SC Freiburg vs 1.FC Köln

Bundesliga Gameweek 32 Sat, May 8 · 14:30 Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC Freiburg 3rd · 13 pts · 6 played WWDWL

VS— Compare

1.FC Köln 12th · 7 pts · 6 played LDLWL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel333 kmRest days14 · 14Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

SC Freiburg—%

Draw—%

1.FC Köln—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Freiburg im Breisgau)

Forecast from 23 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak SC Freiburg 6 Scoring in a row Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

SC Freiburg

1.FC Köln

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

64 Current StrengthIn forecast 34

63 AttackIn forecast 36

73 DefenceIn forecast 36

78 Form indexContext 26

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

SC Freiburg

Attack—

Defense risk—

1.FC Köln

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

SC Freiburg

1.FC Köln

2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.33

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.83

1.87 xGVia Att/Def 1.67

0.94 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.73

+0.63 Goals minus xGContext -0.34

100% Scored inContext 83%

33% Clean sheetsContext 0%

16.00 ShotsContext 16.33

5.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.33

33% On target shareContext 33%

10.00 Shots in the boxContext 11.50

63% Box shareContext 71%

16% ConversionContext 8%

1.33 OffsidesContext 1.00

9.17 Shots allowedContext 15.67

3.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.33

3.33 BlocksContext 3.83

2.25 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.50

64% Save rateContext 71%

53% PossessionIn forecast 48%

465 PassesContext 417

390 Accurate passesContext 344

84% Pass accuracyContext 83%

7.06 Team ratingContext 6.76

9.50 FoulsContext 11.17

14.17 Fouls sufferedContext 11.33

1.67 Yellow cardsContext 1.83

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games

2.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.30

1.52 xGVia Att/Def 1.61

1.17 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.70

+0.88 Goals minus xGContext -0.31

90% Scored inContext 90%

20% Clean sheetsContext 0%

13.50 ShotsContext 15.30

5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.30

37% On target shareContext 35%

8.70 Shots in the boxContext 11.00

64% Box shareContext 73%

18% ConversionContext 9%

1.71 OffsidesContext 1.17

11.00 Shots allowedContext 14.50

4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50

3.80 BlocksContext 3.80

2.63 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.56

60% Save rateContext 60%

53% PossessionIn forecast 47%

445 PassesContext 414

373 Accurate passesContext 343

84% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.98 Team ratingContext 6.69

10.80 FoulsContext 9.80

13.10 Fouls sufferedContext 9.30

1.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

SC Freiburg WWDWL

Rest14 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km262 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 78 · 10 pts vs 6.5 for an average club · +2.2 vs expected

L18 OctA · Bayer Leverkusen1–20.8 xPts
W11 OctH · FC Schalke 042–12.0 xPts
D19 SepA · Eintracht Frankfurt2–21.5 xPts
W12 SepH · Borussia Mönchengladbach5–02.1 xPts
W5 SepA · SC Paderborn 071–01.5 xPts

1.FC Köln LDLWL

Rest14 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel333 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 26 · 4 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · -2.2 vs expected

L16 OctA · Eintracht Frankfurt0–11.0 xPts
W11 OctH · Borussia Mönchengladbach2–11.7 xPts
L19 SepA · Hamburger SV1–21.2 xPts
D12 SepH · Werder Bremen1–11.6 xPts
L4 SepA · VfB Stuttgart1–40.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	SC Freiburg	1.FC Köln
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	14Bundesliga 2026-2027, 24 Apr	14Bundesliga 2026-2027, 24 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	333 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	262 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 3	0 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

SC Freiburg Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Bayer Leverkusen (A) 1–2, 18 Oct

1M. Backhaus(G)

33J. Makengo 3P. Lienhart 28M. Ginter 29P. Treu

16Y. Engelhardt 8M. Eggestein

7D. Scherhant 42Keisuke Goto 19J. Beste

31I. Matanović

1.FC Köln Last XI · not confirmed

5-3-2 · vs Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 0–1, 16 Oct

1M. Schwäbe(G)

3B. Sosa 24L. Lochoshvili 22J. Simpson-Pusey 2Joel Schmied 28S. Sebulonsen

37L. Maina 5T. Krauß 8Í. Jóhannesson

10S. El Mala 30M. Bülter

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

SC Freiburg Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

1.FC Köln Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

SC Freiburg · Home 3.00points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 3-0-0
Scored: 3.67
Conceded: 0.67

1.FC Köln · Away 0.00points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-3
Scored: 0.67
Conceded: 2.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

Opponent	SC Freiburg	1.FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt	D 2–2 A	L 0–1 A
Borussia Mönchengladbach	W 5–0 H	W 2–1 H
Werder Bremen	W 4–1 H	D 1–1 H
Points	7 of 9 · 2.33 per game	4 of 9 · 1.33 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

4 SC Freiburg wins2 draws2 1.FC Köln wins

Goals per game1.13 – 0.88 Over 2.525% Both scored38% Clean sheets50% · 25%

25 Jan 2026SC Freiburg2–11.FC Köln
31 Aug 20251.FC Köln4–1SC Freiburg
4 May 20241.FC Köln0–0SC Freiburg
17 Dec 2023SC Freiburg2–01.FC Köln
29 Apr 20231.FC Köln0–1SC Freiburg
6 Nov 2022SC Freiburg2–01.FC Köln

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	SC Freiburg	1.FC Köln
Scored per game	2.50	1.33
Conceded per game	1.00	1.83
Match goals	3.50	3.17
Over 1.5	83%	83%
Over 2.5	83%	67%
Over 3.5	50%	33%
Both teams scored	67%	83%
Clean sheets	33%	0%
Failed to score	0%	17%
Games	6	6

	SC Freiburg	1.FC Köln
Scored per game	2.40	1.30
Conceded per game	1.40	2.30
Match goals	3.80	3.60
Over 1.5	90%	90%
Over 2.5	90%	80%
Over 3.5	60%	50%
Both teams scored	70%	90%
Clean sheets	20%	0%
Failed to score	10%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	SC Freiburg	1.FC Köln	League
Corners
Corners won	5.17	6.00
Corners conceded	3.50	6.33
Match total	8.67	12.33	10.72
Over 8.5	50% 3/6	83% 5/6
Over 9.5	17% 1/6	83% 5/6
Over 10.5	17% 1/6	67% 4/6
Cards
Cards	1.83	1.83
Opponent cards	1.83	1.67
Match total	3.66	3.50	3.51
Over 3.5	67% 4/6	67% 4/6
Over 4.5	33% 2/6	0% 0/6

	SC Freiburg	1.FC Köln	League
Corners
Corners won	4.10	5.78
Corners conceded	4.00	5.44
Match total	8.10	11.22	10.72
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	20% 2/10	78% 7/9
Over 10.5	20% 2/10	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	1.40	1.80
Opponent cards	2.20	1.70
Match total	3.60	3.50	3.51
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	10% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.