Bundesliga Gameweek 31 Sat, Apr 24 · 14:30 PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
1899 Hoffenheim 14th · 6 pts · 6 played
VS— Compare
Union Berlin 17th · 5 pts · 6 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel483 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
1899 Hoffenheim—%
Draw—%
Union Berlin—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Sinsheim)

Forecast from 9 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for 1899 Hoffenheim and Union Berlin. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

1899 HoffenheimUnion Berlin
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
49 Current StrengthIn forecast 39
46 AttackIn forecast 42
43 DefenceIn forecast 41
15 Form indexContext 38
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

1899 Hoffenheim

Attack—
Defense risk—

Union Berlin

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

1899 HoffenheimUnion Berlin
1.83 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.83
2.33 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.83
1.70 xGVia Att/Def 1.17
1.40 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.09
+0.13 Goals minus xGContext -0.34
100% Scored inContext 50%
0% Clean sheetsContext 33%
17.83 ShotsContext 12.83
5.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.75
30% On target shareContext 35%
11.00 Shots in the boxContext 9.00
61% Box shareContext 64%
10% ConversionContext 7%
2.20 OffsidesContext 2.60
13.50 Shots allowedContext 15.67
4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.00
4.33 BlocksContext 4.20
2.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.40
52% Save rateContext 56%
57% PossessionIn forecast 44%
499 PassesContext 359
405 Accurate passesContext 268
81% Pass accuracyContext 75%
6.83 Team ratingContext 6.58
13.33 FoulsContext 11.67
10.00 Fouls sufferedContext 10.50
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games
1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50
2.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.30
1.56 xGVia Att/Def 1.31
1.52 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.00
-0.16 Goals minus xGContext +0.19
80% Scored inContext 70%
10% Clean sheetsContext 30%
16.60 ShotsContext 12.30
4.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.88
28% On target shareContext 38%
10.30 Shots in the boxContext 8.30
62% Box shareContext 63%
8% ConversionContext 12%
2.14 OffsidesContext 2.43
12.90 Shots allowedContext 14.50
4.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.90
4.10 BlocksContext 4.13
2.10 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.56
50% Save rateContext 57%
59% PossessionIn forecast 45%
515 PassesContext 372
426 Accurate passesContext 285
83% Pass accuracyContext 77%
6.72 Team ratingContext 6.74
14.00 FoulsContext 10.30
9.00 Fouls sufferedContext 9.60
2.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.20
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

1899 Hoffenheim
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km467 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 15 · 3 pts vs 7.9 for an average club · -5.0 vs expected
  • W18 OctA · Borussia Mönchengladbach2–11.2 xPts
  • L15 OctH · Besiktas2–31.5 xPts
  • L10 OctH · Hamburger SV2–31.9 xPts
  • L20 SepA · SC Paderborn 071–31.4 xPts
  • L17 SepA · OFI0–21.9 xPts
Union Berlin
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel483 km511 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 38 · 4 pts vs 5.4 for an average club · -0.8 vs expected
  • D17 OctH · Borussia Dortmund0–00.9 xPts
  • W10 OctH · SV Elversberg1–01.4 xPts
  • L18 SepA · Bayern München0–70.2 xPts
  • L11 SepH · FC Schalke 041–31.6 xPts
  • L5 SepA · Bayer Leverkusen0–40.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
1899 Hoffenheim Union Berlin
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 17 Apr7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 17 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km483 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways467 km511 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 31 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one1414

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

1899 Hoffenheim Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (A) 2–1, 18 Oct
1O. Baumann(G)
39M. Rots 28K. Machida 2R. Hranáč 34V. Coufal
22A. Prass 7L. Avdullahu
10A. Hložek 11F. Asllani 20B. Conté
19T. Lemperle
Union Berlin Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Borussia Dortmund (H) 0–0, 17 Oct
1F. Rønnow(G)
15T. Rothe 2O. Uduokhai 4Z. Van Den Bosch 19J. Haberer
13A. Schäfer 20M. Aebischer
30K. Imeri 11W. Jeong 8R. Khedira
21T. Skarke

