1.FC Köln

12th · Bundesliga · 7 points · Matches played: 6

7 points behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+1.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 33.9+1.5
World Rank 175th Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 18th L90 Strength
Last Eintracht FrankfurtA xG 0.7–1.3 0–1 Next FC Schalke 04H 41%

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Our take

Up against it.

1.FC Köln are short of quality at both ends, with one of the weaker attack in the league and one of the weaker defence in the league. Across the 6 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. E. Skhiri and T. Dallinga are out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the visit of Bayer Leverkusen.

Bundesliga · 6 games. Their underlying numbers look better than their results. They are scoring fewer goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

Home is where they earn their points: 2.3 per game there against 0.0 away.

  • Relegation 31%Likely 15th · 34 projected points
  • Next 3: about 3 of 9 points Toughest vs Bayer Leverkusen · , 15% to win
  • 2 key players outE. Skhiri, T. Dallinga · 14% of squad weight missing · Last match: 16 Oct
  • 7 pts vs 7.5 expected-0.5 vs pre-match expectations · 6 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for 1.FC Köln. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions6 Played
Bundesliga7 pts1.17 PPG6 games 12th
33.3%Win %
Wins2
Draws1
Losses3

Expected metrics · 6 of 6 matches covered

Goals For
81.33 / game
xG 10.00 2.00 fewer goals than expected. vs 8 goals
Goals Against
111.83 / game
xGA 10.35 0.65 more conceded than expected. vs 11 conceded
Goal Difference
-3-0.50 / game
xGD -0.35 Goal difference is 2.65 lower than expected. vs -3 GD
Clean Sheets
00% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Bundesliga →

Squad 29 players · this season, all competitions · 4 out

Absences reported for the last match: 16 Oct 2026

Top scorer
S. El Mala2 goals
Most assists
L. Maina2 assists
Best rated
M. Schwäbe7.26 avg rating
Most minutes
M. Schwäbe540 min
Key to the model
M. SchwäbeStarter · weight 2.00
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
M. Schwäbe 31 6 (6) 540 0 0 7.26 starter
Martin James — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
M. Köbbing 29 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
R. Zieler 37 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
J. Simpson-Pusey 20 6 (6) 540 0 0 6.89 starter
L. Lochoshvili 28 6 (6) 528 0 0 6.56 starter
G. Mensah 28 4 (4) 334 0 0 6.35 starter
B. Sosa 28 3 (2) 206 0 0 7.21 starter
S. Sebulonsen 26 3 (2) 199 0 0 6.52 starter
Joel Schmied 28 3 (1) 80 0 0 6.72 rotation
Julian Pauli 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
R. van den Berg injured 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
Midfielders
T. Krauß 25 6 (5) 486 0 0 6.49 starter
L. Maina 27 6 (5) 404 1 2 7.05 rotation
Í. Jóhannesson 23 6 (4) 386 1 0 6.62 rotation
A. Castro-Montes injured 29 5 (4) 334 0 0 6.46 rotation
E. Skhiri 31 5 (3) 294 0 2 7.03 starter
J. Thielmann 24 3 (2) 148 0 0 6.58 rotation
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler 21 4 (2) 133 0 0 6.57 rotation
G. Neves — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
S. El Mala 20 5 (4) 333 2 0 6.97 starter
M. Moore 19 5 (3) 315 0 0 6.59 starter
M. Bülter 33 6 (3) 294 0 0 6.70 rotation
R. Ache injured 28 4 (2) 193 1 0 6.85 rotation
T. Dallinga injured 26 3 (2) 152 2 0 7.03 rotation
R. Heskey 18 2 (0) 21 0 0 6.30 depth
G. Waldschmidt 30 3 (0) 15 0 0 6.26 rotation
I. Rondić 27 2 (0) 5 0 0 6.48 depth
Cenny Neumann — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with FC Schalke 04: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Bundesliga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength18th of 18
34 Elo 1546 · World #175
Current Strength
34 With absences before 24 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack15th of 18
36 Scores 1.35 per match against an average top-five side
Defence15th of 18
36 Concedes 1.77 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Bayern München: attack 96, defence 90, L90 Strength 94 Borussia Dortmund: attack 69, defence 80, L90 Strength 81 SC Freiburg: attack 63, defence 73, L90 Strength 64 Bayer Leverkusen: attack 87, defence 79, L90 Strength 79 FSV Mainz 05: attack 68, defence 56, L90 Strength 55 SV Elversberg: attack 44, defence 37, L90 Strength 42 RB Leipzig: attack 76, defence 53, L90 Strength 68 Werder Bremen: attack 56, defence 45, L90 Strength 43 Hamburger SV: attack 37, defence 43, L90 Strength 40 FC Augsburg: attack 72, defence 23, L90 Strength 50 Eintracht Frankfurt: attack 54, defence 37, L90 Strength 48 1.FC Köln: attack 36, defence 36, L90 Strength 34 VfB Stuttgart: attack 70, defence 58, L90 Strength 68 1899 Hoffenheim: attack 46, defence 43, L90 Strength 49 FC Schalke 04: attack 33, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 SC Paderborn 07: attack 34, defence 33, L90 Strength 38 Union Berlin: attack 42, defence 41, L90 Strength 39 Borussia Mönchengladbach: attack 34, defence 21, L90 Strength 36
Every Bundesliga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 6 listed

