Elche vs Real Betis – 8 Nov 2026

La Liga Gameweek 12 Sun, Nov 8 · 13:00 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche

Elche 18th · 7 pts · 9 played DLWDD

VS— Compare

Real Betis 4th · 19 pts · 9 played WWDWL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Real Betis are slight favourites.

Real Betis are the stronger side on L90 Strength (72 vs 44). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Elche. Elche have 6.8 days of rest, Real Betis 3.7 and have to travel 473 km.

Away travel473 kmRest days6.8 · 3.7Matches / 14d1 · 3

Elche29%

Draw25%

Real Betis47%

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.74

Elche27%

Draw26%

Real Betis47%

Expected goals 1.13 – 1.58

Elche29%

Draw25%

Real Betis47%

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.74

Elche22%

Draw23%

Real Betis55%

Expected goals 1.18 – 1.96

Elche29%

Draw24%

Real Betis48%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.84

Over 2.5 59% Both score 61% Likeliest score 1–1

EloLambda forecast, updated 2 days ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Elche)

Forecast from 24 Oct

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Real Betis 10+ Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Elche

Real Betis

44 L90 StrengthIn forecast 72

44 Current StrengthIn forecast 72

39 AttackIn forecast 79

51 DefenceIn forecast 59

56 Form indexContext 80

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Elche

Attack0%

Defense risk+26%

Real Betis

Attack+11%

Defense risk−16%

Changes versus each team's league-average baseline. Higher attack and lower defense risk are favorable.

Playing style

Elche

Real Betis

1.22 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.78

1.89 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.56

1.07 xGVia Att/Def 1.65

1.85 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.96

+0.15 Goals minus xGContext +0.13

67% Scored inContext 100%

22% Clean sheetsContext 44%

11.00 ShotsContext 16.44

4.22 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.33

38% On target shareContext 39%

6.44 Shots in the boxContext 9.67

55% Box shareContext 56%

11% ConversionContext 11%

1.83 OffsidesContext 1.33

14.89 Shots allowedContext 15.33

5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.22

3.63 BlocksContext 3.78

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.33

60% Save rateContext 70%

51% PossessionIn forecast 51%

478 PassesContext 495

408 Accurate passesContext 429

85% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.64 Team ratingContext 7.03

13.44 FoulsContext 9.89

13.33 Fouls sufferedContext 11.67

2.33 Yellow cardsContext 1.56

0.11 Red cardsContext 0.11

This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games

1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

0.98 xGVia Att/Def 1.71

1.72 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.79

+0.22 Goals minus xGContext +0.39

70% Scored inContext 100%

20% Clean sheetsContext 30%

10.20 ShotsContext 16.70

3.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.20

38% On target shareContext 37%

6.44 Shots in the boxContext 10.00

55% Box shareContext 58%

12% ConversionContext 13%

1.83 OffsidesContext 1.40

14.40 Shots allowedContext 14.60

5.22 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00

3.44 BlocksContext 3.50

3.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.33

64% Save rateContext 67%

50% PossessionIn forecast 52%

463 PassesContext 504

391 Accurate passesContext 438

84% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.65 Team ratingContext 6.98

14.10 FoulsContext 10.70

14.00 Fouls sufferedContext 11.90

2.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Elche DLWDD

Rest6.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 56 · 6 pts vs 5.4 for an average club · +1.3 vs expected

D17 OctA · Villarreal0–00.7 xPts
D11 OctH · Celta Vigo0–01.5 xPts
W18 SepA · Espanyol3–11.1 xPts
L15 SepH · Real Madrid2–30.5 xPts
D12 SepA · Athletic Club1–10.8 xPts

Real Betis WDWWL

Rest3.7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel473 km4,962 km in 14d

Schedule load31%Moderate

Form 80 · 10 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +2.3 vs expected

L17 OctH · Barcelona2–50.8 xPts
W14 OctH · FC Porto3–21.4 xPts
W11 OctH · Osasuna5–22.0 xPts
D20 SepA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.6 xPts
W17 SepH · Getafe1–02.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Elche	Real Betis
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Moderate · 31
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6.8La Liga 2026-2027, 1 Nov	3.7UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 4 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	473 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	4,962 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 3	1 / 3 / 7
Next matchdays after this one	14.1	14.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Elche Last XI · not confirmed

5-3-2 · vs Villarreal (A) 0–0, 17 Oct

1M. Dituro(G)

11Germán Valera 3R. Revivo 23Víctor Chust 47J. Morcillo 2Buba Sangaré

18T. Lemar 8Marc Aguado 12Gonzalo Villar

21Lucas Cepeda 24A. Osorio

Real Betis Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Barcelona (H) 2–5, 17 Oct

1Álvaro Vallés(G)

11Fran García 16Valentín Gómez 3Diego Llorente 2Héctor Bellerín

25Dani Ceballos 6F. Bernal

10A. Ezzalzouli 8Pablo Fornals 20G. Lo Celso

9C. Hernández

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Elche No reported absences

Real Betis No reported absences

Total impact vs full squads

Elche+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Real Betis+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Elche · Home 0.25points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-3
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 2.75

Real Betis · Away 1.75points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 2-1-1
Scored: 1.50
Conceded: 1.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

Opponent	Elche	Real Betis
Villarreal	D 0–0 A	W 2–1 A
Real Madrid	L 2–3 H	W 1–0 H
Real Sociedad	L 2–3 H	W 1–0 H
Barcelona	L 0–5 H	L 2–5 H
Deportivo La Coruna	D 1–1 A	D 1–1 A
Points	2 of 15 · 0.40 per game	10 of 15 · 2.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

1 Elche wins2 draws5 Real Betis wins

Goals per game0.88 – 2.00 Over 2.563% Both scored63% Clean sheets13% · 25%

12 May 2026Real Betis2–1Elche
18 Aug 2025Elche1–1Real Betis
24 Feb 2023Elche2–3Real Betis
15 Aug 2022Real Betis3–0Elche
19 Apr 2022Real Betis0–1Elche
21 Nov 2021Elche0–3Real Betis

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Elche	Real Betis	Forecast
Scored per game	1.22	1.78
Conceded per game	1.89	1.56
Match goals	3.11	3.33	3.07
Over 1.5	78%	56%
Over 2.5	56%	44%	59%
Over 3.5	56%	33%
Both teams scored	67%	56%	61%
Clean sheets	22%	44%
Failed to score	33%	0%
Games	9	9

	Elche	Real Betis	Forecast
Scored per game	1.20	2.10
Conceded per game	1.80	1.80
Match goals	3.00	3.90	3.07
Over 1.5	80%	70%
Over 2.5	50%	60%	59%
Over 3.5	50%	50%
Both teams scored	70%	70%	61%
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Failed to score	30%	0%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Elche	Real Betis	League
Corners
Corners won	4.56	4.78
Corners conceded	4.67	6.44
Match total	9.23	11.22	9.91
Over 8.5	33% 3/9	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	33% 3/9	67% 6/9
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	56% 5/9
Cards
Cards	2.44	1.67
Opponent cards	2.00	2.67
Match total	4.44	4.34	4.73
Over 3.5	67% 6/9	56% 5/9
Over 4.5	56% 5/9	56% 5/9

	Elche	Real Betis	League
Corners
Corners won	4.20	4.90
Corners conceded	4.40	5.90
Match total	8.60	10.80	9.91
Over 8.5	30% 3/10	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	70% 7/10
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	2.60	1.90
Opponent cards	2.20	2.60
Match total	4.80	4.50	4.73
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	60% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.