Süper Lig Gameweek 12 Mon, Nov 23 · 17:00 Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, İstanbul
Istanbul Basaksehir 10th · 11 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Çorum FK 6th · 13 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel508 kmRest days16 · 15.2Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Istanbul Basaksehir—%
Draw—%
Çorum FK—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 8 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Istanbul Basaksehir and Çorum FK. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Istanbul BasaksehirÇorum FK
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
36 Current StrengthIn forecast 32
32 AttackIn forecast 31
35 DefenceIn forecast 36
33 Form indexContext 70
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir

Attack—
Defense risk—

Çorum FK

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Istanbul BasaksehirÇorum FK
1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25
1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.63
1.46 xGVia Att/Def 1.12
1.40 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.42
+0.04 Goals minus xGContext +1.13
75% Scored inContext 88%
38% Clean sheetsContext 25%
11.88 ShotsContext 12.25
4.57 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.88
34% On target shareContext 40%
6.88 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
54% Box shareContext 55%
13% ConversionContext 18%
2.00 OffsidesContext 1.86
12.00 Shots allowedContext 14.75
4.71 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.75
3.50 BlocksContext 4.50
3.29 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.57
70% Save rateContext 68%
52% PossessionIn forecast 53%
451 PassesContext 466
383 Accurate passesContext 403
85% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.75 Team ratingContext 6.92
13.88 FoulsContext 12.88
11.38 Fouls sufferedContext 9.38
2.38 Yellow cardsContext 2.13
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25
1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.63
1.75 xGVia Att/Def 1.12
1.18 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.42
-0.05 Goals minus xGContext +1.13
80% Scored inContext 88%
40% Clean sheetsContext 25%
12.30 ShotsContext 12.25
4.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.88
34% On target shareContext 40%
7.70 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
59% Box shareContext 55%
14% ConversionContext 18%
1.80 OffsidesContext 1.86
11.50 Shots allowedContext 14.75
4.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.75
3.30 BlocksContext 4.50
3.11 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.57
72% Save rateContext 68%
50% PossessionIn forecast 53%
431 PassesContext 466
364 Accurate passesContext 403
84% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.79 Team ratingContext 6.92
14.20 FoulsContext 12.88
11.60 Fouls sufferedContext 9.38
2.30 Yellow cardsContext 2.13
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.13
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 8 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Istanbul Basaksehir
Rest16 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 33 · 7 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected
  • W18 OctH · Gazişehir Gaziantep2–12.0 xPts
  • D11 OctA · Konyaspor0–01.4 xPts
  • W19 SepH · Genclerbirligi4–01.8 xPts
  • L13 SepA · Amed0–51.2 xPts
  • L4 SepH · Galatasaray2–31.0 xPts
Çorum FK
Rest15.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel508 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 70 · 12 pts vs 9.6 for an average club · +4.4 vs expected
  • W16 OctH · Rizespor2–11.7 xPts
  • W11 OctA · Gazişehir Gaziantep3–01.3 xPts
  • L19 SepH · Alanyaspor1–21.8 xPts
  • W12 SepA · Samsunspor5–11.1 xPts
  • W6 SepH · Eyüpspor3–01.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Istanbul Basaksehir Çorum FK
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match16Süper Lig 2026-2027, 7 Nov15.2Süper Lig 2026-2027, 8 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km508 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 20 / 0 / 2
Next matchdays after this one5.85.7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Istanbul Basaksehir Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Gazişehir Gaziantep (H) 2–1, 18 Oct
16M. Şengezer(G)
38S. Kharebashvili 27O. Ba 23E. Bayram 33M. Karbownik
18J. Kałuziński 8O. Kemen
77I. Brnić 14E. Shomurodov 70A. Skov Olsen
17U. Bozok
Çorum FK Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-3 · vs Rizespor (H) 2–1, 16 Oct
1Marcos Felipe(G)
6H. Smolčić 2Ç. Söyüncü 5Alexandre Penetra
24A. Borza 10M. Diomande 3B. Özdemir 11G. Sazdağı
89A. Kyziridis 19J. Ramírez 7C. Ünder

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Istanbul Basaksehir Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Çorum FK Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Istanbul Basaksehir · Home 2.00points per game · 5 home games
W-D-L
3-1-1
Scored
2.20
Conceded
1.00
Çorum FK · Away 1.75points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
2-1-1
Scored
3.00
Conceded
2.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentIstanbul BasaksehirÇorum FK
Gazişehir Gaziantep W 2–1 H W 3–0 A
Galatasaray L 2–3 H D 2–2 A
Kasimpasa D 1–1 H L 0–1 H
Points4 of 9 · 1.33 per game4 of 9 · 1.33 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Istanbul BasaksehirÇorum FKForecast
Scored per game 1.502.25
Conceded per game 1.501.63
Match goals 3.003.88
Over 1.5 88%88%
Over 2.5 63%88%
Over 3.5 38%38%
Both teams scored 50%63%
Clean sheets 38%25%
Failed to score 25%13%
Games88
Istanbul BasaksehirÇorum FKForecast
Scored per game 1.702.25
Conceded per game 1.301.63
Match goals 3.003.88
Over 1.5 90%88%
Over 2.5 70%88%
Over 3.5 30%38%
Both teams scored 50%63%
Clean sheets 40%25%
Failed to score 20%13%
Games108

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Istanbul BasaksehirÇorum FKLeague
Corners
Corners won4.253.86
Corners conceded3.886.00
Match total8.139.869.12
Over 8.550% 4/871% 5/7
Over 9.525% 2/857% 4/7
Over 10.513% 1/843% 3/7
Cards
Cards2.502.25
Opponent cards1.881.38
Match total4.383.634.04
Over 3.563% 5/850% 4/8
Over 4.538% 3/813% 1/8
Istanbul BasaksehirÇorum FKLeague
Corners
Corners won3.903.86
Corners conceded4.206.00
Match total8.109.869.12
Over 8.550% 5/1071% 5/7
Over 9.520% 2/1057% 4/7
Over 10.510% 1/1043% 3/7
Cards
Cards2.402.25
Opponent cards1.901.38
Match total4.303.634.04
Over 3.570% 7/1050% 4/8
Over 4.530% 3/1013% 1/8

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Istanbul Basaksehir8 games · scored 12 · conceded 12
3 1 0-15
2 1 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 3 46-60
3 3 61-75
2 3 76-90
Çorum FK8 games · scored 18 · conceded 13
4 3 0-15
1 16-30
2 2 31-45
3 2 46-60
3 3 61-75
5 3 76-90
Istanbul Basaksehir10 games · scored 17 · conceded 13
5 1 0-15
3 1 16-30
2 1 31-45
1 4 46-60
3 3 61-75
3 3 76-90
Çorum FK8 games · scored 18 · conceded 13
4 3 0-15
1 16-30
2 2 31-45
3 2 46-60
3 3 61-75
5 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Süper Lig

View all fixtures →
Genclerbirligi Gazişehir Gaziantep Nov 2110:30 Galatasaray Samsunspor Nov 2113:00 Amed Rizespor Nov 2113:00 Kocaelispor Fenerbahce Nov 2116:00 Erzurumspor FK Goztepe Nov 2210:30 Konyaspor Besiktas Nov 2213:00 Kasimpasa Alanyaspor Nov 2213:00 Trabzonspor Eyüpspor Nov 2216:00 Istanbul Basaksehir Çorum FK Nov 2317:00