Alverca

8th · Primeira Liga · 11 points · Matches played: 8

13 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+8.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +5.5 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 30.4+8.8
World Rank 213th Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 10th L90 Strength
Last FamalicaoA xG 2.9–0.4 4–1 Next AroucaH 48%

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Upcoming fixtures

Alverca · All competitions

Forecast
AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home 48% win 1.69 xPts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 9% win 0.41 xPts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home 58% win 1.99 xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Alverca · All competitions

Full time
FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 4–1 2.9–0.4 xG +2.1 Δpts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 — xG +1.2 Δpts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 3–1 — xG +1.7 Δpts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 — xG -1.0 Δpts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 0.4–1.4 xG -0.5 Δpts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–3 0.4–2.1 xG -0.4 Δpts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 1.9–1.4 xG -0.8 Δpts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–2 1.6–2.6 xG -0.5 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Alverca first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile11.8 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 565 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availabilityFull squad available
0%

Load before the next match, vs Arouca, 24 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 9 Aug at FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 87/100
L
 Aug 15 Aug vs Estrela: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100
D
 22 Aug at Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 89/100
L
 29 Aug vs Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100
D
 5 Sep vs SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 72/100
L
 Sep 12 Sep at Nacional: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 34/100
W
 19 Sep vs Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 39/100
W
 12 Oct at Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100
W
 Oct 24 Oct vs Arouca: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 2 Nov at Benfica: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 88/100 Nov 7 Nov vs Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100 28 Nov at Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 51/100 6 Dec vs Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 45/100 Dec 13 Dec at Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 20 Dec vs GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 27 Dec at Estoril: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100 10 Jan vs Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 32/100 Jan 17 Jan vs FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 87/100 24 Jan at Estrela: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 31 Jan vs Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 89/100 7 Feb at Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 53/100 Feb 14 Feb at SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 72/100 21 Feb vs Nacional: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 34/100 28 Feb at Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 39/100 7 Mar vs Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 Mar 14 Mar at Arouca: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 21 Mar vs Benfica: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 88/100 4 Apr at Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100 Apr 11 Apr vs Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 51/100 18 Apr at Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 45/100 25 Apr vs Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 2 May at GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 May 9 May vs Estoril: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100 16 May at Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 32/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest11.8 daysbefore ARO
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d565 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs AroucaSat 24 Oct, 15:30 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 34 48%win26%draw26%loss Low load · 11.8 d rest at BenficaMon 2 Nov, 20:15 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 82 9%win15%draw76%loss Low load · 9.2 d rest vs Casa PiaSat 7 Nov, 18:00 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 18 58%win24%draw18%loss Low load · 4.9 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Arouca, 24 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing−13%

Baseline 2.79 → Forecast 2.42 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing+40%

Baseline 2.70 → Forecast 3.79 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Arouca24 Oct · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 +4% −4% 1.56 → 1.61
at Benfica2 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 −34% +75% 1.23 → 0.81
vs Casa Pia7 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Alverca

Baseline: average Primeira Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +4% Expected goals Baseline1.56Forecast1.61
Conceding Risk −4% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.19Forecast1.14
Clean Sheet +1.6 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline30.4%Forecast32.0%