Valencia

19th · La Liga · 6 points · Matches played: 9

21 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-5.3 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.5 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 50.9-5.3
World Rank 77th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 10th L90 Strength
Last Athletic ClubH xG 1.6–0.7 0–0 Next VillarrealH 29%

Compare clubs

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Our take

A solid mid-table side.

Valencia rely on a mid-table defence, but their attack is among the league's weakest and costs them. Across the 9 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 5 fewer points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. Luis Rioja is out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the visit of Real Madrid.

La Liga · 9 games. Their underlying numbers look better than their results. They are scoring fewer goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

They are wasteful in front of goal (6% of shots scored). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation 26%Likely 15th · 41 projected points
  • Next 3: about 3 of 9 points Toughest vs Real Madrid · , 16% to win
  • 1 key player outLuis Rioja · 15% of squad weight missing · Last match: 17 Oct
  • 6 pts vs 11.2 expected-5.2 vs pre-match expectations · 9 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Valencia. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
La LigaView table →
Position
19th/ 20
Points
60.67 PPG
Played
9
League gap
21pts behind leader
11.1%Win %
Wins1
Draws3
Losses5

Expected metrics · 9 of 9 matches covered

Goals For
60.67 / game
xG 9.34 3.34 fewer goals than expected. vs 6 goals
Goals Against
151.67 / game
xGA 13.50 1.50 more conceded than expected. vs 15 conceded
Goal Difference
-9-1.00 / game
xGD -4.16 Goal difference is 4.84 lower than expected. vs -9 GD
Clean Sheets
333% of games

League standings

La Liga · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full La Liga table, Valencia highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– Barcelona 93 9900 +30 27
2– Atletico Madrid 81 9711 +11 22
3▲ Real Madrid 89 9702 +14 21
4▼ Real Betis 72 9612 +2 19
5▲ Real Sociedad 58 9513 +0 16
6▼ Sevilla 50 9423 -2 14
7– Alaves 48 9324 +3 11
8▲ Celta Vigo 54 9252 +3 11
9▼ Deportivo La Coruna 45 9252 +1 11
10▲ Osasuna 46 9324 -8 11
11▼ Athletic Club 55 7232 +1 9
12▼ Villarreal 67 9234 +0 9
13– Rayo Vallecano 58 8233 -5 9
14– Getafe 48 9234 -6 9
15▼ Espanyol 44 9225 -1 8
16▼ Racing Santander 41 9225 -12 8
17– Levante 48 8143 -4 7
18– Elche 44 9144 -6 7
19– Valencia 51 9135 -9 6
20– Malaga 41 9045 -12 4

20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Valencia league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
227 Aug 20261512
331 Aug 20261713
6 · Partial17 Sep 20261846
720 Sep 20261947
8 · Partial12 Oct 20261958
919 Oct 20261969

Squad 37 players · this season, all competitions · 4 out

Absences reported for the last match: 17 Oct 2026

Top scorer
David Otorbi1 goals
Most assists
Javi Guerra2 assists
Best rated
A. Danjuma6.96 avg rating
Most minutes
S. Dimitrievski810 min
Key to the model
G. RodríguezStarter · weight 1.60
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
S. Dimitrievski 32 9 (9) 810 0 0 6.80 starter
Vicent Abril 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Cristian Rivero 28 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
K. van Oevelen 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
José Gayà 31 7 (6) 535 0 0 6.72 starter
Pablo Maffeo 29 8 (6) 506 0 0 6.40 starter
César Tárrega 24 6 (5) 420 0 0 6.68 starter
J. de Haas 26 5 (5) 382 0 1 6.87 rotation
Jesús Vázquez 23 7 (4) 344 0 0 6.54 rotation
M. Diakhaby 29 5 (4) 331 0 0 6.34 rotation
Arnau Martínez 23 5 (3) 246 0 0 6.34 rotation
Aaron Mayol — 2 (2) 180 1 0 7.05 rotation
Iker Córdoba 20 3 (0) 102 0 0 6.37 rotation
Copete injured 27 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Joel Fontanet Paredes — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Marcos Navarro 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Alejandro Panach Olmo — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Rubén Iranzo 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
Pepelu 28 9 (9) 748 0 0 6.81 starter
Javi Guerra 23 9 (9) 740 0 2 6.64 starter
F. Ugrinic 27 9 (7) 572 0 0 6.52 starter
G. Rodríguez 32 6 (6) 493 0 0 6.84 starter
?R. Sato — 5 (4) 297 0 0 6.42 rotation
A. Dieng 29 6 (2) 232 0 0 6.62 rotation
H. Elliott 23 5 (0) 133 0 0 6.40 rotation
André Almeida 26 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
M. Martinez — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
R. Sato 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Dura — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
A. Danjuma 29 9 (7) 661 0 0 6.96 rotation
Hugo Duro 26 9 (5) 402 0 1 6.49 rotation
David Otorbi 19 8 (2) 330 1 0 6.93 depth
Luis Rioja injured 33 5 (1) 160 1 0 6.91 starter
U. Sadiq injured 29 3 (1) 158 1 0 6.73 —
Dani Raba 30 3 (2) 120 1 0 6.89 depth
Aimar Blázquez 20 1 (0) 8 0 0 6.70 depth
Diego López injured 24 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Villarreal: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength La Liga · 20 clubs

