Rio Ave

14th · Primeira Liga · 7 points · Matches played: 8

17 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-1.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -2.3 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 20.8-1.8
World Rank 374th Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 14th L90 Strength
Last NacionalH xG 1.7–1.3 3–2 Next FamalicaoH 35%

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Upcoming fixtures

Rio Ave · All competitions

Forecast
FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home 35% win 1.31 xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 23% win 0.93 xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home 20% win 0.85 xPts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Rio Ave · All competitions

Full time
NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 3–2 1.7–1.3 xG +1.3 Δpts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 — xG -1.0 Δpts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 3–3 — xG -0.4 Δpts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–4 — xG -0.9 Δpts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–4 0.5–1.7 xG -0.6 Δpts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 2–0 0.7–1.2 xG +2.0 Δpts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–2 0.7–2.0 xG -0.7 Δpts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 0.2–1.7 xG -1.0 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Rio Ave first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile14.1 days since last match
0%
Schedule load0 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 0 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availabilityFull squad available
0%

Load before the next match, vs Famalicao, 25 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 9 Aug at GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100
L
 Aug 15 Aug vs FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 91/100
L
 22 Aug at Estoril: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 51/100
W
 28 Aug vs Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 93/100
L
 6 Sep at Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 64/100
L
 Sep 14 Sep vs Estrela: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 48/100
D
 19 Sep at Alverca: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 61/100
L
 11 Oct vs Nacional: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 45/100
W
 Oct 25 Oct vs Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 68/100 1 Nov at Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 62/100 Nov 8 Nov vs SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 80/100 28 Nov at Arouca: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 6 Dec vs Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 Dec 13 Dec at Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 42/100 20 Dec vs Benfica: Schedule difficulty 49/100; match difficulty 92/100 27 Dec at Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 58/100 10 Jan vs Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100 Jan 17 Jan vs GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 24 Jan at FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 91/100 31 Jan vs Estoril: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 51/100 7 Feb at Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 93/100 Feb 14 Feb vs Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 21 Feb at Estrela: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 28 Feb vs Alverca: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100 7 Mar at Nacional: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 45/100 Mar 14 Mar at Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 68/100 21 Mar vs Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 62/100 4 Apr at SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 80/100 Apr 11 Apr vs Arouca: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 18 Apr at Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 25 Apr vs Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 2 May at Benfica: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 92/100 May 9 May vs Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100 16 May at Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest14.1 daysbefore FAM
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs FamalicaoSun 25 Oct, 18:00 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 38 35%win27%draw38%loss Low load · 14.1 d rest at Academico ViseuSun 1 Nov, 18:00 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 32 23%win24%draw53%loss Low load · 7 d rest vs SC BragaSun 8 Nov, 20:30 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 59 20%win24%draw56%loss Low load · 7.1 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Famalicao, 25 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing+7%

Baseline 2.27 → Forecast 2.43 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing−6%

Baseline 3.39 → Forecast 3.19 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Famalicao25 Oct · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 +5% −6% 1.26 → 1.33
at Academico Viseu1 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 +9% −5% 1.01 → 1.10
vs SC Braga8 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Rio Ave

Baseline: average Primeira Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +5% Expected goals Baseline1.26Forecast1.33
Conceding Risk −6% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.50Forecast1.41
Clean Sheet +2.2 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline22.3%Forecast24.5%