L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.
-2.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed +5.9 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 57.6-2.0
-2.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed +5.9 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 57.6-2.0
World Rank
58th
Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank
7th
L90 Strength
Mid-table strength, top-table form.
Real Sociedad rely on a top-third attack, but their defence is among the league's weakest and costs them. Across the 9 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 4 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. J. Aramburu is out, and The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Athletic Club.
La Liga · 9 games. Their results look better than their underlying numbers. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.
They are clinical in front of goal (13% of shots scored), and give up a lot of shots (17 a game). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.
- Top 4 7% · Relegation <1%Likely 7th · 56 projected points
-
Next 5: about 8 of 15 points Toughest at
Athletic Club · , 29% to win
- 1 key player outJ. Aramburu · 12% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
- 16 pts vs 11.7 expected+4.3 vs pre-match expectations · 9 matches with forecasts
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Real Sociedad. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Headlines
-
Trend
Real Sociedad
80%
Both teams scored
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Insight
Real Sociedad
+4.3
Points above expected
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Points16.0xPts11.7
-
Alert
Real Sociedad
2.0
Goals conceded away per match
Last 6 recorded away matches
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Real Sociedad
1.9
Goals scored per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Real Sociedad
−0.44
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.28xG against1.72
-
Alert
Real Sociedad
1.9
Goals conceded per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Attack
-
Trend
Real Sociedad
1.9
Goals scored per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Real Sociedad
80%
Both teams scored
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Streak
Real Sociedad
5
Scoring in a row
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row -
Insight
Real Sociedad
+4.3
Points above expected
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Points16.0xPts11.7
Defence
-
Alert
Real Sociedad
2.0
Goals conceded away per match
Last 6 recorded away matches
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
Real Sociedad
1.9
Goals conceded per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Real Sociedad
−0.44
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.28xG against1.72
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →
Season
League position and season results.
Overview
2026-2027La LigaView table →
Position
5th/ 20
Points
161.78 PPG
Played
9
League gap
11pts behind leader
55.6%Win %
Wins5
Draws1
Losses3
Expected metrics · 9 of 9 matches covered
Goals For
171.89 / game
xG
12.24
4.76 more goals than expected.
vs 17 goals
Goals Against
171.89 / game
xGA
14.66
2.34 more conceded than expected.
vs 17 conceded
Goal Difference
+0+0.00 / game
xGD
-2.42
Goal difference is 2.42 higher than expected.
vs +0 GD
Clean Sheets
111% of games
UEFA Europa League · League phaseView table →
Position
23rd/ 36
Points
10.50 PPG
Played
2
League gap
5pts behind leader
0.0%Win %
Wins0
Draws1
Losses1
Expected metrics · 1 of 2 matches covered
Goals For
21.00 / game
xG
0.65
0.35 more goals than expected.
vs 1 goals
Goals Against
31.50 / game
xGA
2.09
1.09 fewer conceded than expected.
vs 1 conceded
Goal Difference
-1-0.50 / game
xGD
-1.44
Goal difference is 1.44 higher than expected.
vs +0 GD
Clean Sheets
00% of games
All competitions11 Played
45.5%Win %
Wins5
Draws2
Losses4
Expected metrics · 10 of 11 matches covered
Goals For
191.73 / game
xG
12.89
5.11 more goals than expected.
vs 18 goals
Goals Against
201.82 / game
xGA
16.75
1.25 more conceded than expected.
vs 18 conceded
Goal Difference
-1-0.09 / game
xGD
-3.86
Goal difference is 3.86 higher than expected.
vs +0 GD
Clean Sheets
19% of games
Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.
