Atletico Madrid

2nd · La Liga · 22 points · Matches played: 9

5 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+4.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +4.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 81.4+4.2
World Rank 13th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 3rd L90 Strength
Last EspanyolA xG 1.4–0.6 1–0 Next VfB StuttgartA 49%

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Upcoming fixtures

Atletico Madrid · All competitions

Forecast
VfB StuttgartUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 49% win 1.70 xPts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 71% win 2.31 xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away 59% win 1.98 xPts Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 29% win 1.08 xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 23% win 0.90 xPts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts VikingUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FenerbahceUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Atletico Madrid · All competitions

Full time
EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 1–0 1.4–0.6 xG +1.1 Δpts Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 2–0 1.5–1.0 xG +1.3 Δpts AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 2.1–1.1 xG +1.4 Δpts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 2.4–0.3 xG +1.9 Δpts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 4–0 4.0–0.5 xG +1.1 Δpts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 3–0 2.1–0.3 xG +1.6 Δpts LiverpoolUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away L 1–2 0.9–1.6 xG -0.8 Δpts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–3 1.0–1.4 xG -1.4 Δpts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 3–1 0.9–0.9 xG +1.6 Δpts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 0.8–3.6 xG -0.7 Δpts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–0 0.9–0.2 xG +1.0 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Atletico Madrid first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load High · 40

Rest profile3.3 days since last match
53%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel load1,377 km to venue, 1,562 km in 14 days
57%
Squad availability2 out, 1 key: Koke
8%

Load before the next match, at VfB Stuttgart, 20 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 19 Aug vs Malaga: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 17/100
W
 Aug 23 Aug vs Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100
D
 29 Aug at Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 22/100
W
 5 Sep at Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 25/100
L
 Sep 9 Sep at Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 54/100
L
 13 Sep at Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 27/100
W
 16 Sep vs Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 20/100
W
 20 Sep vs Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 63/100
W
 10 Oct at Alaves: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 21/100
W
 Oct 13 Oct vs Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 47/100
W
 17 Oct at Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 18/100
W
 20 Oct at VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 35/100 24 Oct vs Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 19/100 31 Oct at Levante: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 21/100 3 Nov vs Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 75/100 Nov 8 Nov vs Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 22 Nov at Getafe: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 21/100 25 Nov vs Viking: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 6/100 29 Nov at Elche: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 18/100 6 Dec vs Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 39/100 Dec 9 Dec at PSV Eindhoven: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 40/100 13 Dec vs Valencia: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 22/100 20 Dec at Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 24/100 3 Jan at Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 Jan 10 Jan vs Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 17/100 17 Jan vs Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 19 Jan at Bodo/Glimt: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 29/100 24 Jan at Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 19/100 27 Jan vs Fenerbahce: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 31/100 31 Jan vs Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 18/100 7 Feb at Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 73/100 Feb 14 Feb at Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 20/100 21 Feb vs Elche: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 18/100 28 Feb at Malaga: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 17/100 7 Mar vs Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 24/100 Mar 14 Mar at Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 17/100 21 Mar vs Getafe: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 21/100 4 Apr at Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100 Apr 11 Apr vs Levante: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 21/100 18 Apr vs Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 22/100 21 Apr at Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 34/100 2 May vs Alaves: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 21/100 May 9 May at Valencia: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 22/100 16 May vs Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 23 May vs Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 25/100 30 May at Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 39/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest3.3 daysbefore STU
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d1,562 kmaway trips
Schedule load40%High
at VfB StuttgartTue 20 Oct, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 68 49%win23%draw28%loss High load · 3.3 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs Deportivo La CorunaSat 24 Oct, 20:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 45 71%win18%draw11%loss Moderate load · 4 d rest · 3 in 14 d at LevanteSat 31 Oct, 13:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 48 59%win22%draw19%loss Low load · 6.8 d rest vs Bayern MünchenTue 3 Nov, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 94 29%win22%draw49%loss Low load · 3.3 d rest vs BarcelonaSun 8 Nov, 20:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 93 23%win22%draw55%loss Low load · 5 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at VfB Stuttgart, 20 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+8%

Baseline 5.82 → Forecast 6.27 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing0%

Baseline 3.31 → Forecast 3.31 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at VfB Stuttgart20 Oct · UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase +5% +17% 1.86 → 1.95
vs Deportivo La Coruna24 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 +3% −15% 2.21 → 2.28
at Levante31 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 +16% −6% 1.75 → 2.04

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Atletico Madrid

Baseline: average La Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +5% Expected goals Baseline1.86Forecast1.95
Conceding Risk +17% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.24Forecast1.45
Clean Sheet −5.5 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline29.0%Forecast23.5%