L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.
-1.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed -3.9 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 38.7-1.0
-1.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed -3.9 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 38.7-1.0
World Rank
143rd
Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank
11th
L90 Strength
An average side on a poor run.
Fiorentina are a mid-table side at both ends, without a clear strength to lean on. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 6 fewer points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. The toughest of the next 4 matches is the trip to Inter.
Their results hold up much the same at home and away.
- Relegation 13%Likely 14th · 43 projected points
-
Next 4: about 4 of 12 points Toughest at
Inter · , 7% to win
- 1 out, none key0% of squad weight missing
- 4 pts vs 9.5 expected-5.5 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Fiorentina. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Headlines
-
Trend
Fiorentina
71%
Both teams scored
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Insight
Fiorentina
−5.5
Points below expected
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Points4.0xPts9.5
-
Alert
Fiorentina
2.4
Goals conceded per match
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Streak
Fiorentina
5
Scoring in a row
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row
Attack
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →
Season
League position and season results.
Overview
2026-2027Serie AView table →
Position
18th/ 20
Points
40.57 PPG
Played
7
League gap
15pts behind leader
14.3%Win %
Wins1
Draws1
Losses5
Expected metrics · 6 of 7 matches covered
Goals For
81.14 / game
xG
9.56
2.56 fewer goals than expected.
vs 7 goals
Goals Against
172.43 / game
xGA
9.49
5.51 more conceded than expected.
vs 15 conceded
Goal Difference
-9-1.29 / game
xGD
+0.07
Goal difference is 8.07 lower than expected.
vs -8 GD
Clean Sheets
00% of games
All competitions7 Played
14.3%Win %
Wins1
Draws1
Losses5
Expected metrics · 6 of 7 matches covered
Goals For
81.14 / game
xG
9.56
2.56 fewer goals than expected.
vs 7 goals
Goals Against
172.43 / game
xGA
9.49
5.51 more conceded than expected.
vs 15 conceded
Goal Difference
-9-1.29 / game
xGD
+0.07
Goal difference is 8.07 lower than expected.
vs -8 GD
Clean Sheets
00% of games
Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.
League standings
Serie A · 2026-2027
Swipe to explore the league table →
| # | Club | Rating | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1– | Inter |
84 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 2– |  Lazio |
62 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 3– |  AS Roma |
74 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 | WWDDW |
| 4▲ |  AC Milan |
66 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 | DDWDW |
| 5▲ |  Como |
67 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 | WWLDW |
| 6▲ |  Frosinone |
30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 | WDWLW |
| 7▼ |  Cagliari |
33 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 13 | WWWDL |
| 8▼ |  Juventus |
67 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DLWDL |
| 9▼ |  Napoli |
63 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 | LWDWL |
| 10▲ |  Torino |
39 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 | WLDWW |
| 11▼ |  Atalanta |
59 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 | LLLWL |
| 12▲ |  Lecce |
28 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 13▼ |  Sassuolo |
33 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 | DWLDL |
| 14▲ |  Monza |
18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 15▼ |  Bologna |
47 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 16▼ |  Udinese |
32 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 17– |  Genoa |
29 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 18▲ | Fiorentina |
39 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | LWDLL |
| 19▼ |  Parma |
28 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 20– |  Venezia |
15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 | LLLLW |
20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.
League position over time
Position by matchweek
Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.
View position history
| MW | Results through (UTC) | Position | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 Aug 2026 | 20 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | 31 Aug 2026 | 20 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 Sep 2026 | 20 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 Sep 2026 | 15 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | 20 Sep 2026 | 17 | 4 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 Oct 2026 | 19 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | 19 Oct 2026 | 18 | 4 | 7 |
Competition standings
There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.
