SV Elversberg
Attack—
Defense risk—
SV Elversberg
6th · 10 pts · 6 played
WLDLW
VS—
Compare
1899 Hoffenheim
14th · 6 pts · 6 played
LWLLW
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel127 kmRest days14 · 14Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
SV Elversberg—%
Draw—%
1899 Hoffenheim—%
Weather (Spiesen-Elversberg)
Forecast from 23 Apr
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for SV Elversberg and 1899 Hoffenheim. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Trend
1899 Hoffenheim
88%
Both teams scored
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Trend
SV Elversberg
2.0
Goals scored per match
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
1899 Hoffenheim
2.4
Goals conceded per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
SV Elversberg
67%
Both teams scored
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Trend
1899 Hoffenheim
1.6
Goals scored per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
SV Elversberg
1.8
Goals conceded per match
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Attack
-
Trend
SV Elversberg
2.0
Goals scored per match
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
1899 Hoffenheim
88%
Both teams scored
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Trend
1899 Hoffenheim
1.6
Goals scored per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
SV Elversberg
67%
Both teams scored
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored
Defence
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
SV Elversberg1899 Hoffenheim
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
42
Current StrengthIn forecast
49
44
AttackIn forecast
46
37
DefenceIn forecast
43
60
Form indexContext
15
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysis1899 Hoffenheim
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
SV Elversberg1899 Hoffenheim
2.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.83
1.83
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.33
1.45
xGVia Att/Def
1.70
2.17
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.40
+0.55
Goals minus xGContext
+0.13
67%
Scored inContext
100%
17%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
11.17
ShotsContext
17.83
4.67
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.33
42%
On target shareContext
30%
8.17
Shots in the boxContext
11.00
72%
Box shareContext
61%
18%
ConversionContext
10%
3.20
OffsidesContext
2.20
22.00
Shots allowedContext
13.50
5.33
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.50
8.50
BlocksContext
4.33
3.17
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.33
59%
Save rateContext
52%
44%
PossessionIn forecast
57%
382
PassesContext
499
303
Accurate passesContext
405
80%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.82
Team ratingContext
6.83
11.67
FoulsContext
13.33
13.17
Fouls sufferedContext
10.00
2.17
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
2.40
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.40
1.80
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.30
1.46
xGVia Att/Def
1.56
1.63
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.52
+0.94
Goals minus xGContext
-0.16
80%
Scored inContext
80%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
11.20
ShotsContext
16.60
4.20
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.70
38%
On target shareContext
28%
7.56
Shots in the boxContext
10.30
66%
Box shareContext
62%
21%
ConversionContext
8%
2.86
OffsidesContext
2.14
16.90
Shots allowedContext
12.90
4.60
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.20
6.33
BlocksContext
4.10
2.89
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.10
59%
Save rateContext
50%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
59%
387
PassesContext
515
309
Accurate passesContext
426
80%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.83
Team ratingContext
6.72
11.50
FoulsContext
14.00
12.40
Fouls sufferedContext
9.00
1.90
Yellow cardsContext
2.50
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
SV Elversberg
WLDLW
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km1,021 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 60 · 7 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · +1.6 vs expected
1899 Hoffenheim
LLLLW
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel127 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 15 · 3 pts vs 7.9 for an average club · -5.0 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| SV Elversberg |
1899 Hoffenheim |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 14Bundesliga 2026-2027, 24 Apr | 14Bundesliga 2026-2027, 24 Apr |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 127 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,021 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 0 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
SV Elversberg
Last XI · not confirmed
20N. Kristof(G)
21L. Günther
31M. Rohr
19L. Pinckert
30J. Gyamerah
8Ł. Poręba
43F. Keidel
7M. Krattenmacher
10N. Darvich
25L. Petkov
42David Mokwa
1899 Hoffenheim
Last XI · not confirmed
1O. Baumann(G)
39M. Rots
28K. Machida
2R. Hranáč
34V. Coufal
22A. Prass
7L. Avdullahu
10A. Hložek
11F. Asllani
20B. Conté
19T. Lemperle
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences SV Elversberg
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
1899 Hoffenheim
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
SV Elversberg · Home
2.00points per game · 3 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-0-1
- Scored
- 2.67
- Conceded
- 2.33
1899 Hoffenheim · Away
1.00points per game · 3 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-2
- Scored
- 1.67
- Conceded
- 2.33
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 1 this season
| Opponent | SV Elversberg | 1899 Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | W 4–3 A | W 2–1 A |
| Points | 3 of 3 · 3.00 per game | 3 of 3 · 3.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| SV Elversberg | 1899 Hoffenheim | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.00 | 1.83 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.83 | 2.33 | |
| Match goals | 3.83 | 4.17 | |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 100% | |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 67% | |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% | |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 33% | 0% | |
| Games | 6 | 6 |
| SV Elversberg | 1899 Hoffenheim | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.00 | 1.40 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.83 | 2.30 | |
| Match goals | 3.83 | 3.70 | |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 80% | |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 60% | |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 70% | |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 10% | |
| Failed to score | 33% | 20% | |
| Games | 6 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| SV Elversberg | 1899 Hoffenheim | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.67 | 6.67 | |
| Corners conceded | 8.00 | 4.67 | |
| Match total | 11.67 | 11.34 | 10.72 |
| Over 8.5 | 67% 4/6 | 100% 6/6 | |
| Over 9.5 | 67% 4/6 | 83% 5/6 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 3/6 | 67% 4/6 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.17 | 2.17 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.83 | 0.67 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 2.84 | 3.51 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 3/6 | 33% 2/6 | |
| Over 4.5 | 33% 2/6 | 17% 1/6 | |
| SV Elversberg | 1899 Hoffenheim | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.00 | 7.10 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.20 | 4.20 | |
| Match total | 10.20 | 11.30 | 10.72 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 5/10 | 100% 10/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 5/10 | 90% 9/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 30% 3/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.90 | 2.70 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.30 | 1.40 | |
| Match total | 4.20 | 4.10 | 3.51 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
SV Elversberg6 games · scored 12 · conceded 11
4
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
5
76-90
1899 Hoffenheim6 games · scored 11 · conceded 14
2
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
4
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
4
76-90
SV Elversberg10 games · scored 24 · conceded 18
7
3
0-15
5
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
5
5
76-90
1899 Hoffenheim10 games · scored 14 · conceded 23
2
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
4
4
46-60
3
5
61-75
1
8
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
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