Casa Pia

17th · Primeira Liga · 4 points · Matches played: 8

20 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-0.9 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -0.6 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 18.3-0.9
World Rank 412th Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 16th L90 Strength
Last Santa ClaraH xG 0.5–0.7 0–1 Next EstrelaA 24%

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Upcoming fixtures

Casa Pia · All competitions

Forecast
EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 24% win 0.98 xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home 10% win 0.47 xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 18% win 0.77 xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Casa Pia · All competitions

Full time
Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 0.5–0.7 xG -1.1 Δpts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 — xG +2.0 Δpts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 1–4 — xG -0.5 Δpts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 0–0 — xG +0.3 Δpts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 0.8–0.3 xG -1.5 Δpts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–2 0.8–1.7 xG -0.8 Δpts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–7 0.2–2.8 xG -0.5 Δpts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 0.7–1.4 xG -1.4 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Casa Pia first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile13.8 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadVenue unknown, 0 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availabilityFull squad available
0%

Load before the next match, at Estrela, 24 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 8 Aug at Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100
L
 Aug 17 Aug vs Benfica: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 93/100
L
 24 Aug at GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100
L
 30 Aug vs Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100
L
 6 Sep at Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100
D
 Sep 12 Sep vs FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 92/100
L
 20 Sep at Estoril: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100
W
 10 Oct vs Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100
L
 Oct 24 Oct at Estrela: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100 30 Oct vs Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 94/100 7 Nov at Alverca: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 Nov 30 Nov vs SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 82/100 6 Dec at Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 Dec 13 Dec vs Nacional: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 20 Dec at Arouca: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 27 Dec vs Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 71/100 10 Jan at Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 65/100 Jan 17 Jan vs Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 24 Jan at Benfica: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 93/100 31 Jan vs GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 7 Feb at Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100 Feb 14 Feb vs Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100 21 Feb at FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 92/100 28 Feb vs Estoril: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 7 Mar at Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 Mar 14 Mar vs Estrela: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100 21 Mar at Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 94/100 4 Apr vs Alverca: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 Apr 11 Apr at SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 82/100 18 Apr vs Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 25 Apr at Nacional: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 2 May vs Arouca: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 May 9 May at Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 71/100 16 May vs Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 65/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest13.8 daysbefore EST
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
at EstrelaSat 24 Oct, 15:30 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 20 24%win26%draw50%loss Low load · 13.8 d rest vs Sporting CPFri 30 Oct, 20:15 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 84 10%win18%draw72%loss Low load · 6.2 d rest at AlvercaSat 7 Nov, 18:00 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 30 18%win24%draw58%loss Low load · 7.9 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Estrela, 24 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing−12%

Baseline 2.03 → Forecast 1.79 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing+22%

Baseline 3.22 → Forecast 3.93 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Estrela24 Oct · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 +17% −9% 0.90 → 1.05
vs Sporting CP30 Oct · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 −35% +62% 1.14 → 0.74
at Alverca7 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Casa Pia

Baseline: average Primeira Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +17% Expected goals Baseline0.90Forecast1.05
Conceding Risk −9% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.79Forecast1.62
Clean Sheet +3.0 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline16.8%Forecast19.8%