League standings
La Liga · 2026-2027
Swipe to explore the league table →
| # | Club | Rating | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1– |  Barcelona |
93 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +30 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2– |  Atletico Madrid |
81 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 22 | WWWWW |
| 3▲ |  Real Madrid |
89 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 4▼ |  Real Betis |
72 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 19 | WWDWL |
| 5▲ | Real Sociedad |
58 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 16 | WLWWW |
| 6▼ |  Sevilla |
50 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 14 | WWLDL |
| 7– |  Alaves |
48 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 | LLDLL |
| 8▲ |  Celta Vigo |
54 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 11 | DDWDW |
| 9▼ |  Deportivo La Coruna |
45 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DLDLD |
| 10▲ |  Osasuna |
46 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 11▼ | Athletic Club |
55 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 | WWDDD |
| 12▼ |  Villarreal |
67 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +0 | 9 | LWWLD |
| 13– |  Rayo Vallecano |
58 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 9 | WLWDD |
| 14– |  Getafe |
48 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 | DLWLD |
| 15▼ |  Espanyol |
44 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 8 | WLLDL |
| 16▼ |  Racing Santander |
41 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 | WLLDL |
| 17– |  Levante |
48 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 | DLLDD |
| 18– |  Elche |
44 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 | DLWDD |
| 19– |  Valencia |
51 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 | LWLDD |
| 20– |  Malaga |
41 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -12 | 4 | DLLDL |
20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.
League position over time
Position by matchweek
Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.
View position history
| MW | Results through (UTC) | Position | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 27 Aug 2026 | 20 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | 31 Aug 2026 | 13 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 · Partial | 17 Sep 2026 | 12 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | 20 Sep 2026 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| 8 · Partial | 12 Oct 2026 | 6 | 13 | 8 |
| 9 | 19 Oct 2026 | 5 | 16 | 9 |
League phase standings
UEFA Europa League · 2026-2027
Swipe to explore the league table →
| # | Club | Rating | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1– |  Juventus |
67 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 | WW |
| 2▲ |  Bayer Leverkusen |
79 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 | WW |
| 3▲ |  Benfica |
82 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 4▼ |  Besiktas |
50 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5▲ |  Bournemouth |
77 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6▲ |  Omonia Nicosia |
33 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7▼ |  Ferencvarosi TC |
57 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8▲ |  Lyon |
60 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9▲ |  Olympiakos Piraeus |
63 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 10▲ |  Sunderland |
57 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 11▼ |  Sparta Praha |
34 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | WD |
| 12▼ |  Union St. Gilloise |
70 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | WD |
| 13▲ |  Rennes |
52 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | DW |
| 14▲ |  Dinamo Zagreb |
43 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | DW |
| 15▼ |  Crystal Palace |
64 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | WL |
| 16▲ |  AC Milan |
66 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | LW |
| 17▲ |  Jagiellonia |
31 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | LW |
| 18▼ |  OFI |
21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 19▼ |  Torreense |
26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 | WL |
| 20▲ |  AZ Alkmaar |
47 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 | LW |
| 21▼ |  Red Bull Salzburg |
39 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 | WL |
| 22▲ |  Lillestrom |
27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 23▲ | Real Sociedad |
58 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 24▼ |  Hapoel Beer Sheva |
28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25▲ |  Levski Sofia |
26 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26▼ |  Sturm Graz |
38 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | DL |
| 27▲ |  NEC Nijmegen |
32 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 | LD |
| 28▼ |  Anderlecht |
43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 29▼ | Celta Vigo |
54 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 30▼ |  1899 Hoffenheim |
49 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 31▲ |  Marseille |
47 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 32▲ |  Plzen |
49 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 33▼ |  Ararat-Armenia |
7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 34▼ |  Celtic |
52 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 35▼ |  Celje |
18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 36▼ |  Lech Poznan |
34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 | LL |
36 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchday.
League position over time
Position by matchday
Higher is better. One point per matchday; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.
View position history
| MD | Results through (UTC) | Position | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 Sep 2026 | 24 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | 15 Oct 2026 | 23 | 1 | 2 |
Competition standings
There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.
