Atletico Madrid

2nd · La Liga · 22 points · Matches played: 9

5 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+4.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +4.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
81.4+4.2
World Rank 13th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 3rd L90 Strength

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Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Our take

A top side, and in form.

Atletico Madrid build on a top-three defence and back it with a top-three attack. Across the 9 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 8 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. Koke is out, and The toughest of the next 5 matches is the visit of Barcelona.

La Liga · 9 games. Their results look better than their underlying numbers. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding fewer goals than expected; good goalkeeping or poor finishing by opponents may explain the gap.

They dominate the ball, with 60% possession, 3rd in the league, and turn it into 18 shots a game. They allow very few chances (10 shots a game against). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Top 4 99% · Relegation 0%Likely 3rd · 78 projected points
  • Next 5: about 8 of 15 points Toughest vs Barcelona · , 23% to win
  • 1 key player outKoke · 8% of squad weight missing
  • 22 pts vs 14.4 expected+7.6 vs pre-match expectations · 9 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Atletico Madrid. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions11 Played
72.7%Win %
Wins8
Draws1
Losses2

Expected metrics · 11 of 11 matches covered

Goals For
222.00 / game
xG 17.92 4.08 more goals than expected. vs 22 goals
Goals Against
100.91 / game
xGA 11.42 1.42 fewer conceded than expected. vs 10 conceded
Goal Difference
+12+1.09 / game
xGD +6.50 Goal difference is 5.50 higher than expected. vs +12 GD
Clean Sheets
545% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Squad 39 players · this season, all competitions · 2 out

Top scorer
Álex Baena5 goals
Most assists
Álex Baena3 assists
Best rated
C. Romero7.42 avg rating
Most minutes
J. Oblak990 min
Key to the model
C. RomeroCore · weight 2.23

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to VfB Stuttgart: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength La Liga · 20 clubs

L90 Strength3rd of 20
81 Elo 1868 · World #13
Current Strength
81 With absences before 20 Oct: -9 Elo
Attack3rd of 20
82 Scores 2.22 per match against an average top-five side
Defence2nd of 20
87 Concedes 0.98 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Barcelona: attack 97, defence 92, L90 Strength 93 Atletico Madrid: attack 82, defence 87, L90 Strength 81 Real Madrid: attack 89, defence 85, L90 Strength 89 Real Betis: attack 79, defence 59, L90 Strength 72 Real Sociedad: attack 62, defence 48, L90 Strength 58 Sevilla: attack 48, defence 57, L90 Strength 50 Alaves: attack 48, defence 55, L90 Strength 48 Celta Vigo: attack 36, defence 61, L90 Strength 54 Deportivo La Coruna: attack 40, defence 57, L90 Strength 45 Osasuna: attack 50, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 Athletic Club: attack 51, defence 64, L90 Strength 55 Villarreal: attack 76, defence 73, L90 Strength 67 Rayo Vallecano: attack 61, defence 60, L90 Strength 58 Getafe: attack 27, defence 59, L90 Strength 48 Espanyol: attack 36, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Racing Santander: attack 42, defence 22, L90 Strength 41 Levante: attack 55, defence 41, L90 Strength 48 Elche: attack 39, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Valencia: attack 39, defence 52, L90 Strength 51 Malaga: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 41
Every La Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 10 listed

96
Form index · 1st of 20 in league
Points, last 5
15
Median top-5 club
5.8
Own forecasts
8.2 +6.8
Table2nd L90 Strength3rd Form1st

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W17 OctA · Espanyol1–01.9 xPts
  • W13 OctH · Manchester United2–01.7 xPts
  • W10 OctA · Alaves2–11.6 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Real Madrid2–11.1 xPts
  • W16 SepH · Osasuna4–01.9 xPts
  • W13 SepA · Real Sociedad3–01.4 xPts
  • L9 SepA · Liverpool1–20.8 xPts
  • L5 SepA · Athletic Club0–31.4 xPts
  • W29 AugA · Sevilla3–11.4 xPts
  • D23 AugH · Villarreal2–21.7 xPts

Trends last 10, all competitions

Scored 9/10
Clean sheet 4/10
Conceded 2+ 3/10
Over 2.5 8/10
Both teams scored 5/10

Playing style vs La Liga average

MADLeagueRank
Goals scored 2.11 1.54 3rd
Goals conceded 0.89 1.55 2nd
xG 1.72 1.45 4th
xG allowed 0.98 1.46 1st
Scored in 89% 75% 5th
Clean sheets 44% 25% 2nd
MADLeagueRank
Shots 17.56 13.43 2nd
Shots on target 6.44 4.90 3rd
On target share 37% 35% 12th
Box share 60% 59% 10th
Conversion 12% 11% 8th
MADLeagueRank
Shots allowed 9.56 13.36 3rd
On target allowed 3.11 4.92 1st
Blocks 2.89 3.56 18th
Save rate 71% 69% 9th
MADLeagueRank
Possession 60% 50% 3rd
Passes 590 456 2nd
Pass accuracy 88% 84% 4th
MADLeagueRank
Fouls 12.11 12.30 9th
Fouls suffered 11.56 12.30 15th
Yellow cards 2.22 2.17 11th
Red cards 0.11 0.11 7th
This league season, per match · 9 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
MADLeagueRank
Goals scored 2.00 1.56 4th
Goals conceded 1.00 1.55 1st
xG 1.70 1.44 5th
xG allowed 1.13 1.43 3rd
Scored in 90% 76% 3rd
Clean sheets 40% 22% 1st
MADLeagueRank
Shots 16.10 13.43 5th
Shots on target 5.90 4.92 6th
On target share 37% 35% 10th
Box share 58% 60% 12th
Conversion 12% 11% 7th
MADLeagueRank
Shots allowed 10.20 13.15 3rd
On target allowed 3.50 4.91 2nd
Blocks 2.90 3.45 17th
Save rate 71% 68% 7th
MADLeagueRank
Possession 60% 50% 2nd
Passes 588 450 2nd
Pass accuracy 88% 84% 4th
MADLeagueRank
Fouls 11.30 12.32 8th
Fouls suffered 11.70 12.28 13th
Yellow cards 2.10 2.11 11th
Red cards 0.10 0.11 6th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home2.50pts per game3-1-0 · 2.5–0.8 goals · 4 games
Away2.40pts per game4-0-1 · 1.8–1.0 goals · 5 games

Goal timing this league season · 9 games

1 0-15
2 16-30
2 1 31-45
4 2 46-60
2 2 61-75
8 3 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings La Liga · 9 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 19 3rd / 20
GF/G 2.11 3rd / 20
xG/G 1.72 4th / 20
G − xG +0.39 4th / 20

Defence

GA 8 3rd / 20
GA/G 0.89 3rd / 20
xGA/G 0.98 1st / 20
xGA − GA +0.09 6th / 20

Overall

Pts 22 2nd / 20
xPts 14.4 3rd / 20
PPG 2.44 2nd / 20
TR 7.05 3rd / 20
GD +11 3rd / 20
xGD +6.7 4th / 20
W 7 2nd / 20
L 1 2nd / 20

Scorelines

  • 2–1×2
  • 2–0×1
  • 2–2×1
  • 3–1×1
  • 0–3×1
  • 3–0×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
11% 1
11% 2
44% 3
33% 4
0% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
89%76%
Over 2.5
78%56%
Over 3.5
33%39%
Both scored
44%59%
Clean sheet
44%25%
Failed to score
11%25%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.