Sparta Rotterdam
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel168 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Sparta Rotterdam—%
Draw—%
Twente—%
Weather (Rotterdam)
Forecast from 17 Apr
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Sparta Rotterdam and Twente. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Insight
Twente
+0.89
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.63xG against0.74
-
Trend
Sparta Rotterdam
78%
Both teams scored
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Trend
Twente
1.9
Goals scored per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
Sparta Rotterdam
2.4
Goals conceded per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Streak
Twente
8
Scoring in a row
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row -
Insight
Sparta Rotterdam
+0.34
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for2.05xG against1.71
Attack
-
Insight
Twente
+0.89
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.63xG against0.74
-
Trend
Twente
1.9
Goals scored per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Sparta Rotterdam
78%
Both teams scored
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Streak
Twente
8
Scoring in a row
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row -
Insight
Sparta Rotterdam
+0.34
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for2.05xG against1.71
-
Trend
Sparta Rotterdam
1.8
Goals scored per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Team strength
Sparta RotterdamTwente
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
18
Current StrengthIn forecast
45
32
AttackIn forecast
41
17
DefenceIn forecast
49
20
Form indexContext
58
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisTwente
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Sparta RotterdamTwente
1.78
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.89
2.44
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.11
2.12
xGVia Att/Def
1.63
1.86
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.74
-0.34
Goals minus xGContext
+0.26
78%
Scored inContext
89%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
22%
14.56
ShotsContext
20.56
6.57
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
7.00
35%
On target shareContext
34%
10.22
Shots in the boxContext
13.44
69%
Box shareContext
65%
12%
ConversionContext
9%
2.67
OffsidesContext
1.57
17.00
Shots allowedContext
11.11
5.44
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.89
4.78
BlocksContext
4.57
3.88
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.67
65%
Save rateContext
69%
45%
PossessionIn forecast
58%
380
PassesContext
535
308
Accurate passesContext
462
81%
Pass accuracyContext
86%
6.70
Team ratingContext
6.97
10.11
FoulsContext
11.33
9.89
Fouls sufferedContext
8.44
1.67
Yellow cardsContext
0.78
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.90
2.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.20
2.05
xGVia Att/Def
1.63
1.71
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.74
-0.25
Goals minus xGContext
+0.27
80%
Scored inContext
90%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
14.80
ShotsContext
20.56
6.25
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
7.00
34%
On target shareContext
34%
10.50
Shots in the boxContext
13.44
70%
Box shareContext
65%
12%
ConversionContext
9%
2.50
OffsidesContext
1.57
16.90
Shots allowedContext
11.11
5.30
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.89
4.60
BlocksContext
4.57
3.56
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.67
62%
Save rateContext
69%
46%
PossessionIn forecast
58%
384
PassesContext
535
311
Accurate passesContext
462
81%
Pass accuracyContext
86%
6.70
Team ratingContext
6.97
10.10
FoulsContext
11.33
10.30
Fouls sufferedContext
8.44
1.90
Yellow cardsContext
1.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Sparta Rotterdam
DLLDW
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 20 · 5 pts vs 8.9 for an average club · -1.4 vs expected
Twente
WWWDL
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel168 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 58 · 10 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · +0.4 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Sparta Rotterdam |
Twente |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7Eredivisie 2026-2027, 25 Apr | 7Eredivisie 2026-2027, 25 Apr |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 168 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 3 | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Sparta Rotterdam
Last XI · not confirmed
1M. Brouwer(G)
5B. Kuipers
4R. Martins Indi
6N. Verschuren
3M. Young
2Lushendry Edward Martes
11I. Babadi
10C. Hatenboer
8J. Toornstra
7Robin van Cruijsen
9Milan Zonneveld
Twente
Last XI · not confirmed
16J. Drommel(G)
29A. Adelgaard
4Ruud Nijstad
3R. Pröpper
28B. van Rooij
8D. Weidmann
6R. Zerrouki
27S. Ørjasæter
14K. Hlynsson
11D. Rots
9W. Weghorst
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Sparta Rotterdam
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Twente
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Sparta Rotterdam · Home
1.00points per game · 5 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-2-2
- Scored
- 1.60
- Conceded
- 2.40
Twente · Away
1.25points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-2-1
- Scored
- 1.75
- Conceded
- 1.25
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 5 this season
| Opponent | Sparta Rotterdam | Twente |
|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen | L 0–4 H | L 0–1 A |
| PSV Eindhoven | L 1–4 A | W 3–2 H |
| PEC Zwolle | D 2–2 H | W 3–1 H |
| Utrecht | D 3–3 H | L 1–2 H |
| Telstar | W 3–1 A | W 1–0 H |
| Points | 5 of 15 · 1.00 per game | 9 of 15 · 1.80 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings
0 Sparta Rotterdam wins2 draws3 Twente wins
Goals per game0.80 – 2.80
Over 2.560%
Both scored60%
Clean sheets0% · 40%
- 10 May 2026Twente4–0Sparta Rotterdam
- 19 Sep 2025Sparta Rotterdam1–5Twente
- 4 May 2025Sparta Rotterdam0–2Twente
- 17 Aug 2024Twente1–1Sparta Rotterdam
- 17 Dec 2023Sparta Rotterdam2–2Twente
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Sparta Rotterdam | Twente | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.78 | 1.89 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.44 | 1.11 | |
| Match goals | 4.22 | 3.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 78% | |
| Over 2.5 | 89% | 56% | |
| Over 3.5 | 78% | 44% | |
| Both teams scored | 78% | 67% | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 22% | |
| Failed to score | 22% | 11% | |
| Games | 9 | 9 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Twente | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.80 | 1.90 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.50 | 1.20 | |
| Match goals | 4.30 | 3.10 | |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 60% | |
| Over 3.5 | 80% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Sparta Rotterdam | Twente | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.67 | 7.22 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.89 | 3.89 | |
| Match total | 12.56 | 11.11 | 10.39 |
| Over 8.5 | 89% 8/9 | 100% 9/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 78% 7/9 | 78% 7/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 67% 6/9 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.67 | 0.78 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.11 | 1.56 | |
| Match total | 2.78 | 2.34 | 2.77 |
| Over 3.5 | 22% 2/9 | 22% 2/9 | |
| Over 4.5 | 11% 1/9 | 0% 0/9 | |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Twente | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.60 | 7.22 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.40 | 3.89 | |
| Match total | 12.00 | 11.11 | 10.39 |
| Over 8.5 | 80% 8/10 | 100% 9/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 70% 7/10 | 78% 7/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 60% 6/10 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.00 | 1.60 | |
| Match total | 2.90 | 2.60 | 2.77 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% 3/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 10% 1/10 | 10% 1/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Sparta Rotterdam9 games · scored 16 · conceded 22
2
0-15
2
6
16-30
2
3
31-45
4
4
46-60
3
4
61-75
3
5
76-90
Twente9 games · scored 17 · conceded 10
2
1
0-15
3
5
16-30
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
4
1
61-75
3
1
76-90
Sparta Rotterdam10 games · scored 18 · conceded 25
2
1
0-15
2
6
16-30
2
3
31-45
5
5
46-60
3
5
61-75
4
5
76-90
Twente10 games · scored 19 · conceded 12
2
1
0-15
3
6
16-30
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
4
1
61-75
5
1
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
