Chelsea

4th · Premier League · 13 points · Matches played: 7

8 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.1 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.3 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 76.5+0.1
World Rank 21st Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 8th L90 Strength
Last EvertonA xG 1.6–0.5 2–0 Next TottenhamH 55%

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Upcoming fixtures

Chelsea · All competitions

Forecast
TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 55% win 1.86 xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 45% win 1.59 xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Away 41% win 1.47 xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Chelsea · All competitions

Full time
EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away W 2–0 1.6–0.5 xG +1.7 Δpts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Home W 5–1 1.2–1.5 xG +1.5 Δpts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Away L 0–3 0.8–2.7 xG -1.2 Δpts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 0.9–1.4 xG -1.2 Δpts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 0.4–2.1 xG -0.6 Δpts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home W 4–3 2.9–1.4 xG +1.7 Δpts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away W 3–2 2.2–1.3 xG +1.8 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Chelsea first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile7.2 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 573 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability2 out, no key players · Last match: 17 Oct
1%

Load before the next match, vs Tottenham, 24 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 24 Aug at Fulham: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100
W
 Aug 30 Aug vs Brighton: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100
W
 6 Sep at Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 81/100
L
 Sep 12 Sep vs Hull City: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100
D
 18 Sep at Brentford: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 49/100
L
 10 Oct vs Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100
W
 Oct 17 Oct at Everton: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100
W
 24 Oct vs Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100 31 Oct vs Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 8 Nov at Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 32/100 Nov 21 Nov vs Leeds: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 27 Nov at Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 2 Dec vs Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 Dec 5 Dec vs Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 60/100 12 Dec at Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 72/100 19 Dec vs Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100 27 Dec at Coventry: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 30 Dec at Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 26/100 3 Jan vs Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 Jan 6 Jan at Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 37/100 16 Jan vs Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 32/100 23 Jan at Leeds: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 30 Jan vs Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 6 Feb at Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 Feb 10 Feb at Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 44/100 20 Feb vs Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 26/100 27 Feb at Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100 3 Mar vs Coventry: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 Mar 13 Mar vs Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 81/100 20 Mar at Hull City: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100 10 Apr vs Fulham: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 Apr 17 Apr at Brighton: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100 24 Apr vs Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 72/100 1 May at Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100 May 8 May at Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100 15 May vs Everton: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100 23 May at Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 30 May vs Brentford: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 49/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest7.2 daysbefore TOT
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d573 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs TottenhamSat 24 Oct, 17:30 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 61 55%win22%draw23%loss Low load · 7.2 d rest vs Manchester UnitedSat 31 Oct, 12:30 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 79 45%win24%draw31%loss Low load · 6.8 d rest at SunderlandSun 8 Nov, 14:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 58 41%win25%draw34%loss Low load · 8.1 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Tottenham, 24 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing−2%

Baseline 3.90 → Forecast 3.83 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing−5%

Baseline 2.86 → Forecast 2.73 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Tottenham24 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 +4% −12% 1.96 → 2.04
vs Manchester United31 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 −8% +2% 1.95 → 1.79
at Sunderland8 Nov · Premier League 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Chelsea

Baseline: average Premier League opponent

Attack Uplift +4% Expected goals Baseline1.96Forecast2.04
Conceding Risk −12% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.43Forecast1.27
Clean Sheet +4.3 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline23.8%Forecast28.1%