Fiorentina

18th · Serie A · 4 points · Matches played: 7

15 points behind Inter · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-1.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -3.9 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
38.7-1.0
World Rank 143rd Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank 11th L90 Strength

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Upcoming fixtures

Fiorentina · All competitions

Forecast
InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 7% win 0.32 xPts AtalantaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 39% win 1.42 xPts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 32% win 1.20 xPts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 23% win 0.92 xPts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ParmaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BolognaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AC MilanSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LecceSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AtalantaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ComoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AC MilanSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ParmaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BolognaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AS RomaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LecceSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Fiorentina · All competitions

Full time
ComoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home L 1–3 2.1–1.8 xG -1.0 Δpts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 1.0–1.4 xG -1.4 Δpts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 0.9–1.4 xG -0.2 Δpts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away W 4–2 3.4–0.7 xG +1.4 Δpts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 — xG -1.6 Δpts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Home L 0–3 1.9–1.1 xG -2.0 Δpts AS RomaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away L 0–4 0.4–3.1 xG -0.7 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Fiorentina first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile6.9 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load248 km to venue, 0 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability1 out, no key players
0%

Load before the next match, at Inter, 25 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 24 Aug at AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 79/100
L
Aug 29 Aug vs Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100
L
5 Sep vs Torino: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100
L
Sep 11 Sep at Venezia: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 25/100
W
20 Sep vs Napoli: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 70/100
D
10 Oct at Genoa: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100
L
Oct 18 Oct vs Como: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100
L
25 Oct at Inter: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 86/100 29 Oct vs Atalanta: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 2 Nov at Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 Nov 8 Nov vs Juventus: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 23 Nov at Monza: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 29/100 29 Nov at Udinese: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 6 Dec vs Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 45/100 Dec 13 Dec at Parma: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 39/100 20 Dec vs Bologna: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 3 Jan vs Lazio: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 70/100 Jan 6 Jan at AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 73/100 10 Jan vs Lecce: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100 17 Jan at Napoli: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 70/100 24 Jan vs Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 31 Jan at Atalanta: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 7 Feb vs Udinese: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 Feb 14 Feb at Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 21 Feb vs Inter: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 86/100 28 Feb at Torino: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 50/100 7 Mar vs Venezia: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 25/100 Mar 14 Mar at Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 45/100 21 Mar vs Genoa: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100 4 Apr at Como: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 Apr 11 Apr vs AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 18 Apr vs Parma: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 39/100 25 Apr at Juventus: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 73/100 2 May at Bologna: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 May 9 May vs AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 79/100 16 May at Lecce: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 40/100 23 May vs Monza: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 29/100 30 May at Lazio: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 70/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest6.9 daysbefore INT
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Inter, 25 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−3%

Baseline 3.96 → Forecast 3.84 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+29%

Baseline 4.96 → Forecast 6.40 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Inter25 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 −23% +85% 1.22 → 0.94
vs Atalanta29 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 0% +3% 1.53 → 1.52
at Sassuolo2 Nov · Serie A 2026-2027 +14% −6% 1.21 → 1.39

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Fiorentina

Baseline: average Serie A opponent

Attack Downlift −23% Expected goals Baseline1.22Forecast0.94
Conceding Risk +85% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.78Forecast3.29
Clean Sheet −13.2 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline16.9%Forecast3.7%