GIL Vicente vs Famalicao

Primeira Liga Gameweek 21 Sun, Feb 7 · 16:00 Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos

GIL Vicente 6th · 14 pts · 8 played LLDWW

VS— Compare

Famalicao 13th · 7 pts · 8 played DDDWL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel16 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

GIL Vicente—%

Draw—%

Famalicao—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Barcelos)

Forecast from 23 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

GIL Vicente

Famalicao

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

34 Current StrengthIn forecast 38

32 AttackIn forecast 24

50 DefenceIn forecast 36

46 Form indexContext 30

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

GIL Vicente

Attack—

Defense risk—

Famalicao

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

GIL Vicente

Famalicao

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.25

0.75 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.38

1.35 xGVia Att/Def 0.76

0.65 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.44

-0.35 Goals minus xGContext +0.49

75% Scored inContext 75%

50% Clean sheetsContext 25%

13.50 ShotsContext 10.00

3.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.25

28% On target shareContext 33%

8.50 Shots in the boxContext 4.75

61% Box shareContext 47%

7% ConversionContext 13%

1.57 OffsidesContext 1.40

11.13 Shots allowedContext 11.88

2.75 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.38

2.71 BlocksContext 2.75

2.29 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.00

76% Save rateContext 59%

53% PossessionIn forecast 55%

472 PassesContext 472

409 Accurate passesContext 405

87% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.82 Team ratingContext 6.77

13.13 FoulsContext 11.63

11.75 Fouls sufferedContext 15.25

2.25 Yellow cardsContext 2.25

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10

1.15 xGVia Att/Def 0.90

0.89 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.13

-0.25 Goals minus xGContext +0.20

70% Scored inContext 70%

40% Clean sheetsContext 40%

13.10 ShotsContext 10.50

3.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.20

28% On target shareContext 31%

7.90 Shots in the boxContext 5.10

58% Box shareContext 48%

7% ConversionContext 11%

1.56 OffsidesContext 1.57

11.60 Shots allowedContext 10.60

3.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 2.90

3.00 BlocksContext 2.67

2.44 Goalkeeper savesContext 1.80

71% Save rateContext 62%

50% PossessionIn forecast 55%

447 PassesContext 465

386 Accurate passesContext 399

86% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.75 Team ratingContext 6.81

13.00 FoulsContext 10.90

12.30 Fouls sufferedContext 14.50

2.10 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

GIL Vicente LLDWW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 46 · 7 pts vs 7.5 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected

W19 OctA · SC Braga2–10.8 xPts
W9 OctA · Moreirense1–01.3 xPts
D19 SepH · Maritimo1–12.0 xPts
L13 SepA · Benfica1–30.4 xPts
L6 SepH · Academico Viseu0–11.8 xPts

Famalicao DDDWL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel16 km2,444 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

Form 30 · 6 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · -1.3 vs expected

L12 OctH · Alverca1–41.8 xPts
W19 SepA · Nacional4–01.7 xPts
D13 SepH · Sporting CP1–10.8 xPts
D5 SepA · Estrela2–21.4 xPts
D30 AugH · GIL Vicente0–01.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	GIL Vicente	Famalicao
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 5
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Primeira Liga 2026-2027, 31 Jan	7Primeira Liga 2026-2027, 31 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	16 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	2,444 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

GIL Vicente Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs SC Braga (A) 2–1, 19 Oct

30Lucão(G)

45David Moreira 39Jonathan Buatu 4M. Elimbi 47Ricardo Esgaio

86Diogo Prioste 12A. Lausen

20Gil Martins 10Santi García 77Murilo

99M. Kaba

Famalicao Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Alverca (H) 1–4, 12 Oct

25L. Carević(G)

28Pedro Bondo 15Víctor Rofino 36M. Mattara 17Rodrigo Pinheiro

21Tamás Szücs 8Marcos Peña

7Sorriso 14M. De Amorim 23Gil Dias

70G. Koutsias

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

GIL Vicente Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Famalicao Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

GIL Vicente · Home 1.75points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 2-1-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 0.50

Famalicao · Away 1.25points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 1-2-1
Scored: 1.75
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

Opponent	GIL Vicente	Famalicao
Maritimo	D 1–1 H	L 1–2 H
Points	1 of 3 · 1.00 per game	0 of 3 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 9 of 9 meetings

2 GIL Vicente wins4 draws3 Famalicao wins

Goals per game1.00 – 0.89 Over 2.533% Both scored33% Clean sheets56% · 44%

30 Aug 2026Famalicao0–0GIL Vicente
1 Feb 2026GIL Vicente5–0Famalicao
24 Aug 2025Famalicao0–0GIL Vicente
17 Feb 2025GIL Vicente0–2Famalicao
14 Sep 2024Famalicao1–1GIL Vicente
29 Mar 2024GIL Vicente1–2Famalicao

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	GIL Vicente	Famalicao
Scored per game	1.00	1.25
Conceded per game	0.75	1.38
Match goals	1.75	2.63
Over 1.5	50%	75%
Over 2.5	25%	50%
Over 3.5	13%	38%
Both teams scored	38%	63%
Clean sheets	50%	25%
Failed to score	25%	25%
Games	8	8

	GIL Vicente	Famalicao
Scored per game	0.90	1.10
Conceded per game	1.20	1.10
Match goals	2.10	2.20
Over 1.5	60%	60%
Over 2.5	40%	40%
Over 3.5	20%	30%
Both teams scored	40%	50%
Clean sheets	40%	40%
Failed to score	30%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	GIL Vicente	Famalicao	League
Corners
Corners won	3.71	5.75
Corners conceded	3.43	3.88
Match total	7.14	9.63	8.91
Over 8.5	14% 1/7	75% 6/8
Over 9.5	0% 0/7	63% 5/8
Over 10.5	0% 0/7	25% 2/8
Cards
Cards	2.25	2.38
Opponent cards	2.25	2.38
Match total	4.50	4.76	4.55
Over 3.5	63% 5/8	75% 6/8
Over 4.5	63% 5/8	63% 5/8

	GIL Vicente	Famalicao	League
Corners
Corners won	3.56	6.20
Corners conceded	3.56	3.90
Match total	7.12	10.10	8.91
Over 8.5	11% 1/9	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	0% 0/9	70% 7/10
Over 10.5	0% 0/9	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	2.10	2.10
Opponent cards	1.90	2.40
Match total	4.00	4.50	4.55
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.