Maritimo

11th · Primeira Liga · 8 points · Matches played: 8

16 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.9 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.0 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 15.5+0.9
World Rank 446th Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 18th L90 Strength
Last FC PortoH xG 0.3–2.2 1–2 Next GuimaraesA 19%

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Upcoming fixtures

Maritimo · All competitions

Forecast
GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 19% win 0.80 xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home 27% win 1.09 xPts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 24% win 0.96 xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Maritimo · All competitions

Full time
FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 0.3–2.2 xG -0.4 Δpts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 — xG +0.2 Δpts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–3 — xG -1.1 Δpts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–3 — xG -0.4 Δpts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 0.7–1.7 xG -0.9 Δpts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 1.3–1.8 xG -0.5 Δpts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 1.6–0.7 xG +2.4 Δpts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 1.4–0.7 xG +1.7 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Maritimo first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 12

Rest profile13.1 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load1,237 km to venue, 0 km in 14 days
40%
Squad availabilityFull squad available
0%

Load before the next match, at Guimaraes, 23 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 8 Aug vs Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100
W
 Aug 16 Aug at Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 74/100
W
 22 Aug vs Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 69/100
D
 29 Aug at Arouca: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 71/100
L
 5 Sep vs Benfica: Schedule difficulty 50/100; match difficulty 94/100
L
 Sep 14 Sep at Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 63/100
L
 19 Sep at GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 71/100
D
 10 Oct vs FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 93/100
L
 Oct 23 Oct at Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 65/100 1 Nov vs Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 71/100 Nov 8 Nov at Estoril: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 59/100 27 Nov vs Nacional: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 6 Dec at Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 54/100; match difficulty 95/100 Dec 13 Dec vs Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 58/100 20 Dec at Estrela: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 56/100 27 Dec vs SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 84/100 10 Jan at Alverca: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 68/100 Jan 17 Jan at Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 54/100 24 Jan vs Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 74/100 31 Jan at Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 69/100 7 Feb vs Arouca: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 71/100 Feb 14 Feb at Benfica: Schedule difficulty 56/100; match difficulty 94/100 21 Feb vs Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 63/100 28 Feb vs GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 71/100 7 Mar at FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 53/100; match difficulty 93/100 Mar 14 Mar vs Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 65/100 21 Mar at Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 71/100 4 Apr vs Estoril: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 59/100 Apr 11 Apr at Nacional: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 18 Apr vs Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 48/100; match difficulty 95/100 25 Apr at Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 58/100 2 May vs Estrela: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 56/100 May 9 May at SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 51/100; match difficulty 84/100 16 May vs Alverca: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 68/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest13.1 daysbefore GUI
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load12%Low
at GuimaraesFri 23 Oct, 20:45 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 27 19%win24%draw58%loss Low load · 13.1 d rest vs Santa ClaraSun 1 Nov, 18:00 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 34 27%win27%draw46%loss Low load · 8.9 d rest at EstorilSun 8 Nov, 15:30 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 22 24%win25%draw51%loss Low load · 6.9 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Guimaraes, 23 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing−3%

Baseline 2.13 → Forecast 2.07 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing−3%

Baseline 3.48 → Forecast 3.36 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Guimaraes23 Oct · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 +4% −3% 0.94 → 0.98
vs Santa Clara1 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 −8% −4% 1.19 → 1.09
at Estoril8 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Maritimo

Baseline: average Primeira Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +4% Expected goals Baseline0.94Forecast0.98
Conceding Risk −3% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.93Forecast1.87
Clean Sheet +0.9 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline14.5%Forecast15.5%