Premier League Gameweek 25 Wed, Feb 10 · 20:00 Craven Cottage, London
Fulham 18th · 5 pts · 7 played
VS— Compare
Nottingham Forest 19th · 5 pts · 7 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel175 kmRest days4.2 · 4.2Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Fulham—%
Draw—%
Nottingham Forest—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (London)

Forecast from 26 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Fulham and Nottingham Forest. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

FulhamNottingham Forest
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
65 Current StrengthIn forecast 70
66 AttackIn forecast 68
68 DefenceIn forecast 74
42 Form indexContext 41
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Fulham

Attack—
Defense risk—

Nottingham Forest

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

FulhamNottingham Forest
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.71
1.43 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.29
1.62 xGVia Att/Def 1.56
1.50 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.18
-0.62 Goals minus xGContext -0.85
71% Scored inContext 43%
29% Clean sheetsContext 14%
14.71 ShotsContext 17.14
5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.57
32% On target shareContext 21%
11.00 Shots in the boxContext 10.43
74% Box shareContext 61%
7% ConversionContext 4%
1.00 OffsidesContext 2.33
14.14 Shots allowedContext 10.57
4.83 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.83
4.43 BlocksContext 3.00
3.17 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00
66% Save rateContext 68%
57% PossessionIn forecast 46%
564 PassesContext 370
486 Accurate passesContext 292
86% Pass accuracyContext 79%
6.81 Team ratingContext 6.79
10.43 FoulsContext 14.14
8.43 Fouls sufferedContext 11.57
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.29
0.14 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.90
1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40
1.61 xGVia Att/Def 1.56
1.30 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.53
-0.61 Goals minus xGContext -0.66
70% Scored inContext 60%
30% Clean sheetsContext 10%
15.10 ShotsContext 16.30
5.11 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.00
31% On target shareContext 25%
10.60 Shots in the boxContext 10.50
70% Box shareContext 65%
7% ConversionContext 6%
1.11 OffsidesContext 2.11
12.70 Shots allowedContext 13.60
4.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.56
3.89 BlocksContext 4.40
2.89 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50
67% Save rateContext 70%
57% PossessionIn forecast 46%
548 PassesContext 388
472 Accurate passesContext 309
86% Pass accuracyContext 80%
6.86 Team ratingContext 6.81
10.60 FoulsContext 13.10
10.60 Fouls sufferedContext 11.00
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.00
0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Fulham
Rest4.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km301 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 42 · 5 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · -2.1 vs expected
  • W17 OctH · Hull City1–02.0 xPts
  • L10 OctA · Ipswich1–21.4 xPts
  • D20 SepH · Manchester United1–11.2 xPts
  • D12 SepA · Liverpool0–00.8 xPts
  • L5 SepH · Crystal Palace2–31.6 xPts
Nottingham Forest
Rest4.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel175 km350 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 41 · 4 pts vs 5.1 for an average club · -3.2 vs expected
  • L18 OctH · Arsenal0–10.9 xPts
  • L11 OctA · Crystal Palace1–31.4 xPts
  • L19 SepH · Coventry0–12.1 xPts
  • W12 SepA · Aston Villa2–11.0 xPts
  • D5 SepH · Tottenham0–01.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Fulham Nottingham Forest
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match4.2Premier League 2026-2027, 6 Feb4.2Premier League 2026-2027, 6 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km175 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways301 km350 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one9.89.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Fulham Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Hull City (H) 1–0, 17 Oct
1B. Leno(G)
33A. Robinson 3C. Bassey 22D. Affengruber 21T. Castagne
19S. Charles 16S. Berge
17A. Iwobi 24J. King 14O. Bobb
7Gonzalo García
Nottingham Forest Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-2-1 · vs Arsenal (H) 0–1, 18 Oct
26M. Sels(G)
5Murillo 2O. Diomande 23Jair
3N. Williams 21X. Schlager 24J. McAtee 27D. Muñoz
14D. Ndoye 8N. Domínguez
19L. Delap

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Fulham Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Nottingham Forest Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Fulham · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
1.50
Conceded
1.75
Nottingham Forest · Away 1.33points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
1-1-1
Scored
1.67
Conceded
2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

OpponentFulhamNottingham Forest
Liverpool D 0–0 A D 2–2 A
Crystal Palace L 2–3 H L 1–3 A
Points1 of 6 · 0.50 per game1 of 6 · 0.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 10 meetings

7 Fulham wins1 draws2 Nottingham Forest wins
Goals per game1.90 – 0.70 Over 2.550% Both scored30% Clean sheets60% · 20%
  • 15 Mar 2026Nottingham Forest0–0Fulham
  • 22 Dec 2025Fulham1–0Nottingham Forest
  • 15 Feb 2025Fulham2–1Nottingham Forest
  • 28 Sep 2024Nottingham Forest0–1Fulham
  • 2 Apr 2024Nottingham Forest3–1Fulham
  • 6 Dec 2023Fulham5–0Nottingham Forest

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

FulhamNottingham ForestForecast
Scored per game 1.000.71
Conceded per game 1.431.29
Match goals 2.432.00
Over 1.5 57%43%
Over 2.5 43%43%
Over 3.5 29%29%
Both teams scored 57%43%
Clean sheets 29%14%
Failed to score 29%57%
Games77
FulhamNottingham ForestForecast
Scored per game 1.000.90
Conceded per game 1.201.40
Match goals 2.202.30
Over 1.5 60%60%
Over 2.5 30%40%
Over 3.5 20%30%
Both teams scored 50%60%
Clean sheets 30%10%
Failed to score 30%40%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

FulhamNottingham ForestLeague
Corners
Corners won6.434.71
Corners conceded4.294.86
Match total10.729.579.49
Over 8.557% 4/743% 3/7
Over 9.557% 4/743% 3/7
Over 10.543% 3/743% 3/7
Cards
Cards2.142.29
Opponent cards0.861.71
Match total3.004.004.17
Over 3.543% 3/757% 4/7
Over 4.543% 3/729% 2/7
FulhamNottingham ForestLeague
Corners
Corners won6.804.70
Corners conceded4.104.50
Match total10.909.209.49
Over 8.570% 7/1050% 5/10
Over 9.560% 6/1040% 4/10
Over 10.550% 5/1040% 4/10
Cards
Cards2.202.00
Opponent cards1.201.50
Match total3.403.504.17
Over 3.550% 5/1040% 4/10
Over 4.540% 4/1020% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Fulham7 games · scored 7 · conceded 10
1 1 0-15
1 16-30
2 2 31-45
2 2 46-60
1 1 61-75
4 76-90
Nottingham Forest7 games · scored 5 · conceded 9
1 0-15
1 16-30
2 31-45
1 3 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 3 76-90
Fulham10 games · scored 10 · conceded 12
1 1 0-15
2 1 16-30
3 2 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 4 76-90
Nottingham Forest10 games · scored 9 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
3 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Premier League

View all fixtures →
Manchester United Brighton Feb 1020:00 Newcastle Chelsea Feb 1020:00 Fulham Nottingham Forest Feb 1020:00 Everton Leeds Feb 1020:00 Tottenham Manchester City Feb 1020:00 Crystal Palace Brentford Feb 1020:00 Ipswich Arsenal Feb 1020:00 Hull City Sunderland Feb 1020:00 Aston Villa Bournemouth Feb 1020:00 Coventry Liverpool Feb 1020:00