Süper Lig Gameweek 12 Sun, Nov 22 · 13:00 Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Konya
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Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel463 kmRest days15 · 13.8Matches / 14d0 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Konyaspor—%
Draw—%
Besiktas—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Konya)

Forecast from 7 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Konyaspor and Besiktas. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

KonyasporBesiktas
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
18 Current StrengthIn forecast 50
13 AttackIn forecast 60
31 DefenceIn forecast 48
23 Form indexContext 62
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Konyaspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Besiktas

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

KonyasporBesiktas
0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00
1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.25
0.91 xGVia Att/Def 1.70
1.12 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.09
-0.41 Goals minus xGContext +0.30
38% Scored inContext 75%
38% Clean sheetsContext 25%
10.38 ShotsContext 16.57
3.71 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.14
31% On target shareContext 37%
6.75 Shots in the boxContext 9.29
64% Box shareContext 56%
5% ConversionContext 11%
2.80 OffsidesContext 3.43
12.88 Shots allowedContext 9.57
5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.43
3.50 BlocksContext 3.40
4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00
80% Save rateContext 68%
49% PossessionIn forecast 61%
396 PassesContext 488
325 Accurate passesContext 422
82% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.75 Team ratingContext 6.98
11.88 FoulsContext 13.71
12.38 Fouls sufferedContext 15.00
2.38 Yellow cardsContext 2.50
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.20
1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40
0.91 xGVia Att/Def 2.06
1.33 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.27
-0.41 Goals minus xGContext +0.14
40% Scored inContext 70%
30% Clean sheetsContext 10%
10.80 ShotsContext 16.75
3.44 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.25
29% On target shareContext 37%
7.10 Shots in the boxContext 10.88
65% Box shareContext 64%
5% ConversionContext 14%
2.43 OffsidesContext 3.00
13.80 Shots allowedContext 11.25
6.11 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50
3.40 BlocksContext 3.38
4.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.88
78% Save rateContext 64%
49% PossessionIn forecast 59%
391 PassesContext 481
322 Accurate passesContext 410
82% Pass accuracyContext 85%
6.73 Team ratingContext 6.97
12.30 FoulsContext 11.44
11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 15.22
2.30 Yellow cardsContext 2.20
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Konyaspor
Rest15 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 23 · 5 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Amed0–10.8 xPts
  • D11 OctH · Istanbul Basaksehir0–01.4 xPts
  • D18 SepA · Kasimpasa0–01.1 xPts
  • W12 SepH · Trabzonspor1–01.2 xPts
  • L5 SepA · Erzurumspor FK0–11.1 xPts
Besiktas
Rest13.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel463 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 62 · 9 pts vs 7.6 for an average club · +1.0 vs expected
  • L19 OctA · Trabzonspor0–21.5 xPts
  • W15 OctA · 1899 Hoffenheim3–21.3 xPts
  • W11 OctH · Kocaelispor2–12.2 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Amed2–31.4 xPts
  • W17 SepH · Marseille4–11.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Konyaspor Besiktas
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match15Süper Lig 2026-2027, 7 Nov13.8Süper Lig 2026-2027, 8 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km463 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 30 / 1 / 4
Next matchdays after this one5.24.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Konyaspor Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Amed (A) 0–1, 17 Oct
13B. Güngördü(G)
26A. Masuaku 15C. Awaziem 22R. Baniya 17Y. Andzouana
8M. Jevtović 77M. İbrahimoğlu
7Diogo Gonçalves 66R. Tóth 9D. Türüç
11J. Muleka
Besiktas Last XI · not confirmed
4-1-4-1 · vs Trabzonspor (A) 0–2, 19 Oct
1A. Nübel(G)
33R. Yılmaz 53E. Topçu 12E. Agbadou 62A. Murillo
6S. Özcan
19L. Trossard 21F. Miretti 15Junior Olaitan 18V. Černý
28D. Vlahović

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Konyaspor Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Besiktas Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Konyaspor · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
0.50
Conceded
0.75
Besiktas · Away 0.75points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
1-0-3
Scored
1.00
Conceded
1.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

1 Konyaspor wins0 draws5 Besiktas wins
Goals per game0.33 – 1.67 Over 2.517% Both scored17% Clean sheets17% · 67%
  • 31 Jan 2026Besiktas2–1Konyaspor
  • 22 Oct 2025Konyaspor0–2Besiktas
  • 15 Mar 2025Konyaspor1–0Besiktas
  • 20 Oct 2024Besiktas2–0Konyaspor
  • 19 Feb 2024Besiktas2–0Konyaspor
  • 1 Oct 2023Konyaspor0–2Besiktas

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goal timing

Konyaspor8 games · scored 4 · conceded 9
2 1 0-15
2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
1 3 76-90
Besiktas8 games · scored 16 · conceded 10
1 1 0-15
4 4 16-30
3 31-45
2 2 46-60
3 2 61-75
3 1 76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 5 · conceded 14
2 2 0-15
2 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 3 46-60
3 61-75
1 3 76-90
Besiktas10 games · scored 22 · conceded 14
2 1 0-15
3 5 16-30
3 31-45
5 2 46-60
4 4 61-75
5 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.