Benfica

2nd · Primeira Liga · 19 points · Matches played: 8

5 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.0 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
82.2+0.2
World Rank 12th Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 2nd L90 Strength

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Our take

A top side, and in form.

Benfica have the best attack and the best defence in Primeira Liga. Across the 8 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Santa Clara.

They dominate the ball, with 63% possession, 1st in the league, and turn it into 20 shots a game. They are clinical in front of goal (15% of shots scored), and allow very few chances (8 shots a game against). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Title 30% · Top 4 >99%Likely 2nd · 78 projected points
  • Next 5: about 12 of 15 points Toughest at Santa Clara · , 60% to win
  • 3 out, none key4% of squad weight missing · Last match: 15 Oct
  • 19 pts vs 18.5 expected+0.5 vs pre-match expectations · 8 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Benfica. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions10 Played
80.0%Win %
Wins8
Draws1
Losses1

Expected metrics · 6 of 10 matches covered

Goals For
303.00 / game
xG 14.38 4.62 more goals than expected. vs 19 goals
Goals Against
80.80 / game
xGA 4.30 0.30 fewer conceded than expected. vs 4 conceded
Goal Difference
+22+2.20 / game
xGD +10.08 Goal difference is 4.92 higher than expected. vs +15 GD
Clean Sheets
550% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Squad 40 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out

Absences reported for the last match: 15 Oct 2026

Top scorer
V. Pavlidis15 goals (5 pen)
Most assists
G. Prestianni5 assists
Best rated
G. Prestianni8.03 avg rating
Most minutes
S. Dahl1,219 min
Key to the model
C. LengletCore · weight 2.37

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Omonia Nicosia: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Primeira Liga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength2nd of 18
82 Elo 1875 · World #12
Current Strength
82 With absences before 22 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack1st of 18
81 Scores 2.19 per match against an average top-five side
Defence1st of 18
81 Concedes 1.08 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → FC Porto: attack 74, defence 79, L90 Strength 80 Benfica: attack 81, defence 81, L90 Strength 82 Sporting CP: attack 75, defence 81, L90 Strength 84 Santa Clara: attack 29, defence 53, L90 Strength 34 Arouca: attack 28, defence 37, L90 Strength 34 GIL Vicente: attack 32, defence 50, L90 Strength 34 Academico Viseu: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 32 Alverca: attack 38, defence 42, L90 Strength 30 SC Braga: attack 41, defence 59, L90 Strength 56 Estrela: attack 24, defence 27, L90 Strength 20 Maritimo: attack 15, defence 20, L90 Strength 16 Moreirense: attack 17, defence 27, L90 Strength 25 Famalicao: attack 24, defence 36, L90 Strength 38 Rio Ave: attack 18, defence 21, L90 Strength 21 Guimaraes: attack 28, defence 39, L90 Strength 27 Nacional: attack 15, defence 13, L90 Strength 17 Casa Pia: attack 13, defence 25, L90 Strength 18 Estoril: attack 21, defence 29, L90 Strength 22
Every Primeira Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 10 listed

85
Form index · 1st of 18 in league
Points, last 5
12
Median top-5 club
7.1
Own forecasts
10.3 +1.7
Table2nd L90 Strength2nd Form1st

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W15 OctH · Celtic4–12.3 xPts
  • W11 OctH · Guimaraes2–02.5 xPts
  • L20 SepA · FC Porto1–31.3 xPts
  • W16 SepA · AC Milan2–01.7 xPts
  • W13 SepH · GIL Vicente3–12.5 xPts
  • W9 SepA · Moreirense4–02.3 xPts
  • W5 SepA · Maritimo3–02.4 xPts
  • W31 AugH · Estoril2–12.7 xPts
  • W17 AugA · Casa Pia7–02.3 xPts
  • D9 AugH · Academico Viseu2–22.5 xPts

Trends last 10, all competitions

Scored 10/10
Clean sheet 5/10
Conceded 2+ 2/10
Over 2.5 8/10
Both teams scored 5/10

Playing style vs Primeira Liga average

BENLeagueRank
Goals scored 3.00 1.37 1st
Goals conceded 0.88 1.37 4th
xG 2.79 1.26 1st
xG allowed 0.52 1.23 2nd
Scored in 100% 73% 1st
Clean sheets 50% 28% 3rd
BENLeagueRank
Shots 19.50 12.17 1st
Shots on target 6.88 4.15 1st
On target share 35% 33% 6th
Box share 75% 61% 1st
Conversion 15% 11% 2nd
BENLeagueRank
Shots allowed 7.63 12.12 1st
On target allowed 2.83 4.11 5th
Blocks 2.80 3.19 11th
Save rate 59% 67% 15th
BENLeagueRank
Possession 63% 50% 1st
Passes 561 426 1st
Pass accuracy 88% 83% 2nd
BENLeagueRank
Fouls 12.13 12.61 8th
Fouls suffered 16.50 12.59 1st
Yellow cards 1.88 2.13 6th
Red cards 0.00 0.05 1st
This league season, per match · 8 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
BENLeagueRank
Goals scored 2.70 1.31 1st
Goals conceded 0.80 1.35 2nd
xG 2.03 1.15 1st
xG allowed 0.77 1.30 2nd
Scored in 100% 71% 1st
Clean sheets 40% 28% 3rd
BENLeagueRank
Shots 18.13 11.88 1st
Shots on target 5.88 3.99 2nd
On target share 32% 33% 10th
Box share 71% 60% 2nd
Conversion 15% 11% 4th
BENLeagueRank
Shots allowed 9.88 12.49 3rd
On target allowed 3.43 4.13 4th
Blocks 2.56 3.33 15th
Save rate 75% 69% 5th
BENLeagueRank
Possession 60% 50% 1st
Passes 538 417 1st
Pass accuracy 88% 83% 1st
BENLeagueRank
Fouls 11.00 12.49 3rd
Fouls suffered 15.70 12.54 1st
Yellow cards 2.30 2.18 10th
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home2.50pts per game3-1-0 · 2.2–1.0 goals · 4 games
Away2.25pts per game3-0-1 · 3.8–0.8 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 8 games

4 1 0-15
2 16-30
2 1 31-45
9 3 46-60
4 1 61-75
3 1 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Primeira Liga · 8 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 24 1st / 18
GF/G 3.00 1st / 18
xG/G 2.79 1st / 18
G − xG +0.21 9th / 18

Defence

GA 7 4th / 18
GA/G 0.88 4th / 18
xGA/G 0.52 2nd / 18
xGA − GA -0.35 14th / 18

Overall

Pts 19 2nd / 18
xPts 18.5 1st / 18
PPG 2.38 2nd / 18
TR 7.15 1st / 18
GD +17 1st / 18
xGD +18.2 1st / 18
W 6 2nd / 18
L 1 4th / 18

Scorelines

  • 2–2×1
  • 7–0×1
  • 2–1×1
  • 3–0×1
  • 4–0×1
  • 3–1×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
0% 1
13% 2
25% 3
50% 4
13% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
100%75%
Over 2.5
88%56%
Over 3.5
63%36%
Both scored
50%51%
Clean sheet
50%27%
Failed to score
0%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.