Rayo Vallecano

13th · La Liga · 9 points · Matches played: 8

18 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+3.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.6 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 57.8+3.2
World Rank 60th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 6th L90 Strength
Last GetafeA xG 2.2–0.6 1–1 Next ElcheH 52%

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Upcoming fixtures

Rayo Vallecano · All competitions

Forecast
Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 44% win 1.56 xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 52% win 1.80 xPts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 48% win 1.71 xPts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away 33% win 1.26 xPts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Rayo Vallecano · All competitions

Full time
GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 2.2–0.6 xG -0.4 Δpts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 1.0–0.5 xG -0.3 Δpts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 1.5–1.5 xG +1.3 Δpts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–4 1.2–2.6 xG -0.4 Δpts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 3–2 1.6–0.5 xG +1.3 Δpts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 2–5 1.2–3.0 xG -0.3 Δpts AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 0.4–2.0 xG -0.6 Δpts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 1.9–2.2 xG -1.4 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Rayo Vallecano first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile4.7 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 25 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability3 out, 2 key: A. Batalla, A. Rațiu · Last match: 19 Oct
18%

Load before the next match, vs Elche, 24 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 15 Aug at Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 43/100
L
 Aug 20 Aug vs Alaves: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100
D
 31 Aug at Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 88/100
L
 5 Sep vs Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100
W
 Sep 12 Sep at Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100
L
 15 Sep vs Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 38/100
W
 19 Sep at Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 40/100
D
 10 Oct vs Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 Oct 19 Oct at Getafe: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100
D
 24 Oct vs Elche: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 31 Oct vs Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 8 Nov at Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 50/100 Nov 22 Nov vs Valencia: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 29 Nov at Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 64/100 6 Dec vs Levante: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 Dec 13 Dec at Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 58/100 20 Dec vs Malaga: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 3 Jan vs Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 Jan 10 Jan at Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 39/100 17 Jan vs Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 24 Jan at Elche: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 38/100 31 Jan vs Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100 7 Feb at Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 38/100 Feb 14 Feb at Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 46/100 21 Feb vs Getafe: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 42/100 28 Feb at Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 36/100 7 Mar vs Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100 Mar 14 Mar at Malaga: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 35/100 21 Mar vs Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 88/100 4 Apr at Levante: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 42/100 Apr 11 Apr vs Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 18 Apr at Alaves: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100 21 Apr at Valencia: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 44/100 2 May vs Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100 May 9 May vs Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 39/100 16 May at Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 23 May vs Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 30 May at Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 48/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest4.7 daysbefore ELC
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d25 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs ElcheSat 24 Oct, 13:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 44 52%win25%draw23%loss Low load · 4.7 d rest vs Celta VigoSat 31 Oct, 15:15 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 54 48%win26%draw25%loss Low load · 7.1 d rest at Real SociedadSun 8 Nov, 15:15 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 55 33%win26%draw41%loss Low load · 8 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Elche, 24 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing+5%

Baseline 3.17 → Forecast 3.32 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing−16%

Baseline 2.60 → Forecast 2.19 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Elche24 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 +10% −15% 1.58 → 1.74
vs Celta Vigo31 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 −1% −17% 1.59 → 1.57
at Real Sociedad8 Nov · La Liga 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Rayo Vallecano

Baseline: average La Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +10% Expected goals Baseline1.58Forecast1.74
Conceding Risk −15% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.30Forecast1.10
Clean Sheet +5.9 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline27.2%Forecast33.1%