Squad 32 players · this season, all competitions · 4 out
Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026
Top scorer
Franco Mastantuono3 goals
Injured
Franco Mastantuono3 goals
Most assists
R. Drăgușin1 assists
R. Drăgușin1 assists
Best rated
Mateo Pellegrino6.86 avg rating
Mateo Pellegrino6.86 avg rating
Most minutes
David de Gea630 min
David de Gea630 min
Key to the model
R. DrăgușinStarter · weight 2.00
R. DrăgușinStarter · weight 2.00| Player | Age | Apps | Min | G | A | Rating | Model role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeepers | |||||||
| David de Gea |
35 | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | 6.54 | starter |
 O. Christensen |
27 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | depth |
 L. Lezzerini |
31 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | depth |
| Defenders | |||||||
| R. Drăgușin |
24 | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | 6.64 | starter |
 Álex Jiménez |
21 | 6 (5) | 441 | 1 | 1 | 6.42 | starter |
 Viery |
21 | 6 (4) | 364 | 0 | 0 | 6.16 | rotation |
 L. Ranieri injured |
27 | 4 (4) | 309 | 0 | 0 | 6.21 | starter |
 Víctor Valdepeñas |
19 | 4 (2) | 250 | 0 | 0 | 6.41 | rotation |
 João Mário |
26 | 3 (2) | 176 | 0 | 0 | 6.79 | rotation |
 M. Pongračić |
29 | 4 (2) | 157 | 1 | 0 | 6.61 | starter |
 Dodô |
27 | 3 (1) | 121 | 0 | 0 | 5.95 | starter |
 V. Valdepenas |
— | 2 (1) | 100 | 0 | 0 | — | rotation |
 F. Parisi injured |
25 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Midfielders | |||||||
 C. Ndour |
22 | 7 (6) | 566 | 0 | 1 | 6.55 | starter |
 N. Fagioli |
25 | 7 (6) | 541 | 0 | 1 | 6.66 | starter |
| Franco Mastantuono injured |
19 | 7 (7) | 536 | 3 | 0 | 6.79 | starter |
 A. Atta injured |
23 | 5 (4) | 335 | 0 | 0 | 6.43 | rotation |
 Christ Inao Oulaï |
20 | 4 (3) | 168 | 0 | 0 | 6.69 | rotation |
 M. Brescianini |
26 | 5 (2) | 148 | 0 | 0 | 6.34 | rotation |
 Pote |
28 | 5 (1) | 117 | 0 | 0 | 6.28 | rotation |
 R. Mandragora |
29 | 2 (0) | 35 | 0 | 0 | 6.40 | rotation |
 Piergiorgio Bonanno |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Antonio Pirrò |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Brando Mazzeo |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Forwards | |||||||
| Mateo Pellegrino |
24 | 7 (5) | 467 | 2 | 0 | 6.86 | starter |
 A. Njie |
21 | 5 (4) | 374 | 0 | 0 | 6.49 | starter |
 D. Gnonto |
22 | 5 (1) | 193 | 0 | 0 | 6.37 | rotation |
 Beto |
28 | 5 (2) | 174 | 0 | 1 | 6.19 | rotation |
 A. Guðmundsson |
29 | 1 (1) | 71 | 0 | 0 | 7.90 | rotation |
 M. Kean |
26 | 1 (0) | 27 | 0 | 0 | 6.50 | — |
 F. Croci |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 M. Nzola |
30 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Inter: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.
Performance
Strength, recent form and playing style.
Strength Serie A · 20 clubs
L90 Strength11th of 20
39
Elo 1577 · World #143
Current Strength
39
With absences before 25 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack9th of 20
42
Scores 1.42 per match against an average top-five side
Defence12th of 20
34
Concedes 1.79 per match against an average top-five side
In forecast League average
L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.
Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed
20
LWDLL Form index · 18th of 20 in league
- Points, last 5
- 4
- Median top-5 club
- 7.9
- Own forecasts
- 6.8 -2.8
Table18th
L90 Strength11th
Form18th
Lower in the table than their strength suggests.
Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.
