Eredivisie Gameweek 31 Sun, May 2 · 16:00 De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
GO Ahead Eagles 9th · 11 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
PSV Eindhoven 3rd · 19 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel102 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
GO Ahead Eagles—%
Draw—%
PSV Eindhoven—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Deventer)

Forecast from 17 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for GO Ahead Eagles and PSV Eindhoven. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

GO Ahead EaglesPSV Eindhoven
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
24 Current StrengthIn forecast 71
29 AttackIn forecast 60
17 DefenceIn forecast 64
14 Form indexContext 32
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

GO Ahead Eagles

Attack—
Defense risk—

PSV Eindhoven

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

GO Ahead EaglesPSV Eindhoven
2.22 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 3.00
2.33 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.33
1.78 xGVia Att/Def 2.43
1.81 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.91
+0.44 Goals minus xGContext +0.57
100% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 11%
15.78 ShotsContext 19.44
6.22 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.11
39% On target shareContext 37%
10.44 Shots in the boxContext 13.44
66% Box shareContext 71%
14% ConversionContext 15%
1.33 OffsidesContext 2.00
16.89 Shots allowedContext 10.89
5.22 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.44
5.50 BlocksContext 3.29
3.25 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.25
57% Save rateContext 67%
56% PossessionIn forecast 61%
486 PassesContext 573
402 Accurate passesContext 508
83% Pass accuracyContext 89%
6.74 Team ratingContext 7.01
7.11 FoulsContext 9.78
9.78 Fouls sufferedContext 9.89
0.78 Yellow cardsContext 1.56
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
2.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.60
2.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20
1.54 xGVia Att/Def 2.27
2.25 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.11
+0.56 Goals minus xGContext +0.33
100% Scored inContext 90%
0% Clean sheetsContext 10%
14.50 ShotsContext 17.30
5.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.50
39% On target shareContext 38%
10.44 Shots in the boxContext 11.60
66% Box shareContext 67%
15% ConversionContext 15%
1.33 OffsidesContext 2.22
18.80 Shots allowedContext 11.70
5.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.20
6.44 BlocksContext 3.56
4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.22
62% Save rateContext 71%
55% PossessionIn forecast 58%
467 PassesContext 526
385 Accurate passesContext 464
82% Pass accuracyContext 88%
6.75 Team ratingContext 6.95
7.20 FoulsContext 10.50
9.90 Fouls sufferedContext 11.00
0.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.80
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

GO Ahead Eagles
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 14 · 4 pts vs 9.0 for an average club · -3.2 vs expected
  • L18 OctA · PEC Zwolle1–41.5 xPts
  • D10 OctH · Sparta Rotterdam3–31.9 xPts
  • D20 SepA · NEC Nijmegen1–11.1 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Groningen1–11.6 xPts
  • D8 SepA · Utrecht3–31.2 xPts
PSV Eindhoven
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel102 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 32 · 6 pts vs 8.1 for an average club · -4.7 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · ADO Den Haag1–22.4 xPts
  • L13 OctA · RB Leipzig0–11.2 xPts
  • W9 OctH · Heerenveen2–02.5 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Twente2–31.8 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Sparta Rotterdam4–12.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
GO Ahead Eagles PSV Eindhoven
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Eredivisie 2026-2027, 25 Apr7Eredivisie 2026-2027, 25 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km102 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 31 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

GO Ahead Eagles Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs PEC Zwolle (A) 1–4, 18 Oct
1C. Haug(G)
5D. James 4J. Kramer 25G. van Zwam 2A. Sampsted
8H. Linthorst 21M. Meulensteen
17M. Suray 10S. Tengstedt 16V. Edvardsen
9S. Sigurðarson
PSV Eindhoven Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs ADO Den Haag (A) 1–2, 17 Oct
32M. Kovář(G)
18F. Kostić 4A. Obispo 2L. Geertruida 8S. Dest
17Mauro Júnior 24K. Sano
35A. Santos 20G. Til 27D. Man
21S. Mijnans

