Brentford

6th · Premier League · 10 points · Matches played: 7

11 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-1.4 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +0.5 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 75.4-1.4
World Rank 23rd Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 9th L90 Strength
Last LiverpoolH xG 0.9–1.5 1–2 Next Hull CityA 51%

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Our take

A solid mid-table side.

Brentford are a mid-table side at both ends, without a clear strength to lean on. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. K. Schade and N. Collins are out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Brighton.

Premier League · 7 games. Their scorelines look better than their chance balance. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding fewer goals than expected; good goalkeeping or poor finishing by opponents may explain the gap.

They play a physical game, among the most fouls in the league. Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Top 4 7% · Relegation 1%Likely 8th · 55 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest at Brighton · , 21% to win
  • 3 key players outK. Schade, N. Collins · 18% of squad weight missing · Last match: 17 Oct
  • 10 pts vs 10.2 expected-0.2 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Brentford. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions7 Played
Premier League10 pts1.43 PPG7 games 6th
28.6%Win %
Wins2
Draws4
Losses1

Expected metrics · 7 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
131.86 / game
xG 12.11 0.89 more goals than expected. vs 13 goals
Goals Against
81.14 / game
xGA 9.70 1.70 fewer conceded than expected. vs 8 conceded
Goal Difference
+5+0.71 / game
xGD +2.41 Goal difference is 2.59 higher than expected. vs +5 GD
Clean Sheets
229% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Premier League →

Squad 31 players · this season, all competitions · 6 out

Absences reported for the last match: 17 Oct 2026

Top scorer
K. Schade3 goals
Injured
Most assists
Thiago1 assists
Best rated
J. Schuster7.19 avg rating
Injured
Most minutes
C. Kelleher630 min
Key to the model
ThiagoStarter · weight 1.91
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
C. Kelleher 27 7 (7) 630 0 0 7.03 starter
E. Balcombe 27 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
A. Stokes 18 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
H. Valdimarsson 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
Defenders
K. Ajer 28 7 (7) 630 1 0 6.89 starter
M. Kayode 22 7 (6) 478 1 0 6.95 starter
J. Schuster injured 20 4 (3) 298 0 1 7.19 starter
A. Hickey 24 7 (1) 216 0 0 6.71 rotation
N. Collins injured 25 3 (3) 197 0 0 6.60 starter
E. Diouf 21 4 (1) 142 0 0 6.48 rotation
S. van den Berg 24 1 (1) 71 0 0 6.27 starter
R. Henry 29 1 (0) 2 0 0 — rotation
J. Meghoma 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
V. Janelt 28 7 (7) 630 2 0 6.95 rotation
K. Schade injured 24 7 (6) 545 3 0 7.15 starter
M. Sangaré 24 7 (4) 406 0 1 6.72 starter
Y. Yarmoliuk 22 7 (4) 374 1 1 6.55 starter
M. Damsgaard injured 26 6 (3) 299 0 0 7.02 starter
M. Jensen 30 3 (2) 135 0 0 6.70 starter
Fábio Carvalho 24 1 (0) 3 1 0 7.20 depth
Luka Bentt — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
P. Dasilva injured 27 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
R. Owen 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
Thiago 25 7 (7) 623 1 1 6.39 starter
K. Lewis-Potter 25 7 (7) 553 2 1 6.75 starter
J. Anthony 26 7 (5) 431 1 1 6.81 starter
D. Ouattara 24 7 (3) 249 0 0 6.60 starter
C. Wilson 34 4 (0) 18 0 0 6.58 depth
Gustavo Nunes 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
K. Furo injured 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Ollie Shield — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Hull City: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Premier League · 20 clubs

L90 Strength9th of 20
75 Elo 1814 · World #23
Current Strength
75 With absences before 25 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack8th of 20
73 Scores 1.96 per match against an average top-five side
Defence12th of 20
73 Concedes 1.22 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Manchester City: attack 92, defence 82, L90 Strength 91 Arsenal: attack 86, defence 95, L90 Strength 94 Brighton: attack 87, defence 85, L90 Strength 83 Chelsea: attack 77, defence 74, L90 Strength 77 Liverpool: attack 85, defence 84, L90 Strength 84 Brentford: attack 73, defence 73, L90 Strength 75 Leeds: attack 69, defence 77, L90 Strength 73 Everton: attack 61, defence 66, L90 Strength 67 Hull City: attack 37, defence 50, L90 Strength 37 Ipswich: attack 59, defence 50, L90 Strength 49 Newcastle: attack 61, defence 61, L90 Strength 71 Aston Villa: attack 83, defence 78, L90 Strength 84 Manchester United: attack 72, defence 80, L90 Strength 79 Crystal Palace: attack 64, defence 54, L90 Strength 64 Bournemouth: attack 83, defence 82, L90 Strength 77 Tottenham: attack 56, defence 74, L90 Strength 62 Coventry: attack 47, defence 59, L90 Strength 51 Fulham: attack 66, defence 68, L90 Strength 65 Nottingham Forest: attack 68, defence 74, L90 Strength 70 Sunderland: attack 62, defence 59, L90 Strength 57
Every Premier League club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed

61
Form index · 12th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
6
Median top-5 club
4.8
Own forecasts
7.2 -1.1
Table6th L90 Strength9th Form12th

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L17 OctH · Liverpool1–21.5 xPts
  • D10 OctA · Aston Villa2–21.1 xPts
  • W18 SepH · Chelsea3–01.6 xPts
  • D12 SepA · Bournemouth2–21.0 xPts
  • D5 SepH · Sunderland1–12.0 xPts
  • D30 AugA · Leeds1–11.3 xPts
  • W22 AugH · Tottenham3–01.7 xPts

Trends last 7, all competitions

Scored 7/7
Clean sheet 2/7
Conceded 2+ 3/7
Over 2.5 5/7
Both teams scored 5/7

Playing style vs Premier League average

BRELeagueRank
Goals scored 1.86 1.43 4th
Goals conceded 1.14 1.45 7th
xG 1.73 1.49 4th
xG allowed 1.39 1.50 7th
Scored in 100% 72% 1st
Clean sheets 29% 28% 8th
BRELeagueRank
Shots 15.00 13.71 6th
Shots on target 4.14 4.56 13th
On target share 28% 32% 16th
Box share 76% 64% 1st
Conversion 12% 10% 7th
BRELeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.43 13.77 15th
On target allowed 5.00 4.55 16th
Blocks 4.43 4.33 7th
Save rate 71% 66% 5th
BRELeagueRank
Possession 45% 50% 16th
Passes 367 442 18th
Pass accuracy 77% 82% 18th
BRELeagueRank
Fouls 14.71 11.49 20th
Fouls suffered 9.29 11.49 17th
Yellow cards 2.71 1.96 17th
Red cards 0.14 0.06 13th
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
BRELeagueRank
Goals scored 1.60 1.54 8th
Goals conceded 1.40 1.34 11th
xG 1.56 1.53 7th
xG allowed 1.74 1.44 19th
Scored in 90% 76% 2nd
Clean sheets 20% 29% 12th
BRELeagueRank
Shots 13.40 13.96 12th
Shots on target 3.60 4.69 19th
On target share 27% 33% 18th
Box share 74% 65% 1st
Conversion 12% 11% 8th
BRELeagueRank
Shots allowed 17.30 13.41 19th
On target allowed 5.80 4.43 20th
Blocks 5.30 4.19 4th
Save rate 72% 68% 6th
BRELeagueRank
Possession 45% 50% 18th
Passes 369 442 19th
Pass accuracy 78% 83% 18th
BRELeagueRank
Fouls 13.30 11.35 19th
Fouls suffered 8.70 11.46 20th
Yellow cards 2.50 1.96 17th
Red cards 0.10 0.05 12th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.75pts per game2-1-1 · 2.0–0.8 goals · 4 games
Away1.00pts per game0-3-0 · 1.7–1.7 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

2 1 0-15
16-30
4 1 31-45
3 1 46-60
1 2 61-75
3 3 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Premier League · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 13 4th / 20
GF/G 1.86 4th / 20
xG/G 1.73 4th / 20
G − xG +0.13 6th / 20

Defence

GA 8 7th / 20
GA/G 1.14 7th / 20
xGA/G 1.39 7th / 20
xGA − GA +0.25 6th / 20

Overall

Pts 10 6th / 20
xPts 10.2 9th / 20
PPG 1.43 6th / 20
TR 6.85 8th / 20
GD +5 4th / 20
xGD +2.4 7th / 20
W 2 7th / 20
L 1 2nd / 20

Scorelines

  • 3–0×2
  • 1–1×2
  • 2–2×2
  • 1–2×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
0% 1
29% 2
43% 3
29% 4
0% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
100%76%
Over 2.5
71%54%
Over 3.5
29%36%
Both scored
71%53%
Clean sheet
29%27%
Failed to score
0%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.