L90 Strength10th of 20
51 Elo 1651 · World #77
Current Strength
51 With absences before 24 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack15th of 20
39 Scores 1.39 per match against an average top-five side
Defence13th of 20
52 Concedes 1.51 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Barcelona: attack 97, defence 92, L90 Strength 93 Atletico Madrid: attack 82, defence 87, L90 Strength 81 Real Madrid: attack 89, defence 85, L90 Strength 89 Real Betis: attack 79, defence 59, L90 Strength 72 Real Sociedad: attack 62, defence 48, L90 Strength 58 Sevilla: attack 48, defence 57, L90 Strength 50 Alaves: attack 48, defence 55, L90 Strength 48 Celta Vigo: attack 36, defence 61, L90 Strength 54 Deportivo La Coruna: attack 40, defence 57, L90 Strength 45 Osasuna: attack 50, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 Athletic Club: attack 51, defence 64, L90 Strength 55 Villarreal: attack 76, defence 73, L90 Strength 67 Rayo Vallecano: attack 61, defence 60, L90 Strength 58 Getafe: attack 27, defence 59, L90 Strength 48 Espanyol: attack 36, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Racing Santander: attack 42, defence 22, L90 Strength 41 Levante: attack 55, defence 41, L90 Strength 48 Elche: attack 39, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Valencia: attack 39, defence 52, L90 Strength 51 Malaga: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 41
Every La Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 9 listed

36
Form index · 13th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
5
Median top-5 club
6.7
Own forecasts
6.1 -1.1
Table19th L90 Strength10th Form13th

Lower in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • D17 OctH · Athletic Club0–01.4 xPts
  • D11 OctA · Racing Santander2–21.2 xPts
  • L20 SepH · Real Sociedad2–31.6 xPts
  • W15 SepA · Alaves1–00.9 xPts
  • L11 SepA · Sevilla0–11.1 xPts
  • L6 SepH · Barcelona0–50.6 xPts
  • L30 AugA · Deportivo La Coruna1–31.4 xPts
  • L25 AugH · Real Betis0–11.5 xPts
  • D22 AugH · Celta Vigo0–01.7 xPts

Trends last 9, all competitions

Scored 4/9
Clean sheet 3/9
Conceded 2+ 4/9
Over 2.5 4/9
Both teams scored 3/9

Playing style vs La Liga average

VALLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.67 1.54 18th
Goals conceded 1.67 1.55 12th
xG 1.04 1.45 17th
xG allowed 1.50 1.46 13th
Scored in 44% 75% 20th
Clean sheets 33% 25% 6th
VALLeagueRank
Shots 11.11 13.43 16th
Shots on target 3.00 4.90 18th
On target share 24% 35% 19th
Box share 58% 59% 11th
Conversion 6% 11% 18th
VALLeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.11 13.36 15th
On target allowed 5.11 4.92 12th
Blocks 4.00 3.56 5th
Save rate 70% 69% 10th
VALLeagueRank
Possession 46% 50% 15th
Passes 422 456 13th
Pass accuracy 82% 84% 13th
VALLeagueRank
Fouls 10.89 12.30 5th
Fouls suffered 11.44 12.30 16th
Yellow cards 2.22 2.17 11th
Red cards 0.00 0.11 1st
This league season, per match · 9 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
VALLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.90 1.56 18th
Goals conceded 1.60 1.55 11th
xG 1.08 1.44 14th
xG allowed 1.50 1.43 13th
Scored in 50% 76% 19th
Clean sheets 30% 22% 2nd
VALLeagueRank
Shots 11.90 13.43 13th
Shots on target 3.33 4.92 18th
On target share 25% 35% 19th
Box share 59% 60% 11th
Conversion 8% 11% 17th
VALLeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.70 13.15 15th
On target allowed 5.00 4.91 10th
Blocks 3.78 3.45 8th
Save rate 70% 68% 9th
VALLeagueRank
Possession 44% 50% 16th
Passes 400 450 13th
Pass accuracy 82% 84% 13th
VALLeagueRank
Fouls 10.90 12.32 6th
Fouls suffered 11.10 12.28 16th
Yellow cards 2.20 2.11 12th
Red cards 0.00 0.11 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home0.40pts per game0-2-3 · 0.4–1.8 goals · 5 games
Away1.00pts per game1-1-2 · 1.0–1.5 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 9 games

1 2 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 31-45
1 3 46-60
1 61-75
2 6 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings La Liga · 9 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 6 18th / 20
GF/G 0.67 18th / 20
xG/G 1.04 17th / 20
G − xG -0.37 17th / 20

Defence

GA 15 12th / 20
GA/G 1.67 12th / 20
xGA/G 1.50 13th / 20
xGA − GA -0.17 12th / 20

Overall

Pts 6 19th / 20
xPts 11.2 10th / 20
PPG 0.67 19th / 20
TR 6.70 15th / 20
GD -9 18th / 20
xGD -4.1 15th / 20
W 1 17th / 20
L 5 17th / 20

Scorelines

  • 0–0×2
  • 0–1×2
  • 1–3×1
  • 0–5×1
  • 1–0×1
  • 2–3×1

Goals per game both teams

22% 0
33% 1
0% 2
0% 3
22% 4
22% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
44%76%
Over 2.5
44%56%
Over 3.5
44%39%
Both scored
33%59%
Clean sheet
33%25%
Failed to score
56%25%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.