Chelsea

4th · Premier League · 13 points · Matches played: 7

8 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.1 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.3 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 76.5+0.1
World Rank 21st Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 8th L90 Strength
Last EvertonA xG 1.6–0.5 2–0 Next TottenhamH 55%

Compare clubs

Choose a second club to explore what separates them.
Our take

A solid mid-table side.

Chelsea are a mid-table side at both ends, without a clear strength to lean on. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 4 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Sunderland.

Premier League · 7 games. Their results look better than their underlying numbers. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

They are clinical in front of goal (17% of shots scored). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Top 4 20% · Relegation <1%Likely 6th · 59 projected points
  • Next 3: about 5 of 9 points Toughest at Sunderland · , 41% to win
  • 2 out, none key1% of squad weight missing · Last match: 17 Oct
  • 13 pts vs 9.3 expected+3.7 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Chelsea. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions7 Played
Premier League13 pts1.86 PPG7 games 4th
57.1%Win %
Wins4
Draws1
Losses2

Expected metrics · 7 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
172.43 / game
xG 10.01 6.99 more goals than expected. vs 17 goals
Goals Against
131.86 / game
xGA 10.87 2.13 more conceded than expected. vs 13 conceded
Goal Difference
+4+0.57 / game
xGD -0.86 Goal difference is 4.86 higher than expected. vs +4 GD
Clean Sheets
114% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Premier League →

Squad 41 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out

Absences reported for the last match: 17 Oct 2026

Top scorer
João Pedro5 goals
Most assists
C. Palmer3 assists
Best rated
J. Henderson7.75 avg rating
Most minutes
C. Palmer621 min
Key to the model
J. HendersonCore · weight 3.00
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
E. Martínez 34 6 (6) 525 0 0 7.56 core
Robert Sánchez 28 1 (1) 90 0 0 5.90 —
M. Penders 21 1 (0) 15 0 0 7.17 depth
T. Curd 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
T. Sharman-Lowe 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
G. Słonina 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
M. Lacroix 26 7 (6) 544 0 1 6.89 starter
L. Colwill 23 6 (6) 522 0 0 6.59 starter
J. Acheampong 20 6 (4) 401 0 0 6.45 rotation
J. Hato 20 5 (5) 351 0 2 6.78 rotation
W. Fofana 25 4 (4) 315 0 0 7.00 rotation
Pep Chavarría 28 6 (2) 297 0 1 6.70 rotation
R. James injured 26 4 (3) 292 0 0 6.95 starter
M. Gusto 23 5 (3) 276 0 0 6.52 starter
V. Barco 22 2 (1) 108 0 0 6.77 rotation
T. Adarabioyo 29 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Denner — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
A. Anselmino 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
M. Sarr 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
C. Palmer 24 7 (7) 621 2 3 7.36 starter
R. Lavia 22 6 (4) 280 1 0 6.87 rotation
J. Henderson 36 3 (3) 270 2 1 7.75 core
M. Caicedo 24 3 (2) 184 0 0 6.88 starter
E. Fernández 25 1 (0) 25 0 0 6.90 —
M. Palestra 21 2 (0) 18 0 0 6.40 rotation
?M. Nicoll-Jazuli — 1 (0) 3 0 0 6.60 depth
Mathis Eboue — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Landon Emenalo 18 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Dário Essugo 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
M. Mudryk 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
M. Rogers 24 7 (7) 613 4 1 7.56 core
João Pedro 25 6 (6) 522 5 3 7.59 starter
Pedro Neto 26 7 (6) 509 3 1 7.23 starter
D. Welbeck 35 5 (1) 93 0 0 6.60 rotation
Estêvão 19 5 (0) 29 0 0 6.40 rotation
G. Quenda 19 3 (0) 27 0 0 6.25 depth
E. Emegha injured 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Gittens injured 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
Marc Guiu 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
N. Jackson 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Shumaira Mheuka 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Tottenham: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Premier League · 20 clubs

