La Liga Gameweek 14 Sun, Nov 29 · 16:00 Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel528 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Levante—%
Draw—%
Racing Santander—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Valencia)

Forecast from 14 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Levante and Racing Santander. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

LevanteRacing Santander
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
48 Current StrengthIn forecast 41
55 AttackIn forecast 42
41 DefenceIn forecast 22
29 Form indexContext 34
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Levante

Attack—
Defense risk—

Racing Santander

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

LevanteRacing Santander
1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.44
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.78
1.35 xGVia Att/Def 1.31
2.01 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.28
+0.15 Goals minus xGContext +0.13
63% Scored inContext 67%
25% Clean sheetsContext 0%
11.88 ShotsContext 11.22
4.86 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.44
36% On target shareContext 40%
7.71 Shots in the boxContext 6.38
58% Box shareContext 54%
13% ConversionContext 13%
2.25 OffsidesContext 1.78
15.25 Shots allowedContext 16.33
5.63 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.67
3.38 BlocksContext 3.56
3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.00
62% Save rateContext 61%
44% PossessionIn forecast 50%
381 PassesContext 437
309 Accurate passesContext 362
81% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.75 Team ratingContext 6.62
9.88 FoulsContext 13.78
12.75 Fouls sufferedContext 14.78
1.25 Yellow cardsContext 2.67
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.11
This league season, per match · 8 and 9 games
1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.70
1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.60
1.43 xGVia Att/Def 1.47
1.79 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.17
+0.07 Goals minus xGContext +0.23
70% Scored inContext 70%
30% Clean sheetsContext 0%
12.20 ShotsContext 12.20
4.89 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.80
36% On target shareContext 39%
8.22 Shots in the boxContext 7.56
62% Box shareContext 57%
12% ConversionContext 14%
1.83 OffsidesContext 1.80
14.90 Shots allowedContext 15.90
5.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.30
3.56 BlocksContext 3.40
3.70 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.63
66% Save rateContext 62%
42% PossessionIn forecast 50%
359 PassesContext 441
291 Accurate passesContext 367
81% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.80 Team ratingContext 6.70
9.60 FoulsContext 13.40
12.70 Fouls sufferedContext 14.10
1.40 Yellow cardsContext 2.40
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Levante
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 29 · 3 pts vs 5.6 for an average club · -2.6 vs expected
  • D16 OctA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.2 xPts
  • D12 OctH · Sevilla3–31.6 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Villarreal1–30.9 xPts
  • L13 SepH · Barcelona2–40.5 xPts
  • D6 SepA · Malaga0–01.3 xPts
Racing Santander
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel528 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 34 · 4 pts vs 5.8 for an average club · -1.4 vs expected
  • L18 OctA · Osasuna0–21.1 xPts
  • D11 OctH · Valencia2–21.6 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Celta Vigo0–51.2 xPts
  • L16 SepA · Barcelona2–70.2 xPts
  • W12 SepH · Alaves2–11.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Levante Racing Santander
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7La Liga 2026-2027, 22 Nov7La Liga 2026-2027, 22 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km528 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 21 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Levante Last XI · not confirmed
4-3-3 · vs Deportivo La Coruna (A) 1–1, 16 Oct
13M. Ryan(G)
23Manu Sánchez 3Ifeanyi Ndukwe 4Adrián de la Fuente 29Nacho Pérez
6Reque 20Oriol Rey 18E. Bardeli
24T. Fernandez 9Iván Romero 7Roger Brugué
Racing Santander Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Osasuna (A) 0–2, 18 Oct
13Julen Agirrezabala(G)
17Jorge Salinas 24J. Belocian 5Pablo Ramón 2Álvaro Mantilla
18M. Prati 23Iván Martín
10Iñigo Vicente 8André Almeida 20Sergio Canales
21M. Zabiri

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Levante Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Racing Santander Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Levante · Home 1.33points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
1-1-1
Scored
3.33
Conceded
3.00
Racing Santander · Away 0.00points per game · 5 away games
W-D-L
0-0-5
Scored
0.80
Conceded
3.60

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goal timing

Levante8 games · scored 12 · conceded 16
3 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 4 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 1 61-75
6 4 76-90
Racing Santander9 games · scored 13 · conceded 25
2 3 0-15
4 3 16-30
4 7 31-45
2 1 46-60
1 3 61-75
8 76-90
Levante10 games · scored 15 · conceded 18
4 0-15
1 1 16-30
4 4 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 2 61-75
7 4 76-90
Racing Santander10 games · scored 17 · conceded 26
3 3 0-15
5 3 16-30
5 7 31-45
2 2 46-60
2 3 61-75
8 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.