Maritimo

11th · Primeira Liga · 8 points · Matches played: 8

16 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.9 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.0 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 15.5+0.9
World Rank 446th Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 18th L90 Strength
Last FC PortoH xG 0.3–2.2 1–2 Next GuimaraesA 19%

Compare clubs

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Our take

Up against it.

Maritimo are short of quality at both ends, with one of the weaker attack in the league and one of the weaker defence in the league. Across the 8 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. The squad is fully fit, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Guimaraes.

They play a physical game, among the most fouls in the league. Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation 25%Likely 15th · 33 projected points
  • Next 3: about 3 of 9 points Toughest at Guimaraes · , 19% to win
  • Full squadNobody reported missing
  • 8 pts vs 7.1 expected+0.9 vs pre-match expectations · 8 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Maritimo. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions8 Played
Primeira Liga8 pts1.00 PPG8 games 11th
25.0%Win %
Wins2
Draws2
Losses4

Expected metrics · 5 of 8 matches covered

Goals For
91.13 / game
xG 5.25 1.75 more goals than expected. vs 7 goals
Goals Against
141.75 / game
xGA 7.06 0.06 fewer conceded than expected. vs 7 conceded
Goal Difference
-5-0.62 / game
xGD -1.81 Goal difference is 1.81 higher than expected. vs +0 GD
Clean Sheets
113% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Primeira Liga →

Squad 32 players · this season, all competitions

Top scorer
Romain Correia1 goals
Most assists
Martín Tejón1 assists
Best rated
Romain Correia6.87 avg rating
Most minutes
Romain Correia720 min
Key to the model
Romain CorreiaStarter · weight 2.00
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
Alfonso Pastor 26 6 (6) 540 0 0 6.47 starter
Fran Vieites 27 2 (2) 180 0 0 6.95 rotation
Pedro Teixeira — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Gonçalo Tabuaço 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Kimiss — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
Romain Correia 27 8 (8) 720 1 0 6.87 starter
Paulo Henrique 30 8 (8) 720 1 0 6.42 starter
Igor Julião 32 8 (8) 708 0 0 6.06 starter
Rafael Fernandes 24 6 (6) 537 0 0 6.53 starter
G. Szalai 26 4 (2) 182 1 0 6.71 rotation
Tomás Tavares 25 3 (1) 79 0 0 6.41 rotation
Nilton Varela 25 3 (0) 60 0 0 6.14 rotation
N. Ogbeta 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
R. Guzzo 31 8 (8) 680 1 0 6.59 starter
Martín Tejón 22 8 (8) 667 1 1 6.76 starter
Rodrigo Andrade 24 8 (7) 595 0 0 6.36 starter
V. Danilović 27 7 (7) 512 0 0 6.74 starter
M. Dominguez 30 5 (2) 179 0 1 6.29 rotation
I. Ayuma 21 5 (0) 107 1 0 6.60 rotation
Ibrahim Alani 20 2 (1) 101 0 0 6.25 rotation
N. Batista 17 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Yellu Santiago 22 1 (0) 0 0 0 — —
F. Silva — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
Adrián Butzke 27 8 (8) 640 1 0 6.58 starter
M. Diouri 26 4 (3) 245 1 0 6.74 rotation
B. Limbombe 25 4 (3) 188 0 0 6.52 rotation
S. Bamba 22 7 (0) 128 0 0 6.38 rotation
Maurice Osei Boakye 22 8 (0) 119 1 1 6.60 rotation
M. Bassouamina 28 3 (0) 33 0 0 6.52 rotation
F. Aguiar Gomes 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
José Miguel Reis Melro — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
E. Peña Zauner — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Guimaraes: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Primeira Liga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength18th of 18
16 Elo 1392 · World #446
Current Strength
16 With absences before 23 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack16th of 18
15 Scores 1.03 per match against an average top-five side
Defence17th of 18
20 Concedes 2.14 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → FC Porto: attack 74, defence 79, L90 Strength 80 Benfica: attack 81, defence 81, L90 Strength 82 Sporting CP: attack 75, defence 81, L90 Strength 84 Santa Clara: attack 29, defence 53, L90 Strength 34 Arouca: attack 28, defence 37, L90 Strength 34 GIL Vicente: attack 32, defence 50, L90 Strength 34 Academico Viseu: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 32 Alverca: attack 38, defence 42, L90 Strength 30 SC Braga: attack 41, defence 59, L90 Strength 56 Estrela: attack 24, defence 27, L90 Strength 20 Maritimo: attack 15, defence 20, L90 Strength 16 Moreirense: attack 17, defence 27, L90 Strength 25 Famalicao: attack 24, defence 36, L90 Strength 38 Rio Ave: attack 18, defence 21, L90 Strength 21 Guimaraes: attack 28, defence 39, L90 Strength 27 Nacional: attack 15, defence 13, L90 Strength 17 Casa Pia: attack 13, defence 25, L90 Strength 18 Estoril: attack 21, defence 29, L90 Strength 22
Every Primeira Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 8 listed