26
Form index · 16th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
4
Median top-5 club
7.0
Own forecasts
6.3 -2.2
Table12th L90 Strength18th Form16th

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L16 OctA · Eintracht Frankfurt0–11.0 xPts
  • W11 OctH · Borussia Mönchengladbach2–11.7 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Hamburger SV1–21.2 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Werder Bremen1–11.6 xPts
  • L4 SepA · VfB Stuttgart1–40.7 xPts
  • W29 AugH · 1899 Hoffenheim3–21.2 xPts

Trends last 6, all competitions

Scored 5/6
Clean sheet 0/6
Conceded 2+ 3/6
Over 2.5 4/6
Both teams scored 5/6

Playing style vs Bundesliga average

KOLLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.33 1.84 12th
Goals conceded 1.83 1.84 9th
xG 1.67 1.75 11th
xG allowed 1.73 1.75 8th
Scored in 83% 76% 6th
Clean sheets 0% 24% 15th
KOLLeagueRank
Shots 16.33 15.55 7th
Shots on target 5.33 5.77 11th
On target share 33% 35% 14th
Box share 71% 68% 8th
Conversion 8% 12% 14th
KOLLeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.67 15.55 9th
On target allowed 6.33 5.71 12th
Blocks 3.83 4.49 13th
Save rate 71% 66% 6th
KOLLeagueRank
Possession 48% 50% 10th
Passes 417 455 12th
Pass accuracy 83% 81% 8th
KOLLeagueRank
Fouls 11.17 11.43 9th
Fouls suffered 11.33 11.44 8th
Yellow cards 1.83 1.71 10th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 6 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
KOLLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.30 1.84 15th
Goals conceded 2.30 1.74 14th
xG 1.61 1.71 8th
xG allowed 1.70 1.62 12th
Scored in 90% 80% 2nd
Clean sheets 0% 24% 17th
KOLLeagueRank
Shots 15.30 14.87 7th
Shots on target 5.30 5.55 10th
On target share 35% 36% 14th
Box share 73% 67% 3rd
Conversion 9% 12% 15th
KOLLeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.50 14.13 9th
On target allowed 5.50 5.23 11th
Blocks 3.80 4.08 10th
Save rate 60% 66% 13th
KOLLeagueRank
Possession 47% 51% 13th
Passes 414 455 13th
Pass accuracy 83% 82% 8th
KOLLeagueRank
Fouls 9.80 10.89 5th
Fouls suffered 9.30 10.68 15th
Yellow cards 1.80 1.70 11th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home2.33pts per game2-1-0 · 2.0–1.3 goals · 3 games
Away0.00pts per game0-0-3 · 0.7–2.3 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 6 games

1 0-15
1 1 16-30
3 31-45
1 2 46-60
2 3 61-75
3 2 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Bundesliga · 6 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 8 12th / 18
GF/G 1.33 12th / 18
xG/G 1.67 11th / 18
G − xG -0.34 15th / 18

Defence

GA 11 9th / 18
GA/G 1.83 9th / 18
xGA/G 1.73 8th / 18
xGA − GA -0.10 10th / 18

Overall

Pts 7 12th / 18
xPts 7.5 11th / 18
PPG 1.17 12th / 18
TR 6.76 15th / 18
GD -3 11th / 18
xGD -0.4 8th / 18
W 2 9th / 18
L 3 10th / 18

Scorelines

  • 3–2×1
  • 1–4×1
  • 1–1×1
  • 1–2×1
  • 2–1×1
  • 0–1×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
17% 1
17% 2
33% 3
0% 4
33% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
83%81%
Over 2.5
67%74%
Over 3.5
33%56%
Both scored
83%59%
Clean sheet
0%24%
Failed to score
17%24%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.