Celta Vigo

8th · La Liga · 11 points · Matches played: 9

16 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-4.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -0.1 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 53.5-4.8
World Rank 69th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 9th L90 Strength
Last AlavesH xG 0.9–1.1 2–1 Next CelticA 22%

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Upcoming fixtures

Celta Vigo · All competitions

Forecast
CelticUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 22% win 0.88 xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 34% win 1.28 xPts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away 25% win 1.03 xPts Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 32% win 1.22 xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 42% win 1.52 xPts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BournemouthUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MarseilleUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LillestromUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Celta Vigo · All competitions

Full time
AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 0.9–1.1 xG +1.6 Δpts JuventusUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home L 1–2 1.1–1.3 xG -1.1 Δpts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 0–0 0.3–0.7 xG -0.2 Δpts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 5–0 2.1–0.8 xG +1.5 Δpts Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away L 0–1 1.1–0.3 xG -1.4 Δpts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 1.9–0.4 xG -0.5 Δpts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 1.0–0.7 xG -0.1 Δpts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 0–0 0.4–1.1 xG +0.0 Δpts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–2 0.8–2.8 xG -1.6 Δpts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 0.1–2.6 xG -1.8 Δpts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 0–0 0.7–0.6 xG -0.1 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Celta Vigo first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load High · 40

Rest profile4.2 days since last match
0%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel load1,550 km to venue, 1,622 km in 14 days
83%
Squad availability5 out, no key players · Last match: 18 Oct
14%

Load before the next match, at Celtic, 22 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 22 Aug at Valencia: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 48/100
D
 Aug 27 Aug vs Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 44/100
L
 30 Aug vs Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 51/100
L
 3 Sep at Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 54/100
D
 Sep 7 Sep at Getafe: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 45/100
D
 13 Sep vs Malaga: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 39/100
D
 16 Sep at Omonia Nicosia: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 33/100
L
 19 Sep vs Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 40/100
W
 11 Oct at Elche: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 41/100
D
 Oct 15 Oct vs Juventus: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 62/100
L
 18 Oct vs Alaves: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 45/100
W
 22 Oct at Celtic: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 48/100 25 Oct vs Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 50/100; match difficulty 67/100 31 Oct at Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 54/100 5 Nov vs Union St. Gilloise: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 65/100 Nov 8 Nov vs Levante: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 45/100 22 Nov at Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 85/100 26 Nov vs Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 71/100 29 Nov vs Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 62/100 6 Dec at Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 59/100; match difficulty 90/100 Dec 10 Dec at Marseille: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 44/100 13 Dec at Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 41/100 20 Dec vs Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 51/100; match difficulty 76/100 3 Jan vs Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 Jan 10 Jan at Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 47/100 17 Jan vs Valencia: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 21 Jan at Hapoel Beer Sheva: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 28/100 24 Jan at Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 40/100 28 Jan vs Lillestrom: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 27/100 31 Jan vs Getafe: Schedule difficulty 49/100; match difficulty 45/100 7 Feb at Alaves: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 45/100 Feb 14 Feb vs Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 21 Feb at Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 51/100 28 Feb vs Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100 7 Mar at Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 76/100 Mar 14 Mar at Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 44/100 21 Mar vs Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 85/100 4 Apr at Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 67/100 Apr 11 Apr vs Elche: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100 18 Apr at Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 21 Apr vs Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 49/100; match difficulty 90/100 2 May vs Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 May 9 May at Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 62/100 16 May at Malaga: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 39/100 23 May vs Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 54/100 30 May at Levante: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 45/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest4.2 daysbefore CEL
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d1,622 kmaway trips
Schedule load40%High
at CelticThu 22 Oct, 20:00 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 52 22%win22%draw56%loss High load · 4.2 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs Real BetisSun 25 Oct, 15:15 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 72 34%win26%draw40%loss Moderate load · 2.8 d rest · 3 in 14 d at Rayo VallecanoSat 31 Oct, 15:15 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 58 25%win26%draw48%loss Moderate load · 6 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs Union St. GilloiseThu 5 Nov, 20:00 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 70 32%win27%draw41%loss Low load · 5.2 d rest vs LevanteSun 8 Nov, 17:30 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 48 42%win27%draw31%loss Low load · 2.9 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Celtic, 22 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+6%

Baseline 3.51 → Forecast 3.73 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+14%

Baseline 4.57 → Forecast 5.19 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Celtic22 Oct · UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase +11% +22% 1.14 → 1.26
vs Real Betis25 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 +5% +20% 1.31 → 1.38
at Rayo Vallecano31 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 +2% −1% 1.06 → 1.08

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Celta Vigo

Baseline: average La Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +11% Expected goals Baseline1.14Forecast1.26
Conceding Risk +22% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.73Forecast2.10
Clean Sheet −5.6 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline17.8%Forecast12.2%