AC Milan

4th · Serie A · 15 points · Matches played: 7

4 points behind Inter · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+5.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +2.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 66.2+5.0
World Rank 39th Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank 5th L90 Strength
Last AtalantaH xG 2.4–1.6 3–2 Next BournemouthA 21%

Compare clubs

Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Upcoming fixtures

AC Milan · All competitions

Forecast
BournemouthUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 21% win 0.85 xPts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 66% win 2.16 xPts BolognaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 59% win 2.01 xPts InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 29% win 1.10 xPts Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 51% win 1.77 xPts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 49% win 1.74 xPts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ParmaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SunderlandUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ComoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FiorentinaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AS RomaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Levski SofiaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BolognaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ComoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AtalantaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FiorentinaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LecceSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ParmaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AS RomaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

AC Milan · All competitions

Full time
AtalantaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home W 3–2 2.4–1.6 xG +0.9 Δpts Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away W 4–0 4.1–0.9 xG +1.6 Δpts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 1.2–1.3 xG -0.6 Δpts LecceSerie A 2026-2027 · Home W 3–0 1.9–0.2 xG +0.6 Δpts BenficaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home L 0–2 1.0–0.6 xG -1.0 Δpts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 1.1–2.1 xG -0.3 Δpts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 — xG +0.0 Δpts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home W 2–0 2.2–0.8 xG +0.6 Δpts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 2.2–1.3 xG +1.5 Δpts

Score and actual xG show AC Milan first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Moderate · 27

Rest profile4.1 days since last match
0%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel load1,007 km to venue, 1,057 km in 14 days
40%
Squad availability3 out, 1 key: A. Saelemaekers · Last match: 18 Oct
8%

Load before the next match, at Bournemouth, 22 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 23 Aug at Torino: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100
W
 Aug 28 Aug vs Venezia: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 11/100
W
 6 Sep at Juventus: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100
D
 Sep 12 Sep at Lazio: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 46/100
D
 16 Sep vs Benfica: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 68/100
L
 20 Sep vs Lecce: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 20/100
W
 11 Oct at Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100
D
 Oct 15 Oct at Red Bull Salzburg: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 27/100
W
 18 Oct vs Atalanta: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 44/100
W
 22 Oct at Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 61/100 25 Oct at Udinese: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 23/100 28 Oct vs Bologna: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 34/100 31 Oct vs Inter: Schedule difficulty 59/100; match difficulty 70/100 5 Nov vs Ferencvarosi TC: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 41/100 Nov 8 Nov at Genoa: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 21/100 22 Nov vs Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 21/100 26 Nov at Olympiakos Piraeus: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 47/100 29 Nov at Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 23/100 6 Dec vs Parma: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 20/100 Dec 10 Dec vs Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 13 Dec at Napoli: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 47/100 20 Dec vs Como: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 51/100 3 Jan at Monza: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100 Jan 6 Jan vs Fiorentina: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 27/100 10 Jan at AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 58/100 17 Jan vs Torino: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 28/100 21 Jan at Levski Sofia: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 19/100 24 Jan at Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 21/100 28 Jan vs Ararat-Armenia: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 5/100 31 Jan vs Juventus: Schedule difficulty 52/100; match difficulty 50/100 7 Feb at Bologna: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 34/100 Feb 14 Feb at Inter: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 70/100 21 Feb vs Genoa: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 21/100 28 Feb at Como: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 51/100 7 Mar vs Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 Mar 14 Mar vs Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 21 Mar at Atalanta: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 4 Apr vs Monza: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100 Apr 11 Apr at Fiorentina: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 18 Apr vs Napoli: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 25 Apr at Lecce: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 20/100 2 May vs Lazio: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 46/100 May 9 May at Parma: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 20/100 16 May vs AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100 23 May at Venezia: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 11/100 30 May vs Udinese: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest4.1 daysbefore BOU
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d1,057 kmaway trips
Schedule load27%Moderate
at BournemouthThu 22 Oct, 20:00 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 77 21%win21%draw57%loss Moderate load · 4.1 d rest · 3 in 14 d at UdineseSun 25 Oct, 19:45 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 32 66%win20%draw15%loss Moderate load · 3 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs BolognaWed 28 Oct, 17:30 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 47 59%win23%draw18%loss High load · 2.9 d rest · 4 in 14 d vs InterSat 31 Oct, 19:45 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 84 29%win23%draw48%loss High load · 3.1 d rest · 4 in 14 d vs Ferencvarosi TCThu 5 Nov, 17:45 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 57 51%win23%draw26%loss High load · 4.9 d rest · 4 in 14 d at GenoaSun 8 Nov, 14:00 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 29 49%win26%draw25%loss High load · 2.8 d rest · 4 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Bournemouth, 22 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−1%

Baseline 5.59 → Forecast 5.53 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+10%

Baseline 3.81 → Forecast 4.18 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Bournemouth22 Oct · UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase −32% +52% 1.89 → 1.28
at Udinese25 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 +35% −21% 1.69 → 2.29
vs Bologna28 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 −2% −9% 2.00 → 1.96

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

AC Milan

Baseline: average Serie A opponent

Attack Downlift −32% Expected goals Baseline1.89Forecast1.28
Conceding Risk +52% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.44Forecast2.18
Clean Sheet −12.5 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline23.8%Forecast11.3%