12
Form index · 16th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
1
Median top-5 club
6.5
Own forecasts
3.6 -2.6
Table11th L90 Strength18th Form16th

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L10 OctH · FC Porto1–20.5 xPts
  • D19 SepA · GIL Vicente1–10.8 xPts
  • L14 SepA · Moreirense1–31.1 xPts
  • L5 SepH · Benfica0–30.4 xPts
  • L29 AugA · Arouca1–20.9 xPts
  • D22 AugH · Academico Viseu2–21.5 xPts
  • W16 AugA · Famalicao2–10.6 xPts
  • W8 AugH · Casa Pia1–01.3 xPts

Trends last 8, all competitions

Scored 7/8
Clean sheet 1/8
Conceded 2+ 5/8
Over 2.5 6/8
Both teams scored 6/8

Playing style vs Primeira Liga average

MARLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.13 1.37 11th
Goals conceded 1.75 1.37 13th
xG 1.05 1.26 12th
xG allowed 1.41 1.23 9th
Scored in 88% 73% 4th
Clean sheets 13% 28% 11th
MARLeagueRank
Shots 10.00 12.17 13th
Shots on target 3.25 4.15 15th
On target share 33% 33% 12th
Box share 65% 61% 5th
Conversion 11% 11% 12th
MARLeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.13 12.12 12th
On target allowed 5.75 4.11 15th
Blocks 3.57 3.19 7th
Save rate 67% 67% 8th
MARLeagueRank
Possession 45% 50% 15th
Passes 366 426 14th
Pass accuracy 80% 83% 14th
MARLeagueRank
Fouls 15.25 12.61 17th
Fouls suffered 12.50 12.59 11th
Yellow cards 1.63 2.13 4th
Red cards 0.00 0.05 1st
This league season, per match · 8 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
MARLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.10 1.31 10th
Goals conceded 1.70 1.35 13th
xG 1.05 1.15 10th
xG allowed 1.41 1.30 13th
Scored in 90% 71% 3rd
Clean sheets 20% 28% 11th
MARLeagueRank
Shots 11.90 11.88 7th
Shots on target 3.60 3.99 9th
On target share 30% 33% 14th
Box share 64% 60% 5th
Conversion 9% 11% 14th
MARLeagueRank
Shots allowed 13.60 12.49 12th
On target allowed 5.20 4.13 15th
Blocks 3.33 3.33 9th
Save rate 69% 69% 9th
MARLeagueRank
Possession 47% 50% 13th
Passes 372 417 13th
Pass accuracy 81% 83% 14th
MARLeagueRank
Fouls 16.00 12.49 18th
Fouls suffered 12.70 12.54 7th
Yellow cards 1.90 2.18 4th
Red cards 0.10 0.06 10th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.00pts per game1-1-2 · 1.0–1.8 goals · 4 games
Away1.00pts per game1-1-2 · 1.2–1.8 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 8 games

3 0-15
3 3 16-30
3 31-45
1 46-60
2 1 61-75
4 3 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Primeira Liga · 8 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 9 10th / 18
GF/G 1.13 10th / 18
xG/G 1.05 12th / 18
G − xG +0.07 12th / 18

Defence

GA 14 13th / 18
GA/G 1.75 13th / 18
xGA/G 1.41 9th / 18
xGA − GA -0.34 13th / 18

Overall

Pts 8 11th / 18
xPts 7.1 18th / 18
PPG 1.00 11th / 18
TR 6.55 16th / 18
GD -5 12th / 18
xGD -2.9 10th / 18
W 2 10th / 18
L 4 12th / 18

Scorelines

  • 1–2×2
  • 1–0×1
  • 2–1×1
  • 2–2×1
  • 0–3×1
  • 1–3×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
13% 1
13% 2
50% 3
25% 4
0% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
88%75%
Over 2.5
75%56%
Over 3.5
25%36%
Both scored
75%51%
Clean sheet
13%27%
Failed to score
13%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.