Rayo Vallecano

13th · La Liga · 9 points · Matches played: 8

18 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+3.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.6 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
57.8+3.2
World Rank 60th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 6th L90 Strength

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Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Our take

A solid mid-table side.

Rayo Vallecano are a mid-table side at both ends, without a clear strength to lean on. Across the 8 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. A. Batalla and A. Rațiu are out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Real Sociedad.

La Liga · 8 games. Their underlying numbers look better than their results. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

They give up a lot of shots (17 a game). Home is where they earn their points: 2.3 per game there against 0.4 away.

  • Relegation 2%Likely 9th · 51 projected points
  • Next 3: about 5 of 9 points Toughest at Real Sociedad · , 33% to win
  • 2 key players outA. Batalla, A. Rațiu · 18% of squad weight missing · Last match: 19 Oct
  • 9 pts vs 9.7 expected-0.7 vs pre-match expectations · 8 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Rayo Vallecano. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions8 Played
25.0%Win %
Wins2
Draws3
Losses3

Expected metrics · 8 of 8 matches covered

Goals For
121.50 / game
xG 11.09 0.91 more goals than expected. vs 12 goals
Goals Against
172.13 / game
xGA 12.99 4.01 more conceded than expected. vs 17 conceded
Goal Difference
-5-0.62 / game
xGD -1.90 Goal difference is 3.10 lower than expected. vs -5 GD
Clean Sheets
00% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Squad 35 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out

Absences reported for the last match: 19 Oct 2026

Top scorer
Sergio Camello7 goals
Most assists
Unai López3 assists
Best rated
Sergio Camello7.80 avg rating
Most minutes
F. Lejeune630 min
Key to the model
F. LejeuneStarter · weight 1.88

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Elche: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength La Liga · 20 clubs

L90 Strength6th of 20
58 Elo 1693 · World #60
Current Strength
58 With absences before 24 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack7th of 20
61 Scores 1.71 per match against an average top-five side
Defence7th of 20
60 Concedes 1.39 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Barcelona: attack 97, defence 92, L90 Strength 93 Atletico Madrid: attack 82, defence 87, L90 Strength 81 Real Madrid: attack 89, defence 85, L90 Strength 89 Real Betis: attack 79, defence 59, L90 Strength 72 Real Sociedad: attack 62, defence 48, L90 Strength 58 Sevilla: attack 48, defence 57, L90 Strength 50 Alaves: attack 48, defence 55, L90 Strength 48 Celta Vigo: attack 36, defence 61, L90 Strength 54 Deportivo La Coruna: attack 40, defence 57, L90 Strength 45 Osasuna: attack 50, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 Athletic Club: attack 51, defence 64, L90 Strength 55 Villarreal: attack 76, defence 73, L90 Strength 67 Rayo Vallecano: attack 61, defence 60, L90 Strength 58 Getafe: attack 27, defence 59, L90 Strength 48 Espanyol: attack 36, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Racing Santander: attack 42, defence 22, L90 Strength 41 Levante: attack 55, defence 41, L90 Strength 48 Elche: attack 39, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Valencia: attack 39, defence 52, L90 Strength 51 Malaga: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 41
Every La Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 8 listed

66
Form index · 9th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
8
Median top-5 club
6.1
Own forecasts
6.5 +1.6
Table13th L90 Strength6th Form9th

Lower in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • D19 OctA · Getafe1–11.4 xPts
  • D19 SepA · Osasuna1–11.3 xPts
  • W15 SepH · Espanyol2–11.7 xPts
  • L12 SepA · Real Madrid1–40.4 xPts
  • W5 SepH · Racing Santander3–21.7 xPts
  • L31 AugA · Barcelona2–50.3 xPts
  • D20 AugH · Alaves1–11.6 xPts
  • L15 AugA · Sevilla1–21.4 xPts

Trends last 8, all competitions

Scored 8/8
Clean sheet 0/8
Conceded 2+ 4/8
Over 2.5 5/8
Both teams scored 8/8

Playing style vs La Liga average

RAYLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.57 1.54 6th
Goals conceded 2.29 1.55 19th
xG 1.27 1.45 11th
xG allowed 1.76 1.46 16th
Scored in 100% 75% 1st
Clean sheets 0% 25% 18th
RAYLeagueRank
Shots 13.43 13.43 8th
Shots on target 4.57 4.90 10th
On target share 34% 35% 15th
Box share 57% 59% 14th
Conversion 12% 11% 10th
RAYLeagueRank
Shots allowed 16.57 13.36 20th
On target allowed 5.57 4.92 13th
Blocks 4.14 3.56 4th
Save rate 59% 69% 19th
RAYLeagueRank
Possession 49% 50% 12th
Passes 381 456 15th
Pass accuracy 81% 84% 17th
RAYLeagueRank
Fouls 13.43 12.30 13th
Fouls suffered 13.14 12.30 7th
Yellow cards 2.43 2.17 14th
Red cards 0.29 0.11 20th
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
RAYLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.50 1.56 8th
Goals conceded 1.80 1.55 13th
xG 1.23 1.44 13th
xG allowed 1.76 1.43 17th
Scored in 90% 76% 3rd
Clean sheets 10% 22% 15th
RAYLeagueRank
Shots 13.30 13.43 9th
Shots on target 4.70 4.92 11th
On target share 35% 35% 14th
Box share 54% 60% 18th
Conversion 11% 11% 11th
RAYLeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.70 13.15 18th
On target allowed 5.50 4.91 14th
Blocks 4.50 3.45 2nd
Save rate 67% 68% 12th
RAYLeagueRank
Possession 50% 50% 6th
Passes 393 450 14th
Pass accuracy 81% 84% 14th
RAYLeagueRank
Fouls 13.50 12.32 14th
Fouls suffered 13.00 12.28 7th
Yellow cards 2.80 2.11 18th
Red cards 0.20 0.11 15th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home2.33pts per game2-1-0 · 2.0–1.3 goals · 3 games
Away0.40pts per game0-2-3 · 1.2–2.6 goals · 5 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

3 2 0-15
2 5 16-30
1 1 31-45
5 3 46-60
1 61-75
4 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings La Liga · 8 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 12 11th / 20
GF/G 1.50 7th / 20
xG/G 1.27 11th / 20
G − xG +0.23 6th / 20

Defence

GA 17 15th / 20
GA/G 2.13 19th / 20
xGA/G 1.76 16th / 20
xGA − GA -0.36 18th / 20

Overall

Pts 9 11th / 20
xPts 9.7 17th / 20
PPG 1.13 12th / 20
TR 6.72 14th / 20
GD -5 14th / 20
xGD -3.9 14th / 20
W 2 9th / 20
L 3 8th / 20

Scorelines

  • 1–1×3
  • 1–2×1
  • 2–5×1
  • 3–2×1
  • 1–4×1
  • 2–1×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
0% 1
38% 2
25% 3
0% 4
38% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
100%76%
Over 2.5
63%56%
Over 3.5
38%39%
Both scored
100%59%
Clean sheet
0%25%
Failed to score
0%25%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.