Bundesliga Gameweek 21 Sat, Feb 13 · 14:30 Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
SC Freiburg 3rd · 13 pts · 6 played
VS— Compare
Eintracht Frankfurt 11th · 8 pts · 6 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel243 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
SC Freiburg—%
Draw—%
Eintracht Frankfurt—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Freiburg im Breisgau)

Forecast from 29 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for SC Freiburg and Eintracht Frankfurt. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

SC FreiburgEintracht Frankfurt
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
64 Current StrengthIn forecast 48
63 AttackIn forecast 54
73 DefenceIn forecast 37
78 Form indexContext 52
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

SC Freiburg

Attack—
Defense risk—

Eintracht Frankfurt

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

SC FreiburgEintracht Frankfurt
2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.67
1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.67
1.87 xGVia Att/Def 1.77
0.94 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.00
+0.63 Goals minus xGContext -0.10
100% Scored inContext 83%
33% Clean sheetsContext 17%
16.00 ShotsContext 14.67
5.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.83
33% On target shareContext 40%
10.00 Shots in the boxContext 11.50
63% Box shareContext 78%
16% ConversionContext 11%
1.33 OffsidesContext 2.00
9.17 Shots allowedContext 17.50
3.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.00
3.33 BlocksContext 5.00
2.25 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.67
64% Save rateContext 67%
53% PossessionIn forecast 51%
465 PassesContext 436
390 Accurate passesContext 353
84% Pass accuracyContext 81%
7.06 Team ratingContext 6.86
9.50 FoulsContext 10.33
14.17 Fouls sufferedContext 13.17
1.67 Yellow cardsContext 2.33
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games
2.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.60
1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.40
1.52 xGVia Att/Def 1.60
1.17 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.75
+0.88 Goals minus xGContext +0.00
90% Scored inContext 90%
20% Clean sheetsContext 10%
13.50 ShotsContext 14.10
5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.80
37% On target shareContext 41%
8.70 Shots in the boxContext 9.60
64% Box shareContext 68%
18% ConversionContext 11%
1.71 OffsidesContext 2.22
11.00 Shots allowedContext 15.70
4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.40
3.80 BlocksContext 4.44
2.63 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.20
60% Save rateContext 66%
53% PossessionIn forecast 53%
445 PassesContext 449
373 Accurate passesContext 370
84% Pass accuracyContext 82%
6.98 Team ratingContext 6.78
10.80 FoulsContext 10.80
13.10 Fouls sufferedContext 12.10
1.30 Yellow cardsContext 2.30
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

SC Freiburg
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km738 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 78 · 10 pts vs 6.5 for an average club · +2.2 vs expected
  • L18 OctA · Bayer Leverkusen1–20.8 xPts
  • W11 OctH · FC Schalke 042–12.0 xPts
  • D19 SepA · Eintracht Frankfurt2–21.5 xPts
  • W12 SepH · Borussia Mönchengladbach5–02.1 xPts
  • W5 SepA · SC Paderborn 071–01.5 xPts
Eintracht Frankfurt
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel243 km504 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 52 · 7 pts vs 6.8 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected
  • W16 OctH · 1.FC Köln1–01.8 xPts
  • L10 OctA · RB Leipzig0–60.8 xPts
  • D19 SepH · SC Freiburg2–21.3 xPts
  • W12 SepA · FSV Mainz 053–10.9 xPts
  • L6 SepH · FC Augsburg1–41.5 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
SC Freiburg Eintracht Frankfurt
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 6 Feb7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 6 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km243 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways738 km504 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

SC Freiburg Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Bayer Leverkusen (A) 1–2, 18 Oct
1M. Backhaus(G)
33J. Makengo 3P. Lienhart 28M. Ginter 29P. Treu
16Y. Engelhardt 8M. Eggestein
7D. Scherhant 42Keisuke Goto 19J. Beste
31I. Matanović
Eintracht Frankfurt Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs 1.FC Köln (H) 1–0, 16 Oct
1N. Atubolu(G)
26K. Kosugi 3L. Brassier 4R. Koch 34P. Collins
8F. Chaïbi 27M. Götze 25R. Onyedika 20R. Doan
11Y. Ebnoutalib 9J. Burkardt

