10 (9) 855 0 0 6.79 rotation
I. Moriba 23 10 (9) 717 1 0 6.88 starter
Miguel Román injured 23 8 (7) 669 1 2 7.17 rotation
Hugo Álvarez 23 9 (6) 543 1 2 6.69 rotation
W. Swedberg 22 10 (6) 470 0 1 6.73 rotation
Alvaro Núñez 26 6 (5) 437 0 0 6.86 rotation
Aleix Febas 30 6 (4) 388 0 0 6.40 rotation
Hugo González 23 6 (4) 275 1 2 6.90 depth
H. Burcio — 6 (2) 186 0 0 6.62 depth
Andrés Antañón — 2 (1) 83 0 0 6.19 depth
H. Cuenca 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
O. Marcos — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
Ferran Jutglà 27 11 (9) 680 2 0 6.63 rotation
Pablo Durán injured 25 7 (4) 377 2 0 6.57 rotation
Iago Aspas 39 8 (2) 255 1 1 6.71 rotation
C. Driouech 24 7 (2) 236 0 0 6.45 rotation
Jones El-Abdellaoui injured 20 3 (2) 152 0 0 6.27 —
Borja Iglesias injured 33 4 (0) 90 0 0 6.33 rotation
Ángel Arcos — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Celtic: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength La Liga · 20 clubs

L90 Strength9th of 20
54 Elo 1667 · World #69
Current Strength
54 With absences before 22 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack18th of 20
36 Scores 1.35 per match against an average top-five side
Defence6th of 20
61 Concedes 1.38 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Barcelona: attack 97, defence 92, L90 Strength 93 Atletico Madrid: attack 82, defence 87, L90 Strength 81 Real Madrid: attack 89, defence 85, L90 Strength 89 Real Betis: attack 79, defence 59, L90 Strength 72 Real Sociedad: attack 62, defence 48, L90 Strength 58 Sevilla: attack 48, defence 57, L90 Strength 50 Alaves: attack 48, defence 55, L90 Strength 48 Celta Vigo: attack 36, defence 61, L90 Strength 54 Deportivo La Coruna: attack 40, defence 57, L90 Strength 45 Osasuna: attack 50, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 Athletic Club: attack 51, defence 64, L90 Strength 55 Villarreal: attack 76, defence 73, L90 Strength 67 Rayo Vallecano: attack 61, defence 60, L90 Strength 58 Getafe: attack 27, defence 59, L90 Strength 48 Espanyol: attack 36, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Racing Santander: attack 42, defence 22, L90 Strength 41 Levante: attack 55, defence 41, L90 Strength 48 Elche: attack 39, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Valencia: attack 39, defence 52, L90 Strength 51 Malaga: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 41
Every La Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 10 listed

47
Form index · 11th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
7
Median top-5 club
7.3
Own forecasts
6.7 +0.3
Table8th L90 Strength9th Form11th

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W18 OctH · Alaves2–11.5 xPts
  • L15 OctH · Juventus1–21.2 xPts
  • D11 OctA · Elche0–01.2 xPts
  • W19 SepH · Racing Santander5–01.5 xPts
  • L16 SepA · Omonia Nicosia0–11.4 xPts
  • D13 SepH · Malaga1–11.5 xPts
  • D7 SepA · Getafe1–11.1 xPts
  • D3 SepA · Real Sociedad0–01.0 xPts
  • L30 AugH · Athletic Club0–21.6 xPts
  • L27 AugH · Osasuna1–21.8 xPts

Trends last 10, all competitions

Scored 6/10
Clean sheet 3/10
Conceded 2+ 3/10
Over 2.5 4/10
Both teams scored 5/10

Playing style vs La Liga average

CELLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.11 1.54 16th
Goals conceded 0.78 1.55 1st
xG 0.92 1.45 18th
xG allowed 1.18 1.46 6th
Scored in 56% 75% 17th
Clean sheets 44% 25% 2nd
CELLeagueRank
Shots 9.44 13.43 20th
Shots on target 3.63 4.90 17th
On target share 34% 35% 14th
Box share 47% 59% 20th
Conversion 12% 11% 9th
CELLeagueRank
Shots allowed 13.33 13.36 11th
On target allowed 4.33 4.92 5th
Blocks 3.44 3.56 12th
Save rate 80% 69% 2nd
CELLeagueRank
Possession 50% 50% 9th
Passes 506 456 5th
Pass accuracy 87% 84% 7th
CELLeagueRank
Fouls 12.22 12.30 11th
Fouls suffered 14.44 12.30 2nd
Yellow cards 1.67 2.17 4th
Red cards 0.11 0.11 7th
This league season, per match · 9 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
CELLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.10 1.56 15th
Goals conceded 1.00 1.55 1st
xG 0.99 1.44 17th
xG allowed 1.16 1.43 6th
Scored in 60% 76% 15th
Clean sheets 30% 22% 2nd
CELLeagueRank
Shots 10.40 13.43 18th
Shots on target 3.67 4.92 17th
On target share 32% 35% 15th
Box share 50% 60% 19th
Conversion 11% 11% 12th
CELLeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.50 13.15 13th
On target allowed 4.80 4.91 9th
Blocks 3.80 3.45 6th
Save rate 77% 68% 1st
CELLeagueRank
Possession 49% 50% 11th
Passes 497 450 6th
Pass accuracy 87% 84% 6th
CELLeagueRank
Fouls 11.90 12.32 9th
Fouls suffered 13.60 12.28 4th
Yellow cards 1.50 2.11 3rd
Red cards 0.10 0.11 6th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.40pts per game2-1-2 · 1.8–1.2 goals · 5 games
Away1.00pts per game0-4-0 · 0.2–0.2 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 9 games

1 0-15
3 16-30
3 31-45
2 1 46-60
2 1 61-75
2 2 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings La Liga · 9 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 10 15th / 20
GF/G 1.11 15th / 20
xG/G 0.92 18th / 20
G − xG +0.19 8th / 20

Defence

GA 7 2nd / 20
GA/G 0.78 1st / 20
xGA/G 1.18 6th / 20
xGA − GA +0.40 2nd / 20

Overall

Pts 11 7th / 20
xPts 12.2 7th / 20
PPG 1.22 8th / 20
TR 6.87 7th / 20
GD +3 4th / 20
xGD -2.3 10th / 20
W 2 9th / 20
L 2 3rd / 20

Scorelines

  • 0–0×3
  • 1–1×2
  • 1–2×1
  • 0–2×1
  • 5–0×1
  • 2–1×1

Goals per game both teams

33% 0
0% 1
33% 2
22% 3
0% 4
11% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
67%76%
Over 2.5
33%56%
Over 3.5
11%39%
Both scored
44%59%
Clean sheet
44%25%
Failed to score
44%25%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.