Valencia

19th · La Liga · 6 points · Matches played: 9

21 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-5.3 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.5 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 50.9-5.3
World Rank 77th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 10th L90 Strength
Last Athletic ClubH xG 1.6–0.7 0–0 Next VillarrealH 29%

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Upcoming fixtures

Valencia · All competitions

Forecast
VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 29% win 1.14 xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away 30% win 1.17 xPts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 16% win 0.69 xPts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Valencia · All competitions

Full time
Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 0–0 1.6–0.7 xG -0.4 Δpts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 1.7–1.4 xG -0.2 Δpts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 2–3 1.6–2.7 xG -1.6 Δpts AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 1–0 0.7–1.1 xG +2.1 Δpts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 0.1–0.9 xG -1.1 Δpts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–5 0.7–4.1 xG -0.6 Δpts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–3 1.4–1.4 xG -1.4 Δpts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 1.1–0.7 xG -1.4 Δpts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 0–0 0.6–0.7 xG -0.6 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Valencia first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile6.9 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 1,055 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability6 out, 1 key: Luis Rioja · Last match: 17 Oct
15%

Load before the next match, vs Villarreal, 24 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 22 Aug vs Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100
D
 Aug 25 Aug vs Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 69/100
L
 30 Aug at Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 44/100
L
 6 Sep vs Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 48/100; match difficulty 91/100
L
 Sep 11 Sep at Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 49/100
L
 15 Sep at Alaves: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 47/100
W
 20 Sep vs Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 56/100
L
 11 Oct at Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 42/100
D
 Oct 17 Oct vs Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100
D
 24 Oct vs Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 1 Nov at Elche: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 Nov 7 Nov vs Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 86/100 22 Nov at Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 56/100 29 Nov vs Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 6 Dec at Getafe: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 48/100 Dec 13 Dec at Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 78/100 20 Dec vs Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 3 Jan at Levante: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 Jan 10 Jan vs Malaga: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100 17 Jan at Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 52/100 24 Jan vs Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 49/100 31 Jan at Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 51/100; match difficulty 91/100 7 Feb vs Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 Feb 14 Feb vs Alaves: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 21 Feb at Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 28 Feb at Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 86/100 7 Mar vs Levante: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 Mar 14 Mar at Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 54/100 21 Mar vs Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 4 Apr at Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 56/100 Apr 11 Apr vs Getafe: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 18 Apr at Malaga: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 41/100 21 Apr vs Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 56/100 2 May at Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 69/100 May 9 May vs Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 78/100 16 May at Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 23 May vs Elche: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 30 May at Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 46/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest6.9 daysbefore VIL
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d1,055 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs VillarrealSat 24 Oct, 17:30 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 67 29%win26%draw45%loss Low load · 6.9 d rest at ElcheSun 1 Nov, 17:30 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 44 30%win27%draw43%loss Low load · 8 d rest vs Real MadridSat 7 Nov, 20:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 89 16%win21%draw63%loss Low load · 6.1 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Villarreal, 24 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing+1%

Baseline 2.41 → Forecast 2.43 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing−1%

Baseline 3.08 → Forecast 3.05 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Villarreal24 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 −7% +17% 1.34 → 1.25
at Elche1 Nov · La Liga 2026-2027 +10% −15% 1.07 → 1.18
vs Real Madrid7 Nov · La Liga 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Valencia

Baseline: average La Liga opponent

Attack Downlift −7% Expected goals Baseline1.34Forecast1.25
Conceding Risk +17% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.36Forecast1.59
Clean Sheet −5.2 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline25.6%Forecast20.4%