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
SC Freiburg Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Eintracht Frankfurt Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

SC Freiburg · Home 3.00points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
3-0-0
Scored
3.67
Conceded
0.67
Eintracht Frankfurt · Away 1.33points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
1-1-1
Scored
2.00
Conceded
3.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 10 of 11 meetings

1 SC Freiburg wins5 draws4 Eintracht Frankfurt wins
Goals per game1.30 – 2.00 Over 2.570% Both scored80% Clean sheets10% · 20%
  • 19 Sep 2026Eintracht Frankfurt2–2SC Freiburg
  • 1 Mar 2026Eintracht Frankfurt2–0SC Freiburg
  • 19 Oct 2025SC Freiburg2–2Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 17 May 2025SC Freiburg1–3Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 14 Jan 2025Eintracht Frankfurt4–1SC Freiburg
  • 18 Feb 2024SC Freiburg3–3Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

SC FreiburgEintracht FrankfurtForecast
Scored per game 2.501.67
Conceded per game 1.002.67
Match goals 3.504.33
Over 1.5 83%83%
Over 2.5 83%83%
Over 3.5 50%83%
Both teams scored 67%67%
Clean sheets 33%17%
Failed to score 0%17%
Games66
SC FreiburgEintracht FrankfurtForecast
Scored per game 2.401.60
Conceded per game 1.402.40
Match goals 3.804.00
Over 1.5 90%90%
Over 2.5 90%80%
Over 3.5 60%70%
Both teams scored 70%80%
Clean sheets 20%10%
Failed to score 10%10%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

SC FreiburgEintracht FrankfurtLeague
Corners
Corners won5.175.33
Corners conceded3.504.00
Match total8.679.3310.72
Over 8.550% 3/667% 4/6
Over 9.517% 1/633% 2/6
Over 10.517% 1/617% 1/6
Cards
Cards1.832.33
Opponent cards1.831.33
Match total3.663.663.51
Over 3.567% 4/667% 4/6
Over 4.533% 2/617% 1/6
SC FreiburgEintracht FrankfurtLeague
Corners
Corners won4.105.60
Corners conceded4.004.80
Match total8.1010.4010.72
Over 8.550% 5/1070% 7/10
Over 9.520% 2/1050% 5/10
Over 10.520% 2/1040% 4/10
Cards
Cards1.402.40
Opponent cards2.201.60
Match total3.604.003.51
Over 3.570% 7/1060% 6/10
Over 4.530% 3/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

SC Freiburg6 games · scored 15 · conceded 6
2 1 0-15
4 2 16-30
2 1 31-45
3 46-60
61-75
4 2 76-90
Eintracht Frankfurt6 games · scored 10 · conceded 16
5 3 0-15
16-30
2 3 31-45
1 4 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 5 76-90
SC Freiburg10 games · scored 24 · conceded 14
2 2 0-15
8 2 16-30
3 4 31-45
4 1 46-60
2 2 61-75
5 3 76-90
Eintracht Frankfurt10 games · scored 16 · conceded 24
6 4 0-15
16-30
2 7 31-45
2 6 46-60
3 2 61-75
3 5 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Bundesliga

View all fixtures →
SC Freiburg Eintracht Frankfurt Feb 1314:30 FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Mönchengladbach Feb 1314:30 Borussia Dortmund VfB Stuttgart Feb 1314:30 1899 Hoffenheim SC Paderborn 07 Feb 1314:30 FC Augsburg Werder Bremen Feb 1314:30 RB Leipzig Bayer Leverkusen Feb 1314:30 Union Berlin Bayern München Feb 1314:30 1.FC Köln Hamburger SV Feb 1314:30 SV Elversberg FC Schalke 04 Feb 1314:30