Squad 37 players · this season, all competitions · 4 out
Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026
Top scorer
L. Sučić3 goals
L. Sučić3 goals
Most assists
Carlos Soler3 assists
Carlos Soler3 assists
Best rated
Álex Remiro7.30 avg rating
Álex Remiro7.30 avg rating
Most minutes
Sergio Gómez880 min
Sergio Gómez880 min
Key to the model
Álex RemiroStarter · weight 1.80
Álex RemiroStarter · weight 1.80| Player | Age | Apps | Min | G | A | Rating | Model role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeepers | |||||||
| Álex Remiro |
31 | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | 7.30 | starter |
 Unai Marrero |
25 | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | 7.25 | rotation |
 Theo Folgado |
21 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Aitor Fraga |
23 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Defenders | |||||||
| Sergio Gómez |
26 | 11 (10) | 880 | 1 | 0 | 6.71 | starter |
 Jon Martín |
20 | 10 (9) | 842 | 1 | 1 | 6.65 | starter |
 J. Aramburu injured |
24 | 7 (7) | 597 | 0 | 0 | 6.64 | starter |
 Zubeldia |
29 | 8 (5) | 533 | 0 | 0 | 6.53 | rotation |
 M. Sarr |
21 | 6 (6) | 508 | 0 | 0 | 6.71 | starter |
 Job Ochieng |
23 | 7 (4) | 367 | 1 | 3 | 6.57 | rotation |
 Luken Beitia injured |
22 | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 1 | 6.40 | rotation |
 Aihen Muñoz |
29 | 3 (1) | 110 | 0 | 0 | 6.45 | rotation |
 Héctor Fort |
20 | 3 (2) | 108 | 0 | 1 | 6.52 | rotation |
 Jon Pacheco |
25 | 1 (0) | 20 | 0 | 0 | 6.70 | depth |
 Kazunari Kita |
21 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Odriozola injured |
30 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Iñaki Rupérez |
23 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Midfielders | |||||||
| L. Sučić |
24 | 10 (8) | 726 | 3 | 0 | 6.88 | rotation |
| Carlos Soler |
29 | 9 (7) | 623 | 1 | 3 | 7.02 | starter |
 Y. Herrera |
28 | 10 (8) | 622 | 1 | 0 | 6.72 | rotation |
 Beñat Turrientes |
24 | 6 (4) | 361 | 1 | 0 | 7.01 | rotation |
 Jon Gorrotxategi |
24 | 8 (3) | 342 | 0 | 0 | 6.60 | rotation |
 Pablo Marín suspended |
23 | 2 (1) | 101 | 0 | 0 | 6.09 | rotation |
 A. Zakharyan |
23 | 5 (1) | 73 | 1 | 0 | 6.65 | rotation |
 Ibai Aguirre |
19 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Lander Astiazaran |
20 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Mikel Goti |
24 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 A. Lebarbier |
22 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Forwards | |||||||
 Mikel Oyarzabal |
29 | 11 (9) | 766 | 2 | 2 | 6.75 | starter |
 Barrenetxea |
24 | 10 (7) | 560 | 2 | 1 | 6.70 | rotation |
 O. Óskarsson |
22 | 9 (5) | 481 | 2 | 0 | 6.71 | rotation |
 Gonçalo Guedes |
29 | 10 (5) | 476 | 2 | 0 | 6.72 | starter |
 T. Kubo |
25 | 8 (4) | 323 | 1 | 1 | 6.77 | rotation |
 Alex Garcia |
19 | 5 (0) | 121 | 0 | 0 | 6.49 | depth |
 Gorka Carrera Zarranz |
21 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | depth |
 Dani Díaz |
20 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Jon Karrikaburu |
24 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Lillestrom: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.
Performance
Strength, recent form and playing style.
Strength La Liga · 20 clubs
L90 Strength7th of 20
58
Elo 1692 · World #58
Current Strength
58
With absences before 22 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack6th of 20
62
Scores 1.73 per match against an average top-five side
Defence17th of 20
48
Concedes 1.56 per match against an average top-five side
In forecast League average
L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.
Form last 5 for the index · last 10 listed
81
LWWDW Form index · 4th of 20 in league
- Points, last 5
- 10
- Median top-5 club
- 5.9
- Own forecasts
- 6.0 +4.0
Table5th
L90 Strength7th
Form4th
Table position in line with their strength.
Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.
