Benfica

2nd · Primeira Liga · 19 points · Matches played: 8

5 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.0 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
82.2+0.2
World Rank 12th Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 2nd L90 Strength

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Upcoming fixtures

Benfica · All competitions

Forecast
Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 64% win 2.12 xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 60% win 2.02 xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home 76% win 2.44 xPts Lech PoznanUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 84% win 2.62 xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 72% win 2.34 xPts PlzenUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts OFIUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Benfica · All competitions

Full time
CelticUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 4–1 2.6–1.3 xG +0.6 Δpts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–0 2.8–0.5 xG +0.5 Δpts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–3 — xG -1.3 Δpts AC MilanUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away W 2–0 0.6–1.0 xG +1.2 Δpts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 3–1 — xG +0.5 Δpts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 4–0 — xG +0.6 Δpts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 3–0 — xG +0.5 Δpts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 2.0–0.4 xG +0.3 Δpts AarhusUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs · Away W 3–1 — xG — Δpts AarhusUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs · Home W 3–1 — xG — Δpts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 7–0 2.8–0.2 xG +0.7 Δpts Heart Of MidlothianUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 — xG — Δpts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 3.4–1.1 xG -1.6 Δpts Heart Of MidlothianUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 · Home W 6–1 — xG — Δpts FC ST. GallenUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 · Home W 5–0 — xG — Δpts FC ST. GallenUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 — xG — Δpts

Score and actual xG show Benfica first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Moderate · 20

Rest profile7 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load3,764 km to venue, 0 km in 14 days
67%
Squad availability3 out, no key players · Last match: 15 Oct
4%

Load before the next match, at Omonia Nicosia, 22 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 23 Jul at FC ST. Gallen: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 9/100
L
Jul 30 Jul vs FC ST. Gallen: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 9/100
W
6 Aug vs Heart Of Midlothian: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100
W
Aug 9 Aug vs Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 12/100
D
13 Aug at Heart Of Midlothian: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 13/100
D
17 Aug at Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 7/100
W
20 Aug vs Aarhus: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 15/100
W
27 Aug at Aarhus: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 15/100
W
31 Aug vs Estoril: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 8/100
W
5 Sep at Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 6/100
W
Sep 9 Sep at Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 10/100
W
13 Sep vs GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 13/100
W
16 Sep at AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 32/100
W
20 Sep at FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 47/100
L
11 Oct vs Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 5/100; match difficulty 10/100
W
Oct 15 Oct vs Celtic: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 22/100
W
22 Oct at Omonia Nicosia: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 13/100 26 Oct at Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 13/100 2 Nov vs Alverca: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 12/100 Nov 5 Nov vs Lech Poznan: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 13/100 8 Nov at Estrela: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 7/100 26 Nov at Plzen: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 21/100 30 Nov vs Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 15/100 6 Dec at Nacional: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 6/100 Dec 10 Dec vs OFI: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 8/100 13 Dec vs SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 25/100 20 Dec at Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 8/100 27 Dec vs Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100 10 Jan at Arouca: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100 Jan 17 Jan at Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 12/100 21 Jan at NEC Nijmegen: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 12/100 24 Jan vs Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 7/100 28 Jan vs AZ Alkmaar: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 20/100 31 Jan vs Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 10/100 7 Feb at Estoril: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 8/100 Feb 14 Feb vs Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 3/100; match difficulty 6/100 21 Feb at GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 13/100 28 Feb vs FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 7 Mar at Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 10/100 Mar 14 Mar vs Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100 21 Mar at Alverca: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 12/100 4 Apr vs Estrela: Schedule difficulty 4/100; match difficulty 7/100 Apr 11 Apr at Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 15/100 18 Apr vs Nacional: Schedule difficulty 3/100; match difficulty 6/100 25 Apr at SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 25/100 2 May vs Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 4/100; match difficulty 8/100 May 9 May at Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100 16 May vs Arouca: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest7 daysbefore OMO
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load20%Moderate
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Omonia Nicosia, 22 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−3%

Baseline 7.09 → Forecast 6.87 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing−1%

Baseline 2.87 → Forecast 2.84 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Omonia Nicosia22 Oct · UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase −1% 0% 2.28 → 2.27
at Santa Clara26 Oct · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 −9% −4% 2.13 → 1.94
vs Alverca2 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 −1% +1% 2.68 → 2.65

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Benfica

Baseline: average Primeira Liga opponent

Attack Downlift −1% Expected goals Baseline2.28Forecast2.27
Conceding Risk 0% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.07Forecast1.07
Clean Sheet 0.0 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline34.2%Forecast34.2%