Le Mans

16th · Ligue 1 · 6 points · Matches played: 7

8 points behind Lyon · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-2.7 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.0 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 25.7-2.7
World Rank 283rd Global, by Elo
Ligue 1 Rank 15th L90 Strength
Last ToulouseH xG 0.9–1.8 0–3 Next AuxerreA 25%

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Upcoming fixtures

Le Mans · All competitions

Forecast
AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away 25% win 0.96 xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away 39% win 1.44 xPts MonacoLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home 24% win 0.96 xPts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Paris FCLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LyonLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NiceLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MonacoLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Paris FCLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts RennesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LyonLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Le Mans · All competitions

Full time
ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home L 0–3 0.9–1.8 xG -1.3 Δpts Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away L 1–3 1.5–4.3 xG -0.2 Δpts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 — xG +1.5 Δpts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 — xG +0.2 Δpts NiceLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 — xG -0.2 Δpts RennesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away L 2–3 3.0–2.7 xG -0.7 Δpts Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 0.7–2.7 xG -0.6 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Le Mans first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile8.9 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load252 km to venue, 0 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability5 out, 1 key: A. Bourabaa · Last match: 16 Oct
10%

Load before the next match, at Auxerre, 25 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 22 Aug vs Stade Brestois 29: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100
D
 Aug 30 Aug at Rennes: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100
L
 5 Sep at Nice: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 51/100
D
 Sep 13 Sep vs Lens: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 76/100
D
 19 Sep vs Lorient: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100
W
 10 Oct at Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 94/100
L
 Oct 16 Oct vs Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100
L
 25 Oct at Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 31 Oct at Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100 8 Nov vs Monaco: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 76/100 Nov 22 Nov at Marseille: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 69/100 28 Nov vs Lille: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100 5 Dec at Paris FC: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100 Dec 12 Dec at LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 2 Jan vs Lyon: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 78/100 Jan 16 Jan at Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 68/100 23 Jan vs Angers: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100 30 Jan vs Nice: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 51/100 6 Feb at Lorient: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100 Feb 13 Feb vs Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 94/100 20 Feb at Monaco: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 76/100 27 Feb vs Paris FC: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100 6 Mar at Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 63/100 Mar 13 Mar vs Rennes: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 20 Mar at Angers: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100 3 Apr vs Marseille: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 69/100 Apr 10 Apr vs Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 17 Apr at Stade Brestois 29: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 58/100 24 Apr vs LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 1 May at Lens: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 76/100 May 8 May vs Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100 16 May at Lyon: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 78/100 22 May vs Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 68/100 29 May at Lille: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 75/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest8.9 daysbefore AUX
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
at AuxerreSun 25 Oct, 16:15 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 30 25%win22%draw53%loss Low load · 8.9 d rest at Estac TroyesSat 31 Oct, 19:45 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 12 39%win26%draw34%loss Low load · 6.1 d rest vs MonacoSun 8 Nov, 16:15 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 58 24%win24%draw52%loss Low load · 7.9 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Auxerre, 25 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing+21%

Baseline 2.35 → Forecast 2.84 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing−20%

Baseline 4.30 → Forecast 3.43 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Auxerre25 Oct · Ligue 1 2026-2027 +15% −5% 1.17 → 1.36
at Estac Troyes31 Oct · Ligue 1 2026-2027 +27% −36% 1.17 → 1.49
vs Monaco8 Nov · Ligue 1 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Le Mans

Baseline: average Ligue 1 opponent

Attack Uplift +15% Expected goals Baseline1.17Forecast1.36
Conceding Risk −5% Expected goals conceded Baseline2.15Forecast2.05
Clean Sheet +1.3 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline11.6%Forecast12.9%