Elche vs Levante – 7 Feb 2027

La Liga Gameweek 23 Sun, Feb 7 · 16:00 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche

Elche 18th · 7 pts · 9 played DLWDD

VS— Compare

Levante 17th · 7 pts · 8 played DLLDD

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel138 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Elche—%

Draw—%

Levante—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Elche)

Forecast from 23 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Elche

Levante

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

44 Current StrengthIn forecast 48

39 AttackIn forecast 55

51 DefenceIn forecast 41

56 Form indexContext 29

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Elche

Attack—

Defense risk—

Levante

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Elche

Levante

1.22 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50

1.89 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

1.07 xGVia Att/Def 1.35

1.85 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.01

+0.15 Goals minus xGContext +0.15

67% Scored inContext 63%

22% Clean sheetsContext 25%

11.00 ShotsContext 11.88

4.22 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.86

38% On target shareContext 36%

6.44 Shots in the boxContext 7.71

55% Box shareContext 58%

11% ConversionContext 13%

1.83 OffsidesContext 2.25

14.89 Shots allowedContext 15.25

5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.63

3.63 BlocksContext 3.38

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50

60% Save rateContext 62%

51% PossessionIn forecast 44%

478 PassesContext 381

408 Accurate passesContext 309

85% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.64 Team ratingContext 6.75

13.44 FoulsContext 9.88

13.33 Fouls sufferedContext 12.75

2.33 Yellow cardsContext 1.25

0.11 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 9 and 8 games

1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

0.98 xGVia Att/Def 1.43

1.72 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.79

+0.22 Goals minus xGContext +0.07

70% Scored inContext 70%

20% Clean sheetsContext 30%

10.20 ShotsContext 12.20

3.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.89

38% On target shareContext 36%

6.44 Shots in the boxContext 8.22

55% Box shareContext 62%

12% ConversionContext 12%

1.83 OffsidesContext 1.83

14.40 Shots allowedContext 14.90

5.22 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.60

3.44 BlocksContext 3.56

3.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.70

64% Save rateContext 66%

50% PossessionIn forecast 42%

463 PassesContext 359

391 Accurate passesContext 291

84% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.65 Team ratingContext 6.80

14.10 FoulsContext 9.60

14.00 Fouls sufferedContext 12.70

2.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.40

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Elche DLWDD

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km946 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 56 · 6 pts vs 5.4 for an average club · +1.3 vs expected

D17 OctA · Villarreal0–00.7 xPts
D11 OctH · Celta Vigo0–01.5 xPts
W18 SepA · Espanyol3–11.1 xPts
L15 SepH · Real Madrid2–30.5 xPts
D12 SepA · Athletic Club1–10.8 xPts

Levante DLLDD

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel138 km944 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 29 · 3 pts vs 5.6 for an average club · -2.6 vs expected

D16 OctA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.2 xPts
D12 OctH · Sevilla3–31.6 xPts
L20 SepA · Villarreal1–30.9 xPts
L13 SepH · Barcelona2–40.5 xPts
D6 SepA · Malaga0–01.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Elche	Levante
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7La Liga 2026-2027, 31 Jan	7La Liga 2026-2027, 31 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	138 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	946 km	944 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Elche Last XI · not confirmed

5-3-2 · vs Villarreal (A) 0–0, 17 Oct

1M. Dituro(G)

11Germán Valera 3R. Revivo 23Víctor Chust 47J. Morcillo 2Buba Sangaré

18T. Lemar 8Marc Aguado 12Gonzalo Villar

21Lucas Cepeda 24A. Osorio

Levante Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Deportivo La Coruna (A) 1–1, 16 Oct

13M. Ryan(G)

23Manu Sánchez 3Ifeanyi Ndukwe 4Adrián de la Fuente 29Nacho Pérez

6Reque 20Oriol Rey 18E. Bardeli

24T. Fernandez 9Iván Romero 7Roger Brugué

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Elche Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Levante Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Elche · Home 0.25points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-3
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 2.75

Levante · Away 0.60points per game · 5 away games

W-D-L: 0-3-2
Scored: 0.40
Conceded: 1.40

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

Opponent	Elche	Levante
Villarreal	D 0–0 A	L 1–3 A
Espanyol	W 3–1 A	L 0–3 A
Barcelona	L 0–5 H	L 2–4 H
Deportivo La Coruna	D 1–1 A	D 1–1 A
Points	5 of 12 · 1.25 per game	1 of 12 · 0.25 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

2 Elche wins2 draws2 Levante wins

Goals per game1.17 – 1.33 Over 2.533% Both scored50% Clean sheets33% · 17%

23 Jan 2026Levante3–2Elche
29 Aug 2025Elche2–0Levante
25 Feb 2022Levante3–0Elche
18 Sep 2021Elche1–1Levante
24 Apr 2021Elche1–0Levante
21 Nov 2020Levante1–1Elche

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Elche	Levante
Scored per game	1.22	1.50
Conceded per game	1.89	2.00
Match goals	3.11	3.50
Over 1.5	78%	75%
Over 2.5	56%	63%
Over 3.5	56%	50%
Both teams scored	67%	63%
Clean sheets	22%	25%
Failed to score	33%	38%
Games	9	8

	Elche	Levante
Scored per game	1.20	1.50
Conceded per game	1.80	1.80
Match goals	3.00	3.30
Over 1.5	80%	80%
Over 2.5	50%	60%
Over 3.5	50%	40%
Both teams scored	70%	60%
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Failed to score	30%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Elche	Levante	League
Corners
Corners won	4.56	3.86
Corners conceded	4.67	5.71
Match total	9.23	9.57	9.91
Over 8.5	33% 3/9	43% 3/7
Over 9.5	33% 3/9	43% 3/7
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	29% 2/7
Cards
Cards	2.44	1.25
Opponent cards	2.00	2.50
Match total	4.44	3.75	4.73
Over 3.5	67% 6/9	38% 3/8
Over 4.5	56% 5/9	25% 2/8

	Elche	Levante	League
Corners
Corners won	4.20	4.33
Corners conceded	4.40	5.56
Match total	8.60	9.89	9.91
Over 8.5	30% 3/10	56% 5/9
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	56% 5/9
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	33% 3/9
Cards
Cards	2.60	1.50
Opponent cards	2.20	2.20
Match total	4.80	3.70	4.73
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	40% 4/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.