1899 Hoffenheim
Attack—
Defense risk—
1899 Hoffenheim
6th · 27 pts · 15 played
DWLWD
5–1Full time
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10th · 19 pts · 16 played
DWLLW
Our take
1899 Hoffenheim were slight favourites.
1899 Hoffenheim were the stronger side on L90 Strength (54 vs 46). 1899 Hoffenheim had 25.2 days of rest, Borussia Mönchengladbach 3.2 and had to travel 276 km.
Away travel276 kmRest days25.2 · 3.2Matches / 14d0 · 1
1899 Hoffenheim50%
Draw25%
Borussia Mönchengladbach25%
1899 Hoffenheim49%
Draw26%
Borussia Mönchengladbach25%
1899 Hoffenheim50%
Draw25%
Borussia Mönchengladbach25%
1899 Hoffenheim43%
Draw26%
Borussia Mönchengladbach32%
1899 Hoffenheim49%
Draw26%
Borussia Mönchengladbach25%
Over 2.5 56%
Both score 58%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Sinsheim)
No weather data yet
Referee · GermanyChristian Dingert
- Cards per match 4.4
- Penalties per match 0.30
- Matches 64
Team strength
1899 HoffenheimBorussia Mönchengladbach
54
L90 StrengthIn forecast
46
47
Current StrengthIn forecast
36
46
AttackIn forecast
34
43
DefenceIn forecast
21
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisBorussia Mönchengladbach
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
1899 HoffenheimBorussia Mönchengladbach
1.93
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.38
1.33
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
1.50
xGVia Att/Def
1.39
1.37
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.40
+0.43
Goals minus xGContext
-0.01
80%
Scored inContext
56%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
44%
12.33
ShotsContext
11.38
4.33
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.67
35%
On target shareContext
39%
8.79
Shots in the boxContext
8.33
67%
Box shareContext
70%
16%
ConversionContext
12%
2.15
OffsidesContext
2.46
11.73
Shots allowedContext
13.69
4.07
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.63
3.47
BlocksContext
3.44
3.31
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
75%
Save rateContext
65%
54%
PossessionIn forecast
47%
459
PassesContext
437
370
Accurate passesContext
365
81%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.88
Team ratingContext
6.87
14.33
FoulsContext
10.50
9.40
Fouls sufferedContext
10.13
1.87
Yellow cardsContext
1.25
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.06
2.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.70
0.90
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.20
1.49
xGVia Att/Def
1.50
1.24
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.40
+0.51
Goals minus xGContext
+0.20
70%
Scored inContext
70%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
12.30
ShotsContext
9.90
4.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.22
33%
On target shareContext
38%
8.70
Shots in the boxContext
7.78
67%
Box shareContext
72%
16%
ConversionContext
17%
2.22
OffsidesContext
2.22
12.10
Shots allowedContext
14.10
3.80
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.30
3.70
BlocksContext
3.60
3.22
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.10
83%
Save rateContext
72%
56%
PossessionIn forecast
45%
483
PassesContext
429
392
Accurate passesContext
353
81%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.93
Team ratingContext
6.98
14.10
FoulsContext
9.10
9.20
Fouls sufferedContext
11.10
2.00
Yellow cardsContext
0.80
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
1899 Hoffenheim
Rest25.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Rest3.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel276 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load8%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| 1899 Hoffenheim |
Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 8 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 25.2Bundesliga 2025-2026, 20 Dec | 3.2Bundesliga 2025-2026, 11 Jan |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 276 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 1 | 1 / 1 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 2.8 | 2.8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
1899 Hoffenheim
Confirmed XI
1O. Baumann(G)
13Bernardo
5O. Kabak
2R. Hranáč
34V. Coufal
22A. Prass
7L. Avdullahu
18W. Burger
27A. Kramarić
19T. Lemperle
11F. Asllani
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Confirmed XI
33M. Nicolas(G)
4K. Diks
30N. Elvedi
16P. Sander
26L. Ullrich
17J. Castrop
6Y. Engelhardt
27R. Reitz
29J. Scally
15H. Tabaković
9F. Honorat
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences 1899 Hoffenheim
Absences are shown before kick-off
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- 1899 Hoffenheim+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Borussia Mönchengladbach+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
1899 Hoffenheim · Home
1.71points per game · 7 home games
- W-D-L
- 4-0-3
- Scored
- 2.14
- Conceded
- 1.57
Borussia Mönchengladbach · Away
1.43points per game · 7 away games
- W-D-L
- 3-1-3
- Scored
- 1.43
- Conceded
- 1.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 15 this season