- L18 OctH · Como1–31.0 xPts
- L10 OctA · Genoa1–21.4 xPts
- D20 SepH · Napoli1–11.2 xPts
- W11 SepA · Venezia4–21.6 xPts
- L5 SepH · Torino1–21.6 xPts
- L29 AugH · Frosinone0–32.0 xPts
- L24 AugA · AS Roma0–40.8 xPts
Trends last 7, all competitions
Scored
5/7
Clean sheet
0/7
Conceded 2+
6/7
Over 2.5
6/7
Both teams scored
5/7
Playing style vs Serie A average
FIOLeagueRank
Goals scored
1.14
1.47
15th
Goals conceded
2.43
1.48
20th
xG
1.59
1.47
7th
xG allowed
1.58
1.48
12th
Scored in
71%
78%
11th
Clean sheets
0%
21%
14th
FIOLeagueRank
Shots
16.43
14.36
7th
Shots on target
5.43
4.90
7th
On target share
33%
34%
12th
Box share
61%
64%
14th
Conversion
7%
10%
17th
FIOLeagueRank
Shots allowed
12.14
14.48
5th
On target allowed
5.43
4.92
13th
Blocks
2.00
3.76
19th
Save rate
55%
70%
20th
FIOLeagueRank
Possession
47%
50%
13th
Passes
390
459
15th
Pass accuracy
84%
85%
15th
FIOLeagueRank
Fouls
11.00
10.66
13th
Fouls suffered
12.43
10.73
4th
Yellow cards
2.00
1.64
17th
Red cards
0.00
0.02
1st
FIOLeagueRank
Goals scored
1.10
1.45
15th
Goals conceded
1.80
1.50
15th
xG
1.31
1.45
12th
xG allowed
1.47
1.46
12th
Scored in
70%
75%
12th
Clean sheets
20%
21%
9th
FIOLeagueRank
Shots
14.90
13.78
6th
Shots on target
4.70
4.77
12th
On target share
32%
34%
13th
Box share
61%
64%
16th
Conversion
7%
10%
19th
FIOLeagueRank
Shots allowed
13.90
14.16
10th
On target allowed
5.60
4.83
16th
Blocks
2.40
3.64
19th
Save rate
70%
70%
8th
FIOLeagueRank
Possession
47%
50%
15th
Passes
388
453
17th
Pass accuracy
84%
85%
15th
FIOLeagueRank
Fouls
11.10
10.85
12th
Fouls suffered
13.00
10.97
2nd
Yellow cards
1.60
1.63
10th
Red cards
0.10
0.04
14th
Home and away this league season
Home0.25pts per game0-1-3 · 0.8–2.2 goals · 4 games
Away1.00pts per game1-0-2 · 1.7–2.7 goals · 3 games
Goal timing this league season · 7 games
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
3
76-90
scored conceded, per 15 minutes
In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average
Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.
Team rankings Serie A · 7 games · rank of 20
Attack
GF
8
15th / 20
GF/G
1.14
15th / 20
xG/G
1.59
7th / 20
G − xG
-0.45
19th / 20
Defence
GA
17
20th / 20
GA/G
2.43
20th / 20
xGA/G
1.58
12th / 20
xGA − GA
-0.85
20th / 20
Overall
Pts
4
16th / 20
xPts
9.5
10th / 20
PPG
0.57
16th / 20
TR
6.54
20th / 20
GD
-9
18th / 20
xGD
+0.1
9th / 20
W
1
15th / 20
L
5
16th / 20
Scorelines
- 1–2×2
- 0–4×1
- 0–3×1
- 4–2×1
- 1–1×1
- 1–3×1
Goals per game both teams
0%
0
0%
1
14%
2
43%
3
29%
4
14%
5+
Totals club · league
- Over 1.5
- 100%84%
- Over 2.5
- 86%60%
- Over 3.5
- 43%30%
- Both scored
- 71%57%
- Clean sheet
- 0%22%
- Failed to score
- 29%22%
ClubLeague average
This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.