- W18 OctA · Malaga5–21.3 xPts
- D15 OctA · Union St. Gilloise1–10.9 xPts
- W11 OctH · Deportivo La Coruna3–21.7 xPts
- W20 SepA · Valencia3–21.2 xPts
- L17 SepH · Bournemouth1–21.0 xPts
- L13 SepH · Atletico Madrid0–31.3 xPts
- W7 SepA · Elche3–21.4 xPts
- D3 SepH · Celta Vigo0–01.8 xPts
- W29 AugH · Espanyol2–11.6 xPts
- L26 AugA · Real Madrid1–40.5 xPts
Trends last 10, all competitions
Scored
8/10
Clean sheet
1/10
Conceded 2+
7/10
Over 2.5
8/10
Both teams scored
8/10
Playing style vs La Liga average
RSOLeagueRank
Goals scored
1.89
1.54
4th
Goals conceded
1.89
1.55
14th
xG
1.36
1.45
8th
xG allowed
1.63
1.46
14th
Scored in
67%
75%
10th
Clean sheets
11%
25%
15th
RSOLeagueRank
Shots
14.11
13.43
7th
Shots on target
5.44
4.90
7th
On target share
39%
35%
6th
Box share
56%
59%
16th
Conversion
13%
11%
3rd
RSOLeagueRank
Shots allowed
16.56
13.36
19th
On target allowed
6.22
4.92
18th
Blocks
4.00
3.56
5th
Save rate
73%
69%
6th
RSOLeagueRank
Possession
49%
50%
11th
Passes
467
456
10th
Pass accuracy
85%
84%
8th
RSOLeagueRank
Fouls
12.11
12.30
9th
Fouls suffered
9.78
12.30
20th
Yellow cards
2.00
2.17
8th
Red cards
0.22
0.11
16th
RSOLeagueRank
Goals scored
1.90
1.56
5th
Goals conceded
1.90
1.55
17th
xG
1.28
1.44
10th
xG allowed
1.72
1.43
15th
Scored in
80%
76%
9th
Clean sheets
10%
22%
15th
RSOLeagueRank
Shots
13.80
13.43
7th
Shots on target
5.20
4.92
7th
On target share
38%
35%
8th
Box share
55%
60%
17th
Conversion
14%
11%
4th
RSOLeagueRank
Shots allowed
15.80
13.15
19th
On target allowed
5.70
4.91
17th
Blocks
3.90
3.45
5th
Save rate
70%
68%
8th
RSOLeagueRank
Possession
50%
50%
8th
Passes
481
450
7th
Pass accuracy
85%
84%
9th
RSOLeagueRank
Fouls
12.40
12.32
11th
Fouls suffered
10.70
12.28
18th
Yellow cards
1.90
2.11
9th
Red cards
0.20
0.11
15th
Home and away this league season
Home1.75pts per game2-1-1 · 1.2–1.5 goals · 4 games
Away1.80pts per game3-0-2 · 2.4–2.2 goals · 5 games
Goal timing this league season · 9 games
3
0-15
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
7
61-75
3
5
76-90
scored conceded, per 15 minutes
In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average
Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.
Team rankings La Liga · 9 games · rank of 20
Attack
GF
17
4th / 20
GF/G
1.89
4th / 20
xG/G
1.36
8th / 20
G − xG
+0.53
2nd / 20
Defence
GA
17
15th / 20
GA/G
1.89
14th / 20
xGA/G
1.63
14th / 20
xGA − GA
-0.26
14th / 20
Overall
Pts
16
5th / 20
xPts
11.7
9th / 20
PPG
1.78
5th / 20
TR
6.89
6th / 20
GD
+0
9th / 20
xGD
-2.4
11th / 20
W
5
5th / 20
L
3
8th / 20
Scorelines
- 3–2×3
- 0–1×1
- 1–4×1
- 2–1×1
- 0–0×1
- 0–3×1
Goals per game both teams
11%
0
11%
1
0%
2
22%
3
0%
4
56%
5+
Totals club · league
- Over 1.5
- 78%76%
- Over 2.5
- 78%56%
- Over 3.5
- 56%39%
- Both scored
- 67%59%
- Clean sheet
- 11%25%
- Failed to score
- 33%25%
ClubLeague average
This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.