Angers vs Paris FC – 20 Feb 2027

Ligue 1 Gameweek 21 Sat, Feb 20 · 16:00 Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers

Angers 15th · 7 pts · 7 played LDWLL

VS— Compare

Paris FC 3rd · 14 pts · 7 played WDWLW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel264 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Angers—%

Draw—%

Paris FC—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Angers)

Forecast from 5 Feb

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Angers

Paris FC

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

19 Current StrengthIn forecast 34

22 AttackIn forecast 46

12 DefenceIn forecast 38

16 Form indexContext 73

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Angers

Attack—

Defense risk—

Paris FC

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Angers

Paris FC

1.29 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.71

2.14 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

1.79 xGVia Att/Def 2.11

2.30 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.18

-0.50 Goals minus xGContext -0.40

71% Scored inContext 57%

29% Clean sheetsContext 43%

13.29 ShotsContext 14.43

3.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.00

23% On target shareContext 35%

9.00 Shots in the boxContext 9.43

68% Box shareContext 63%

10% ConversionContext 12%

2.00 OffsidesContext 1.71

17.29 Shots allowedContext 9.57

6.57 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.00

3.86 BlocksContext 3.00

4.71 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.83

72% Save rateContext 71%

49% PossessionIn forecast 52%

420 PassesContext 575

353 Accurate passesContext 508

84% Pass accuracyContext 88%

6.73 Team ratingContext 6.84

10.57 FoulsContext 13.71

13.00 Fouls sufferedContext 10.57

1.57 Yellow cardsContext 2.29

0.14 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

1.52 xGVia Att/Def 1.77

1.96 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.15

-0.32 Goals minus xGContext +0.13

80% Scored inContext 70%

20% Clean sheetsContext 40%

12.10 ShotsContext 14.40

3.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.10

25% On target shareContext 35%

8.30 Shots in the boxContext 9.70

68% Box shareContext 65%

10% ConversionContext 13%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.10

17.10 Shots allowedContext 9.90

6.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.56

3.50 BlocksContext 2.67

4.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.44

73% Save rateContext 69%

46% PossessionIn forecast 50%

394 PassesContext 524

328 Accurate passesContext 457

83% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.71 Team ratingContext 6.83

10.00 FoulsContext 12.40

12.20 Fouls sufferedContext 10.30

1.70 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Angers LDWLL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km2,134 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

Form 16 · 4 pts vs 8.7 for an average club · -2.0 vs expected

L18 OctH · Marseille2–51.0 xPts
L10 OctA · Stade Brestois 291–50.9 xPts
W19 SepH · Estac Troyes2–01.8 xPts
D12 SepA · LE Havre0–01.2 xPts
L6 SepH · Rennes1–21.1 xPts

Paris FC WDWLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel264 km794 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 73 · 10 pts vs 7.2 for an average club · +3.6 vs expected

W18 OctH · Rennes4–31.3 xPts
L10 OctA · Lorient0–11.4 xPts
W19 SepH · Strasbourg2–11.5 xPts
D12 SepH · Lyon0–01.4 xPts
W6 SepA · Marseille3–20.8 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Angers	Paris FC
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 5	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Ligue 1 2026-2027, 13 Feb	7Ligue 1 2026-2027, 13 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	264 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	2,134 km	794 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Angers Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Marseille (H) 2–5, 18 Oct

1A. Lopes(G)

27L. Rao-Lisoa 34Maël Gernigon 24E. Biumla 2C. Arcus

8B. van den Boomen 14Y. Belkhdim

10M. Sbaï 6L. Mouton 18J. Allevinah

19A. El Ouazzani

Paris FC Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Rennes (H) 4–3, 18 Oct

1K. Trapp(G)

14H. Traoré 42D. Coppola 31Samir Sophian Chergui 17Adama Camara

33P. Lees-Melou 20M. Lopez

15L. Koleosho 7P. Pagis 10I. Kebbal

9L. Sinayoko

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Angers Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Paris FC Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Angers · Home 0.75points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-3
Scored: 1.25
Conceded: 2.25

Paris FC · Away 1.33points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 1-1-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

Opponent	Angers	Paris FC
Marseille	L 2–5 H	W 3–2 A
Estac Troyes	W 2–0 H	D 0–0 A
Rennes	L 1–2 H	W 4–3 H
Points	3 of 9 · 1.00 per game	7 of 9 · 2.33 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

1 Angers wins1 draws0 Paris FC wins

Goals per game0.50 – 0.00 Over 2.50% Both scored0% Clean sheets100% · 50%

25 Jan 2026Paris FC0–0Angers
17 Aug 2025Angers1–0Paris FC

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Angers	Paris FC
Scored per game	1.29	1.71
Conceded per game	2.14	1.00
Match goals	3.43	2.71
Over 1.5	86%	57%
Over 2.5	57%	57%
Over 3.5	43%	29%
Both teams scored	57%	43%
Clean sheets	29%	43%
Failed to score	29%	43%
Games	7	7

	Angers	Paris FC
Scored per game	1.20	1.90
Conceded per game	2.00	1.00
Match goals	3.20	2.90
Over 1.5	90%	70%
Over 2.5	50%	70%
Over 3.5	40%	30%
Both teams scored	70%	50%
Clean sheets	20%	40%
Failed to score	20%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Angers	Paris FC	League
Corners
Corners won	6.43	4.00
Corners conceded	5.71	4.17
Match total	12.14	8.17	9.63
Over 8.5	86% 6/7	33% 2/6
Over 9.5	71% 5/7	17% 1/6
Over 10.5	57% 4/7	17% 1/6
Cards
Cards	1.71	2.29
Opponent cards	1.57	1.57
Match total	3.28	3.86	3.47
Over 3.5	43% 3/7	43% 3/7
Over 4.5	29% 2/7	43% 3/7

	Angers	Paris FC	League
Corners
Corners won	6.00	4.00
Corners conceded	5.56	4.11
Match total	11.56	8.11	9.63
Over 8.5	89% 8/9	44% 4/9
Over 9.5	67% 6/9	33% 3/9
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	11% 1/9
Cards
Cards	1.90	2.00
Opponent cards	1.70	1.20
Match total	3.60	3.20	3.47
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	30% 3/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.