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
GO Ahead Eagles Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
PSV Eindhoven Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

GO Ahead Eagles · Home 2.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
2-2-0
Scored
2.75
Conceded
1.50
PSV Eindhoven · Away 1.80points per game · 5 away games
W-D-L
3-0-2
Scored
2.80
Conceded
1.60

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

OpponentGO Ahead EaglesPSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam D 3–3 H W 4–1 H
Groningen D 1–1 H W 5–1 H
Utrecht D 3–3 A W 6–1 A
ADO Den Haag W 3–1 H L 1–2 A
Points6 of 12 · 1.50 per game9 of 12 · 2.25 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

1 GO Ahead Eagles wins0 draws4 PSV Eindhoven wins
Goals per game1.00 – 2.80 Over 2.5100% Both scored60% Clean sheets0% · 40%
  • 10 May 2026GO Ahead Eagles1–4PSV Eindhoven
  • 18 Oct 2025PSV Eindhoven2–1GO Ahead Eagles
  • 1 Mar 2025GO Ahead Eagles3–2PSV Eindhoven
  • 1 Sep 2024PSV Eindhoven3–0GO Ahead Eagles
  • 27 Sep 2023PSV Eindhoven3–0GO Ahead Eagles

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

GO Ahead EaglesPSV EindhovenForecast
Scored per game 2.223.00
Conceded per game 2.331.33
Match goals 4.564.33
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 78%89%
Over 3.5 78%67%
Both teams scored 100%89%
Clean sheets 0%11%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games99
GO Ahead EaglesPSV EindhovenForecast
Scored per game 2.102.60
Conceded per game 2.301.20
Match goals 4.403.80
Over 1.5 100%90%
Over 2.5 80%70%
Over 3.5 70%50%
Both teams scored 100%80%
Clean sheets 0%10%
Failed to score 0%10%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

GO Ahead EaglesPSV EindhovenLeague
Corners
Corners won6.335.29
Corners conceded4.783.86
Match total11.119.1510.39
Over 8.578% 7/957% 4/7
Over 9.578% 7/957% 4/7
Over 10.567% 6/943% 3/7
Cards
Cards0.781.67
Opponent cards0.892.00
Match total1.673.672.77
Over 3.50% 0/933% 3/9
Over 4.50% 0/933% 3/9
GO Ahead EaglesPSV EindhovenLeague
Corners
Corners won6.105.44
Corners conceded5.603.89
Match total11.709.3310.39
Over 8.580% 8/1056% 5/9
Over 9.580% 8/1056% 5/9
Over 10.570% 7/1044% 4/9
Cards
Cards0.901.90
Opponent cards0.902.40
Match total1.804.302.77
Over 3.50% 0/1040% 4/10
Over 4.50% 0/1040% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

GO Ahead Eagles9 games · scored 20 · conceded 21
1 3 0-15
4 1 16-30
1 4 31-45
4 3 46-60
6 4 61-75
4 6 76-90
PSV Eindhoven9 games · scored 27 · conceded 12
4 4 0-15
5 1 16-30
5 1 31-45
4 2 46-60
3 61-75
6 4 76-90
GO Ahead Eagles10 games · scored 21 · conceded 23
1 4 0-15
4 2 16-30
1 4 31-45
5 3 46-60
6 4 61-75
4 6 76-90
PSV Eindhoven10 games · scored 26 · conceded 12
4 4 0-15
5 1 16-30
5 1 31-45
4 2 46-60
2 1 61-75
6 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Eredivisie

View all fixtures →
Ajax Fortuna Sittard May 216:00 Excelsior Cambuur May 216:00 Groningen ADO Den Haag May 216:00 Feyenoord Willem II May 216:00 Heerenveen Utrecht May 216:00 GO Ahead Eagles PSV Eindhoven May 216:00 NEC Nijmegen PEC Zwolle May 216:00 Sparta Rotterdam Twente May 216:00 Telstar AZ Alkmaar May 216:00