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
1899 Hoffenheim Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Union Berlin Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

1899 Hoffenheim · Home 1.00points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
1-0-2
Scored
2.00
Conceded
2.33
Union Berlin · Away 0.00points per game · 2 away games
W-D-L
0-0-2
Scored
0.00
Conceded
5.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

Opponent1899 HoffenheimUnion Berlin
Borussia Dortmund L 2–3 H D 0–0 H
Points0 of 3 · 0.00 per game1 of 3 · 1.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 10 meetings

4 1899 Hoffenheim wins1 draws5 Union Berlin wins
Goals per game1.80 – 1.90 Over 2.580% Both scored70% Clean sheets10% · 20%
  • 31 Jan 20261899 Hoffenheim3–1Union Berlin
  • 13 Sep 2025Union Berlin2–41899 Hoffenheim
  • 8 Feb 20251899 Hoffenheim0–4Union Berlin
  • 21 Sep 2024Union Berlin2–11899 Hoffenheim
  • 17 Feb 20241899 Hoffenheim0–1Union Berlin
  • 23 Sep 2023Union Berlin0–21899 Hoffenheim

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

1899 HoffenheimUnion BerlinForecast
Scored per game 1.830.83
Conceded per game 2.332.83
Match goals 4.173.67
Over 1.5 100%67%
Over 2.5 100%67%
Over 3.5 67%67%
Both teams scored 100%33%
Clean sheets 0%33%
Failed to score 0%50%
Games66
1899 HoffenheimUnion BerlinForecast
Scored per game 1.401.50
Conceded per game 2.302.30
Match goals 3.703.80
Over 1.5 90%80%
Over 2.5 80%80%
Over 3.5 60%80%
Both teams scored 70%50%
Clean sheets 10%30%
Failed to score 20%30%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

1899 HoffenheimUnion BerlinLeague
Corners
Corners won6.674.00
Corners conceded4.675.83
Match total11.349.8310.72
Over 8.5100% 6/683% 5/6
Over 9.583% 5/667% 4/6
Over 10.567% 4/633% 2/6
Cards
Cards2.172.50
Opponent cards0.672.00
Match total2.844.503.51
Over 3.533% 2/683% 5/6
Over 4.517% 1/633% 2/6
1899 HoffenheimUnion BerlinLeague
Corners
Corners won7.104.10
Corners conceded4.206.50
Match total11.3010.6010.72
Over 8.5100% 10/1080% 8/10
Over 9.590% 9/1070% 7/10
Over 10.570% 7/1050% 5/10
Cards
Cards2.702.20
Opponent cards1.401.90
Match total4.104.103.51
Over 3.560% 6/1070% 7/10
Over 4.540% 4/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

1899 Hoffenheim6 games · scored 11 · conceded 14
2 1 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 1 31-45
4 3 46-60
2 4 61-75
4 76-90
Union Berlin6 games · scored 5 · conceded 17
1 3 0-15
3 16-30
2 31-45
3 46-60
4 61-75
4 2 76-90
1899 Hoffenheim10 games · scored 14 · conceded 23
2 2 0-15
2 3 16-30
2 1 31-45
4 4 46-60
3 5 61-75
1 8 76-90
Union Berlin10 games · scored 15 · conceded 23
2 3 0-15
5 16-30
2 3 31-45
1 4 46-60
1 6 61-75
9 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Bundesliga

View all fixtures →
Werder Bremen Bayern München Apr 2414:30 Borussia Mönchengladbach FC Schalke 04 Apr 2414:30 Borussia Dortmund RB Leipzig Apr 2414:30 1899 Hoffenheim Union Berlin Apr 2414:30 Eintracht Frankfurt Bayer Leverkusen Apr 2414:30 VfB Stuttgart SC Freiburg Apr 2414:30 Hamburger SV SV Elversberg Apr 2414:30 SC Paderborn 07 FC Augsburg Apr 2414:30 1.FC Köln FSV Mainz 05 Apr 2414:30