| Opponent | 1899 Hoffenheim | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | D 0–0 A | L 0–1 A |
| Hamburger SV | W 4–1 H | D 0–0 H |
| Borussia Dortmund | L 0–2 A | L 0–2 A |
| FC Augsburg | W 3–0 H | W 4–0 H |
| FSV Mainz 05 | D 1–1 A | W 1–0 A |
| RB Leipzig | W 3–1 H | D 0–0 H |
| VfL Wolfsburg | W 3–2 A | L 1–3 H |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | W 3–1 H | W 3–0 A |
| FC St. Pauli | W 3–0 A | W 4–0 A |
| 1.FC Köln | L 0–1 H | W 3–1 H |
| SC Freiburg | D 1–1 A | D 0–0 H |
| Bayern München | L 1–4 H | L 0–3 H |
| Union Berlin | W 4–2 A | L 1–3 A |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1–3 H | L 4–6 H |
| Bayer Leverkusen | W 2–1 A | D 1–1 A |
| Points | 27 of 45 · 1.80 per game | 19 of 45 · 1.27 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings
1 1899 Hoffenheim wins2 draws5 Borussia Mönchengladbach wins
Goals per game1.75 – 3.00
Over 2.588%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 3 May 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach4–41899 Hoffenheim
- 21 Dec 20241899 Hoffenheim1–2Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 20 Apr 20241899 Hoffenheim4–3Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 2 Dec 2023Borussia Mönchengladbach2–11899 Hoffenheim
- 28 Jan 20231899 Hoffenheim1–4Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 6 Aug 2022Borussia Mönchengladbach3–11899 Hoffenheim
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| 1899 Hoffenheim | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.93 | 1.38 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.33 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 3.27 | 2.88 | 2.94 |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 69% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 56% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 44% | |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 31% | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 44% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 44% | |
| Games | 15 | 16 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.00 | 1.70 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.90 | 1.20 | |
| Match goals | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.94 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 70% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 30% | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| 1899 Hoffenheim | Borussia Mönchengladbach | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.93 | 4.67 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.27 | 5.33 | |
| Match total | 10.20 | 10.00 | 9.62 |
| Over 8.5 | 80% 12/15 | 67% 10/15 | |
| Over 9.5 | 67% 10/15 | 53% 8/15 | |
| Over 10.5 | 47% 7/15 | 40% 6/15 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.87 | 1.31 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.53 | 2.25 | |
| Match total | 3.40 | 3.56 | 4.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 53% 8/15 | 31% 5/16 | |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 3/15 | 31% 5/16 | |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | Borussia Mönchengladbach | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.10 | 3.70 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.80 | 5.60 | |
| Match total | 9.90 | 9.30 | 9.62 |
| Over 8.5 | 70% 7/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 60% 6/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 5/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 0.90 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.40 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 3.40 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Christian Dingert Germany · 64 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.28league 3.84
Red cards0.13league 0.20
Cards 5+47%league 40%
Fouls23.5league 21.1
Penalties0.30league 0.33
Home wins36%league 46%
1899 Hoffenheim9 with this referee
Record3-4-2
Cards · opp.2.0 · 2.1
Pens for · against1 · 1
- W29 Nov 25H · FC Augsburg3–01
- D23 Feb 25H · VfB Stuttgart1–10
- L11 Jan 25H · VfL Wolfsburg0–11
- D27 Oct 24A · 1. FC Heidenheim0–02
- D11 Feb 24H · 1.FC Köln1–13
Borussia Mönchengladbach7 with this referee
Record0-3-4
Cards · opp.1.9 · 1.4
Pens for · against0 · 1
- D6 Apr 25A · FC St. Pauli1–12
- D8 Feb 25H · Eintracht Frankfurt1–13
- D9 Nov 24A · RB Leipzig0–02
- L30 Mar 24H · SC Freiburg0–31
- L26 Aug 23H · Bayer Leverkusen0–32
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
1899 Hoffenheim15 games · scored 29 · conceded 20
3
4
0-15
5
3
16-30
7
2
31-45
5
5
46-60
4
2
61-75
5
4
76-90
Borussia Mönchengladbach16 games · scored 22 · conceded 24
2
6
0-15
2
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
2
1
46-60
5
4
61-75
6
6
76-90
1899 Hoffenheim10 games · scored 20 · conceded 9
2
2
0-15
4
1
16-30
5
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
4
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
Borussia Mönchengladbach10 games · scored 17 · conceded 12
2
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
5
1
31-45
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