L90 Strength8th of 20
77 Elo 1823 · World #21
Current Strength
77 With absences before 24 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack7th of 20
77 Scores 2.05 per match against an average top-five side
Defence9th of 20
74 Concedes 1.20 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Manchester City: attack 92, defence 82, L90 Strength 91 Arsenal: attack 86, defence 95, L90 Strength 94 Brighton: attack 87, defence 85, L90 Strength 83 Chelsea: attack 77, defence 74, L90 Strength 77 Liverpool: attack 85, defence 84, L90 Strength 84 Brentford: attack 73, defence 73, L90 Strength 75 Leeds: attack 69, defence 77, L90 Strength 73 Everton: attack 61, defence 66, L90 Strength 67 Hull City: attack 37, defence 50, L90 Strength 37 Ipswich: attack 59, defence 50, L90 Strength 49 Newcastle: attack 61, defence 61, L90 Strength 71 Aston Villa: attack 83, defence 78, L90 Strength 84 Manchester United: attack 72, defence 80, L90 Strength 79 Crystal Palace: attack 64, defence 54, L90 Strength 64 Bournemouth: attack 83, defence 82, L90 Strength 77 Tottenham: attack 56, defence 74, L90 Strength 62 Coventry: attack 47, defence 59, L90 Strength 51 Fulham: attack 66, defence 68, L90 Strength 65 Nottingham Forest: attack 68, defence 74, L90 Strength 70 Sunderland: attack 62, defence 59, L90 Strength 57
Every Premier League club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed

69
Form index · 7th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
7
Median top-5 club
4.7
Own forecasts
6.8 +0.2
Table4th L90 Strength8th Form7th

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W17 OctA · Everton2–01.3 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Bournemouth5–11.5 xPts
  • L18 SepA · Brentford0–31.2 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Hull City2–22.3 xPts
  • L6 SepA · Arsenal1–20.6 xPts
  • W30 AugH · Brighton4–31.3 xPts
  • W24 AugA · Fulham3–21.2 xPts

Trends last 7, all competitions

Scored 6/7
Clean sheet 1/7
Conceded 2+ 5/7
Over 2.5 6/7
Both teams scored 5/7

Playing style vs Premier League average

CHELeagueRank
Goals scored 2.43 1.43 3rd
Goals conceded 1.86 1.45 15th
xG 1.43 1.49 12th
xG allowed 1.55 1.50 13th
Scored in 86% 72% 4th
Clean sheets 14% 28% 13th
CHELeagueRank
Shots 14.29 13.71 10th
Shots on target 5.57 4.56 2nd
On target share 39% 32% 2nd
Box share 63% 64% 11th
Conversion 17% 10% 3rd
CHELeagueRank
Shots allowed 12.43 13.77 8th
On target allowed 5.86 4.55 19th
Blocks 3.67 4.33 14th
Save rate 73% 66% 3rd
CHELeagueRank
Possession 47% 50% 12th
Passes 432 442 10th
Pass accuracy 84% 82% 8th
CHELeagueRank
Fouls 9.29 11.49 2nd
Fouls suffered 11.71 11.49 9th
Yellow cards 1.86 1.96 9th
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
CHELeagueRank
Goals scored 2.10 1.54 3rd
Goals conceded 1.70 1.34 17th
xG 1.20 1.53 17th
xG allowed 1.50 1.44 12th
Scored in 90% 76% 2nd
Clean sheets 10% 29% 18th
CHELeagueRank
Shots 12.30 13.96 15th
Shots on target 4.90 4.69 8th
On target share 40% 33% 2nd
Box share 60% 65% 17th
Conversion 17% 11% 1st
CHELeagueRank
Shots allowed 12.50 13.41 9th
On target allowed 5.30 4.43 16th
Blocks 3.44 4.19 13th
Save rate 74% 68% 4th
CHELeagueRank
Possession 48% 50% 12th
Passes 442 442 9th
Pass accuracy 84% 83% 10th
CHELeagueRank
Fouls 10.50 11.35 5th
Fouls suffered 13.20 11.46 3rd
Yellow cards 2.50 1.96 17th
Red cards 0.00 0.05 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home2.33pts per game2-1-0 · 3.7–2.0 goals · 3 games
Away1.50pts per game2-0-2 · 1.5–1.8 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

7 0-15
3 16-30
2 2 31-45
3 3 46-60
4 2 61-75
1 3 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Premier League · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 17 3rd / 20
GF/G 2.43 3rd / 20
xG/G 1.43 12th / 20
G − xG +1.00 2nd / 20

Defence

GA 13 14th / 20
GA/G 1.86 14th / 20
xGA/G 1.55 13th / 20
xGA − GA -0.31 18th / 20

Overall

Pts 13 4th / 20
xPts 9.3 13th / 20
PPG 1.86 4th / 20
TR 7.09 3rd / 20
GD +4 5th / 20
xGD -0.8 12th / 20
W 4 4th / 20
L 2 8th / 20

Scorelines

  • 3–2×1
  • 4–3×1
  • 1–2×1
  • 2–2×1
  • 0–3×1
  • 5–1×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
0% 1
14% 2
29% 3
14% 4
43% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
100%76%
Over 2.5
86%54%
Over 3.5
57%36%
Both scored
71%53%
Clean sheet
14%27%
Failed to score
14%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.